Winlytics.AI
Full time
Ekstraklasa (Poland)
·
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
18th · 3 pts·LLWLL
vs
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
16th · 6 pts·DLLLD
The story

Raków seek first points against stumbling Motor Lublin

Bottom-side Raków Częstochowa host Motor Lublin on Friday evening, with both teams desperate to arrest a slide in form just eight games into the Ekstraklasa season.

Match news & current form

Raków Częstochowa sit 18th in the table on 0 points, currently inside the relegation zone with 28 games remaining. They are enduring their worst start to a campaign in years, having lost five consecutive matches. Their last outing was a narrow 1-0 defeat away to Lech Poznan, following a high-scoring 5-2 collapse at home against Jagiellonia.

Motor Lublin occupy 15th place with 5 points, leaving them six points off the continental qualification places with 27 games left. After a promising start, they have struggled for concentration and offensive efficiency recently, losing 3-2 to Legia Warszawa in their last fixture. This match is viewed as a vital opportunity to recover confidence against the league's basement side.

Head-to-head history

Recent history favours the home side, with Raków winning three and drawing two of the last five meetings. The most recent encounter in April 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw, while Raków's last home win in this fixture was a 2-0 victory in October 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Raków Częstochowa have lost five matches in a row, their poorest run of form in recent seasons.
  • A recurring defensive lapse for Raków sees them concede 40% of their home goals in the final 15 minutes of matches.
  • Motor Lublin have only managed one win in their last five league outings (W1 D1 L3).
  • Raków have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches, conceding 12 goals in that span.
Key players & missing men

No specific player milestones or new injuries were reported for either side ahead of this fixture. Both squads appear to have full availability as they look to rotate and find a winning formula after recent defeats.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Raków Częstochowa1.8
1.9Motor Lublin
Season average total: 3.73 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
Raków Częstochowa winDrawMotor Lublin win
Market call
Double chance : Raków Częstochowa or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Raków Częstochowa
1513
Motor Lublin
1380

Raków Częstochowa are the stronger side — 134 rating points clear of Motor Lublin.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Raków CzęstochowaRaków CzęstochowaMotor LublinMotor Lublin
1.33Goals scored / game1.00
2.33Goals conceded / game1.67
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Raków Częstochowa 9 games, Motor Lublin 9 games.

Raków CzęstochowaRaków CzęstochowaMotor LublinMotor Lublin
0%Games with a clean sheet22%
11%Games they failed to score22%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Raków Częstochowa
2–1
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
1–1
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
2–0
Motor Lublin
Raków Częstochowa
2–2
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
0–2
Raków Częstochowa
Form check

Their recent form.

Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
Losing form badly
Last 5
1W · 0D · 4L
Korona KielcevRaków Częstochowa
3–2
L
Raków CzęstochowavZaglebie Lubin
2–3
L
Raków CzęstochowavMotor Lublin
2–1
W
Lech PoznanvRaków Częstochowa
1–0
L
Raków CzęstochowavGornik Zabrze
1–2
L
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
Motor LublinvGornik Zabrze
0–0
D
Raków CzęstochowavMotor Lublin
2–1
L
Motor LublinvLegia Warszawa
2–3
L
Motor LublinvPiast Gliwice
0–2
L
Korona KielcevMotor Lublin
1–1
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ekstraklasa (Poland) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
9
7
1
1
+8
22
2
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
9
5
4
0
+11
19
3
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
8
6
1
1
+10
19
4
Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
9
5
2
2
+5
17
5
Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
8
4
3
1
+6
15
6
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
9
4
3
2
+2
15
7
Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
9
4
3
2
+1
15
8
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
9
4
1
4
+1
13
9
GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
8
4
0
4
+3
12
10
JagielloniaJagiellonia
8
4
0
4
-1
12
11
Wisla PlockWisla Plock
8
3
2
3
-3
11
12
Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź
9
1
6
2
+0
9
13
Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow
9
2
2
5
-5
8
14
Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom
9
2
2
5
-13
8
15
Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw
9
1
3
5
-4
6
16
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
9
1
3
5
-6
6
17
Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków
8
1
2
5
-6
5
18
Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
9
1
0
8
-9
3