Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 18h
Major League Soccer (USA)
·
Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake
10th · 36 pts·LWLDW
vs
—
St. Louis City
St. Louis City
2nd · 51 pts·WWWDL
The story

Real Salt Lake face title-chasing St. Louis City

Real Salt Lake must make up ground to reach the MLS Cup play-offs, while high-flying St. Louis City aim to close the four-point gap at the top of the table.

Match news & current form

Real Salt Lake sit 10th on 36 points, three points off the playoff places with four games remaining. Their momentum has stalled following a 1-1 home draw against San Jose Earthquakes, leaving them with just one victory from their last five league outings alongside three defeats.

St. Louis City occupy second place with 51 points and remain firmly in the title race, trailing the league leaders by four points with four matches left. They arrive on the back of a 0-0 draw against Vancouver Whitecaps, which extended their unbeaten streak to five games, following a run of four consecutive high-scoring wins.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings between these two sides have regularly ended level, with three of the last four encounters finishing all square. The sides drew 1-1 in their most recent clash in August 2026, following a 2-2 draw in October 2025 and a 1-1 draw in February 2025. Real Salt Lake edged this fixture 3-2 at home in July 2025, after securing a 3-1 victory in March 2024.

Hot stats & streaks
  • St. Louis City are unbeaten in their last five matches, winning four and drawing one.
  • Real Salt Lake have won only one of their last five league fixtures, suffering three defeats.
  • Three of the last four head-to-head meetings between Real Salt Lake and St. Louis City have finished level.
Key players & missing men

The hosts rely heavily on forward Sergi Solans Ormo, who has notched 12 goals, while Zavier Gozo offers another scoring outlet. However, Real Salt Lake contend with a lengthy absentee list that includes J. Glad, D. Luna, J. J. Arias, G. Dillon, E. Eneli, and L. Engel. St. Louis City are spearheaded by Simon Michael Becher, who leads the line on nine goals, supported by Daniel Ethan Edelman and Rafael Navarro Leal, though they travel without Celio Pompeu, C. Durkin, K. Hiebert, and C. Wallem.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Real Salt Lake1.7
–
1.4St. Louis City
Season average total: 3.10 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
Real Salt Lake winDrawSt. Louis City win
Market call
Double chance : Real Salt Lake or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Real Salt LakeReal Salt LakeSt. Louis CitySt. Louis City
1.50Goals scored / game1.87
1.60Goals conceded / game1.37
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Real Salt Lake 30 games, St. Louis City 30 games.

Real Salt LakeReal Salt LakeSt. Louis CitySt. Louis City
10%Games with a clean sheet17%
20%Games they failed to score17%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

St. Louis City
1–1
Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
2–2
Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake
3–2
St. Louis City
St. Louis City
1–1
Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake
3–1
St. Louis City
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

Real Salt Lake
J. Glad
Out · Groin Injury
Real Salt Lake
D. Luna
Out · Knee Injury
Real Salt Lake
J. J. Arias
Doubt · Hamstring Injury
Real Salt Lake
G. Dillon
Doubt · Foot Injury
Form check

Their recent form.

Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Sporting Kansas CityvReal Salt Lake
1–3
W
Real Salt LakevSan Jose Earthquakes
1–1
D
Philadelphia UnionvReal Salt Lake
2–1
L
Real Salt LakevNew England Revolution
3–0
W
Seattle SoundersvReal Salt Lake
2–0
L
St. Louis City
St. Louis City
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
Minnesota United FCvSt. Louis City
3–2
L
St. Louis CityvVancouver Whitecaps
0–0
D
St. Louis CityvLos Angeles Galaxy
6–2
W
New York Red BullsvSt. Louis City
0–3
W
St. Louis CityvToronto FC
3–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
30
16
7
7
+32
55
2
St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
30
14
9
7
+15
51
3
FC DallasFC Dallas
30
14
9
7
+8
51
4
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
30
13
9
8
+10
48
5
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
30
13
8
9
+2
47
6
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
31
12
10
9
+15
46
7
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
30
11
9
10
+2
42
8
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
31
10
10
11
-9
40
9
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
30
11
6
13
+0
39
10
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
30
10
6
14
-3
36
11
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
30
9
7
14
-5
34
12
San DiegoSan Diego
30
8
10
12
-3
34
13
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
30
8
10
12
-8
34
14
AustinAustin
30
7
10
13
-18
31
15
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
30
6
4
20
-39
22