Winlytics.AI
Full time
Bundesliga (Austria)
·
Ried
Ried
5th · 8 pts·LWLDW
vs
Grazer AK
Grazer AK
9th · 8 pts·LLDWD
The story

Ried seek stability as Grazer aim for Europe

Separated by just two points in the lower half of the table, Ried and Grazer AK meet at the josko ARENA with both sides desperate to close the gap on the European places.

Match news & current form

Ried enter this fixture sitting 10th on 1 point, currently trailing the European spots by three points with 19 games remaining. Their recent momentum has stalled following a 1-4 loss to LASK and a 1-2 home defeat to Rapid Vienna, leaving them searching for their first win in four matches. Despite the slump, the side remains committed to a proactive attacking style under their current tactical setup.

Grazer AK occupy 9th place with 3 points, sitting just a single point off the European places. Their form has been volatile; a 2-1 victory over Austria Lustenau was sandwiched between a 0-3 loss to LASK and a demoralising 0-8 thrashing at the hands of Rapid Vienna. Managerially, the visitors continue to favour a rigid system utilizing three central defenders to stem the flow of goals away from home.

Head-to-head history

The most recent encounter between these two sides ended in a 1-1 draw in April 2026. Historically, Ried have been the more likely to take maximum points in this fixture, with data models currently giving them a 45% win probability compared to Grazer's 28%.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Ried are currently on a poor defensive run of 8 consecutive Bundesliga matches without a clean sheet.
  • Grazer AK have recorded three wins from their last six matches, despite their recent heavy defeat to Rapid Vienna.
  • Ried have lost half of their last two home games in the Bundesliga.
  • The most frequent scoreline when these sides meet is a 1-1 draw, occurring in over 12% of simulated outcomes.
Key players & missing men

Ramiz Harakate remains the primary threat for Grazer AK, leading their scoring charts and proving vital in their transition play. Both squads appear to be at full strength for this clash, with no injuries or suspensions reported for either Ried or Grazer AK at this stage.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Ried vs Grazer AK and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Ried2.5
0.8Grazer AK
Season average total: 3.25 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Ried winDrawGrazer AK win
Market call
Winner : Ried
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Ried
1302
Grazer AK
1280

Ried are the stronger side — 22 rating points clear of Grazer AK.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

RiedRiedGrazer AKGrazer AK
1.57Goals scored / game0.86
1.71Goals conceded / game2.29
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Ried 7 games, Grazer AK 7 games.

RiedRiedGrazer AKGrazer AK
14%Games with a clean sheet14%
0%Games they failed to score57%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Ried
1–0
Grazer AK
Ried
2–1
Grazer AK
Grazer AK
1–1
Ried
Grazer AK
2–1
Ried
Ried
0–0
Grazer AK
Form check

Their recent form.

Ried
Ried
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
RiedvWolfsberger AC
4–1
W
RiedvRed Bull Salzburg
1–1
D
TSV HartbergvRied
3–2
L
RiedvGrazer AK
1–0
W
Lask LinzvRied
4–1
L
Grazer AK
Grazer AK
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
Grazer AKvAustria Vienna
2–2
D
SCR AltachvGrazer AK
1–2
W
Grazer AKvWolfsberger AC
0–0
D
RiedvGrazer AK
1–0
L
Rapid ViennavGrazer AK
8–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Bundesliga (Austria) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna
7
6
0
1
+14
18
2
Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
7
5
2
0
+14
17
3
Lask LinzLask Linz
7
5
1
1
+12
16
4
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
7
3
2
2
-1
11
5
RiedRied
7
2
2
3
-1
8
6
TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg
7
2
2
3
-3
8
7
WSG WattensWSG Wattens
7
2
2
3
-3
8
8
Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau
7
2
2
3
-3
8
9
Grazer AKGrazer AK
7
2
2
3
-10
8
10
Austria ViennaAustria Vienna
7
2
1
4
-6
7
11
Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC
7
1
2
4
-6
5
12
SCR AltachSCR Altach
7
1
0
6
-7
3