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Primeira Liga (Portugal)
·
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
16th · 7 pts·DLWLL
vs
—
Estrela
Estrela
12th · 10 pts·WDLLL
The story

Rio Ave host Estrela with visitors seeking historic run

Rio Ave aim to arrest a slump following heavy defeats as they face an Estrela side enjoying their best-ever start to a top-flight season.

Match news & current form

Rio Ave sit 16th after five games and are desperate for a reset under Sotiris Silaidopoulos. The side has struggled significantly in recent weeks, arriving at this fixture on the back of consecutive 4-0 losses to Santa Clara and Sporting CP. Having failed to score in four of their last five matches, the pressure is on Silaidopoulos to fix a misfiring attack and a porous defence.

Estrela are currently 6th and remain unbeaten after five matches, a feat never before achieved in the club's history. Manager Pepa has overseen a successful rebuild, most recently securing a 2-1 victory over SC Braga. With three draws and two wins in their opening five, Estrela travel to Vila do Conde with significant momentum and a high-functioning forward line.

Head-to-head history

While current form favours the visitors, Rio Ave have historically dominated this fixture at the Estadio do Rio Ave. The home side has won three and drawn one of the last four meetings at this venue, including a 2-1 victory in their most recent encounter in March 2026.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Estrela are unbeaten in their first five league matches for the first time in club history.
  • Leandro Antonetti is the first Estrela player in 17 years to score in three consecutive top-flight games.
  • Rio Ave have conceded exactly four goals in each of their last two league outings.
  • Estrela have scored exactly two goals in four of their last five matches.
  • Rio Ave have never managed to overturn a deficit this season after conceding the opening goal.
Key players & missing men

Leandro Antonetti is the man of the moment for Estrela, having found the net in four of the club's five league games this season. Rio Ave will rely on their home record to spark a response, though no fresh injuries have been reported for either side, giving both Sotiris Silaidopoulos and Pepa full squads to choose from.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Rio Ave1.6
–
2.4Estrela
Season average total: 4.00 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Rio Ave winDrawEstrela win
Market call
Winner : Estrela
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Rio Ave
1451
Estrela
1403

Rio Ave are the stronger side — 48 rating points clear of Estrela.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Rio AveRio AveEstrelaEstrela
0.90Goals scored / game1.50
2.30Goals conceded / game1.90
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Rio Ave 10 games, Estrela 10 games.

Rio AveRio AveEstrelaEstrela
10%Games with a clean sheet0%
60%Games they failed to score30%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Rio Ave
3–3
Estrela
Rio Ave
2–1
Estrela
Estrela
1–2
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
2–0
Estrela
Estrela
1–0
Rio Ave
Form check

Their recent form.

Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
Academico ViseuvRio Ave
2–1
L
Rio AvevFamalicao
0–4
L
Rio AvevNacional
3–2
W
AlvercavRio Ave
1–0
L
Rio AvevEstrela
3–3
D
Estrela
Estrela
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
EstrelavCasa Pia
0–2
L
AroucavEstrela
1–0
L
EstrelavAcademico Viseu
0–2
L
Rio AvevEstrela
3–3
D
EstrelavSC Braga
2–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Primeira Liga (Portugal) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FC PortoFC Porto
10
10
0
0
+21
30
2
BenficaBenfica
10
8
1
1
+19
25
3
Sporting CPSporting CP
10
6
3
1
+12
21
4
Santa ClaraSanta Clara
10
6
3
1
+9
21
5
AroucaArouca
10
6
2
2
+6
20
6
Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu
10
6
2
2
+3
20
7
GIL VicenteGIL Vicente
10
4
3
3
+1
15
8
SC BragaSC Braga
10
4
2
4
+1
14
9
MoreirenseMoreirense
10
4
2
4
-4
14
10
AlvercaAlverca
10
3
2
5
-1
11
11
FamalicaoFamalicao
10
2
4
4
+0
10
12
EstrelaEstrela
10
2
4
4
-4
10
13
Vitória SCVitória SC
10
2
3
5
+0
9
14
MaritimoMaritimo
10
2
2
6
-12
8
15
NacionalNacional
10
2
1
7
-9
7
16
Rio AveRio Ave
10
2
1
7
-14
7
17
Casa PiaCasa Pia
10
2
1
7
-14
7
18
EstorilEstoril
10
0
2
8
-14
2