Bottom-side Raków Częstochowa host Motor Lublin on Friday evening, with both teams desperate to arrest a slide in form just eight games into the Ekstraklasa season.
Raków Częstochowa sit 18th in the table on 0 points, currently inside the relegation zone with 28 games remaining. They are enduring their worst start to a campaign in years, having lost five consecutive matches. Their last outing was a narrow 1-0 defeat away to Lech Poznan, following a high-scoring 5-2 collapse at home against Jagiellonia.
Motor Lublin occupy 15th place with 5 points, leaving them six points off the continental qualification places with 27 games left. After a promising start, they have struggled for concentration and offensive efficiency recently, losing 3-2 to Legia Warszawa in their last fixture. This match is viewed as a vital opportunity to recover confidence against the league's basement side.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Raków Częstochowa are the stronger side — 134 rating points clear of Motor Lublin.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Raków Częstochowa 9 games, Motor Lublin 9 games.
Ekstraklasa (Poland) standings · both teams highlighted in context.