Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 18h
Ligue 1 (France)
·
Rennes
Rennes
5th · 10 pts·DWWWL
vs
—
Auxerre
Auxerre
10th · 6 pts·LLLWW
The story

Rennes host Auxerre looking to bounce back from defeat

Rennes look to regain early momentum as they welcome an Auxerre side seeking consistency after five matches of the Ligue 1 season.

Match news & current form

Rennes have made a strong start to the campaign, sitting 5th with 10 points from their opening five fixtures. However, they head into this clash seeking a response after their momentum was halted by a heavy 4-0 defeat away at Lyon, which followed consecutive victories over Le Mans, Angers, and Marseille.

Auxerre sit 10th with six points after five games, having experienced a mixed opening phase to their season. They arrive buoyed by back-to-back home victories, edging Nice 1-0 before overcoming Brest 2-1 last time out, but they are still searching for their first points away from home.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings have produced varied outcomes between the two sides. Their most recent clash in February 2026 ended in a convincing 3-0 away win for Rennes, following an entertaining 2-2 draw at Roazhon Park in October 2025. Across the last five competitive meetings, honours remain even with two wins apiece and one draw.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Auxerre enter on a two-match winning streak following home victories over Nice and Brest.
  • Rennes had scored in four consecutive league fixtures prior to their 4-0 reverse at Lyon.
  • Auxerre have conceded eight goals across their two away league matches so far this season.
  • The last meeting between these two at Roazhon Park finished all square in a 2-2 thriller in October 2025.
Key players & missing men

Rennes have a clean bill of health with Brice Samba set to start in goal and veteran midfielder Adrien Thomasson providing a creative spark. Auxerre, with Mamadou Diop between the posts and Cameron Archer leading the line, face significant personnel issues with A. Diousse, C. Makosso, B. Okoh, M. Senaya, and T. Siwe all ruled out.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Rennes vs Auxerre and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Rennes3.0
–
1.4Auxerre
Season average total: 4.42 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Rennes winDrawAuxerre win
Market call
Winner : Rennes
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Rennes
1716
Auxerre
1624

Rennes are the stronger side — 92 rating points clear of Auxerre.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

RennesRennes
Goals scored
1.60
Expected (xG)
2.00
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
AuxerreAuxerre
Goals scored
1.80
Expected (xG)
1.25
Clinical — scoring above their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

RennesRennesAuxerreAuxerre
1.60Goals scored / game1.40
1.80Goals conceded / game2.40
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Rennes 5 games, Auxerre 5 games.

RennesRennesAuxerreAuxerre
20%Games with a clean sheet20%
20%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Auxerre
0–3
Rennes
Rennes
2–2
Auxerre
Rennes
0–1
Auxerre
Auxerre
4–0
Rennes
Auxerre
0–0
Rennes
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

Auxerre
A. Diousse
Out · Knee Injury
Auxerre
C. Makosso
Out · Yellow Cards
Auxerre
B. Okoh
Out · Knee Injury
Auxerre
M. Senaya
Out · Hamstring Injury
Form check

Their recent form.

Rennes
Rennes
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
LyonvRennes
4–0
L
RennesvMarseille
1–0
W
AngersvRennes
1–2
W
RennesvLe Mans
3–2
W
RennesvParis Saint Germain
2–2
D
Auxerre
Auxerre
Struggling for results
Last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
AuxerrevStade Brestois 29
2–1
W
AuxerrevNice
1–0
W
LyonvAuxerre
3–1
L
AuxerrevAngers
1–3
L
LensvAuxerre
5–2
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ligue 1 (France) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
MonacoMonaco
5
4
1
0
+5
13
2
LyonLyon
5
3
2
0
+8
11
3
Paris FCParis FC
5
3
2
0
+5
11
4
LilleLille
5
3
1
1
+4
10
5
RennesRennes
5
3
1
1
-1
10
6
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
5
2
2
1
+1
8
7
AngersAngers
5
2
1
2
+1
7
8
StrasbourgStrasbourg
5
2
1
2
+0
7
9
Le MansLe Mans
5
1
3
1
+0
6
10
AuxerreAuxerre
5
2
0
3
-5
6
11
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
5
1
2
2
-1
5
12
LorientLorient
5
1
2
2
-1
5
13
ToulouseToulouse
5
1
2
2
-2
5
14
NiceNice
5
1
2
2
-3
5
15
LensLens
5
1
1
3
+0
4
16
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
5
1
1
3
-7
4
17
MarseilleMarseille
5
1
0
4
-1
3
18
Le HavreLe Havre
5
0
2
3
-3
2