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Full time
La Liga (Spain)
·
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
12th · 8 pts·LWLWD
vs
—
Racing Santander
Racing Santander
16th · 7 pts·WLWLL
The story

Rayo seek first win as Racing eye European spots

Rayo Vallecano fight to escape the relegation zone while Racing Santander look to bridge the two-point gap to the European places.

Match news & current form

Rayo Vallecano enter Matchday 4 sitting 18th in the table with just one point from their opening three fixtures. New head coach Benat San Jose, who replaced Inigo Perez this summer, is still searching for his first La Liga victory following a heavy 5-2 defeat away to Barcelona last week. Despite the rocky start, the side has 35 games remaining to secure their top-flight status.

Racing Santander arrive in 10th place with four points, coming off a morale-boosting 3-2 victory over Elche. Manager Jose Alberto Lopez has overseen a mixed start consisting of one win, one draw, and one loss, leaving his side just two points adrift of the European qualification spots.

Head-to-head history

Rayo Vallecano have historically dominated this fixture, winning 67% of their last six meetings with Racing Santander. The most recent encounter between the two clubs saw Rayo emerge as 2-1 victors, and both managers hold identical records against their opposing clubs with one win, one draw, and one loss each from three previous meetings.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Rayo Vallecano have scored at least once in each of their last 13 home matches in La Liga.
  • The last three meetings between these two sides at the Estadio de Vallecas have all produced over 2.5 goals.
  • Racing Santander have displayed an aggressive physical style recently, averaging over eight free kicks won per match across their last five outings.
  • Rayo Vallecano are looking to avoid going four games without a win for the first time since the start of the 2026-27 campaign.
Key players & missing men

Rayo Vallecano are facing a significant selection headache with A. Batalla, Luiz Felipe, I. Palazon, J. Vertrouwd, and M. Kumbulla all listed as absent. Racing Santander travel with a lighter injury list, though they will be without I. Luque and A. Martin. Keep an eye on Sergio Canales and Iñigo Vicente, who remain the creative hubs for the visitors.

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We have published a signal on Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Rayo Vallecano3.0
–
1.2Racing Santander
Season average total: 4.17 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Rayo Vallecano winDrawRacing Santander win
Market call
Double chance : Rayo Vallecano or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Rayo Vallecano
1707
Racing Santander
1582

Rayo Vallecano are the stronger side — 125 rating points clear of Racing Santander.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
Goals scored
1.60
Expected (xG)
1.42
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
Goals scored
1.57
Expected (xG)
1.40
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 7 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Rayo VallecanoRayo VallecanoRacing SantanderRacing Santander
1.57Goals scored / game1.57
2.29Goals conceded / game3.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Rayo Vallecano 7 games, Racing Santander 7 games.

Rayo VallecanoRayo VallecanoRacing SantanderRacing Santander
0%Games with a clean sheet0%
0%Games they failed to score29%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Rayo Vallecano
3–2
Racing Santander
Racing Santander
1–2
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
2–0
Racing Santander
Rayo Vallecano
4–2
Racing Santander
Racing Santander
1–1
Rayo Vallecano
Form check

Their recent form.

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
OsasunavRayo Vallecano
1–1
D
Rayo VallecanovEspanyol
2–1
W
Real MadridvRayo Vallecano
4–1
L
Rayo VallecanovRacing Santander
3–2
W
BarcelonavRayo Vallecano
5–2
L
Racing Santander
Racing Santander
Struggling for results
Last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
Celta VigovRacing Santander
5–0
L
BarcelonavRacing Santander
7–2
L
Racing SantandervAlaves
2–1
W
Rayo VallecanovRacing Santander
3–2
L
Racing SantandervElche
3–2
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

La Liga (Spain) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
BarcelonaBarcelona
7
7
0
0
+24
21
2
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
7
5
1
1
+9
16
3
Real BetisReal Betis
7
5
1
1
+2
16
4
Real MadridReal Madrid
7
5
0
2
+10
15
5
SevillaSevilla
7
4
1
2
+1
13
6
AlavesAlaves
7
3
2
2
+5
11
7
Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna
7
2
4
1
+2
10
8
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
7
3
1
3
-4
10
9
VillarrealVillarreal
7
2
2
3
+1
8
10
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
6
2
2
2
+1
8
11
GetafeGetafe
7
2
2
3
-3
8
12
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
7
2
2
3
-5
8
13
OsasunaOsasuna
7
2
2
3
-7
8
14
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
7
1
4
2
+2
7
15
EspanyolEspanyol
7
2
1
4
+0
7
16
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
7
2
1
4
-10
7
17
LevanteLevante
6
1
2
3
-4
5
18
ElcheElche
7
1
2
4
-6
5
19
ValenciaValencia
7
1
1
5
-9
4
20
MalagaMalaga
7
0
3
4
-9
3