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Serie A (Brazil)
·
Remo
Remo
19th · 23 pts·LLLLL
vs
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
7th · 40 pts·DWLWD
The story

Remo face relegation fight as Atletico-MG eye Europe

Nineteenth-placed Remo have 19 games to save their top-flight status while Atletico-MG sit just three points adrift of the European qualification spots.

Match news & current form

Remo enter this fixture inside the relegation zone on 21 points, desperately needing to build on a run that has seen them win two of their last four home games, including a 1-0 victory over Sao Paulo and a 2-0 win against Vitoria. Their momentum took a hit last time out with a narrow 1-2 away defeat to Mirassol, but their ability to find the net in almost every recent match remains a positive for the survival scrap.

Atletico-MG arrive in 10th place with 28 points and significant confidence following an 'outstanding run' that includes three wins from their last five. They secured a vital 2-1 away win at Palmeiras recently and most recently dispatched Mirassol 3-1 at home. However, their consistency on the road has been a point of concern throughout the campaign.

Head-to-head history

The recent history between these two sides favors the visitors, with Remo suffering defeat in three of their last five meetings with Atletico-MG this season. Despite this, Remo's form at the Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença has remained competitive as they look to break the trend against the Belo Horizonte side.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Atletico-MG have been beaten 11 times in 21 away appearances this season.
  • Remo have seen over 2.5 goals in four of their previous six league matches.
  • Atletico-MG's last six away games have finished with over 2.5 goals on 67% of occasions.
  • Remo have maintained a reliable scoring record, finding the net in nearly every recent outing.
Key players & missing men

Remo will be forced to reshuffle their pack due to a significant absence list including David Braga, Gabriel Poveda, Patrick de Paula, D. Tchamba, and Joao Lucas. Atletico-MG are also missing personnel, with L. Duarte and Patrick Silva ruled out of the trip to Belem.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Remo1.2
1.1Atletico-MG
Season average total: 2.36 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Remo winDrawAtletico-MG win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Atletico-MG
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

RemoRemoAtletico-MGAtletico-MG
1.14Goals scored / game1.33
1.68Goals conceded / game1.19
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Remo 28 games, Atletico-MG 27 games.

RemoRemoAtletico-MGAtletico-MG
11%Games with a clean sheet22%
32%Games they failed to score33%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Remo
2–2
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
3–3
Remo
Atletico-MG
2–1
Remo
Remo
0–2
Atletico-MG
Form check

Their recent form.

Remo
Remo
Losing form badly
Last 5
0W · 0D · 5L
RemovSantos
1–2
L
BahiavRemo
2–1
L
RemovFlamengo
0–1
L
RemovCoritiba
2–3
L
FluminensevRemo
2–1
L
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Atletico-MGvChapecoense-sc
1–1
D
Atletico-MGvFluminense
3–1
W
Sao PaulovAtletico-MG
2–0
L
Atletico-MGvVitoria
2–1
W
InternacionalvAtletico-MG
0–0
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FlamengoFlamengo
27
17
6
4
+31
57
2
PalmeirasPalmeiras
28
16
9
3
+26
57
3
FluminenseFluminense
28
13
9
6
+8
48
4
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
27
13
7
7
+10
46
5
BahiaBahia
27
12
10
5
+9
46
6
CruzeiroCruzeiro
28
13
6
9
+2
45
7
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
27
11
7
9
+4
40
8
SantosSantos
27
10
8
9
+1
38
9
CoritibaCoritiba
28
10
8
10
-6
38
10
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
26
10
6
10
+3
36
11
Sao PauloSao Paulo
27
10
6
11
+2
36
12
BotafogoBotafogo
28
9
8
11
-4
35
13
VitoriaVitoria
28
9
6
13
-14
33
14
CorinthiansCorinthians
28
8
8
12
-3
32
15
MirassolMirassol
28
8
8
12
-9
32
16
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
27
8
7
12
-7
31
17
GremioGremio
28
7
8
13
-8
29
18
InternacionalInternacional
28
6
10
12
-6
28
19
RemoRemo
28
5
8
15
-15
23
20
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
27
3
9
15
-24
18