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Eliteserien (Norway)
·
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
5th · 33 pts·WLWWW
vs
Tromso
Tromso
3rd · 38 pts·LDLLW
The story

Rosenborg chase Conference League places against high-flying Tromso

Tromso arrive at Lerkendal looking to solidify their grip on the Conference League places as Rosenborg attempt to bridge a six-point gap to the top three.

Match news & current form

Rosenborg enter this fixture in 6th place on 27 points, trailing the Conference League places by six points with 11 games remaining. Under manager Freyr Alexandersson, who took over in June, the side has found a rhythm at home, most recently dismantling Ham-Kam 4-0. However, consistency remains an issue following a high-scoring 4-2 defeat to Bodo/Glimt.

Tromso sit 3rd on 35 points, currently holding a place in the Conference League places with a two-point cushion over their nearest rivals. While they suffered a recent 0-2 setback against Kristiansund BK, their away form has been explosive lately, highlighted by a 6-2 demolition of Aalesund and a 4-1 victory over Ham-Kam.

Head-to-head history

Tromso have dominated the most recent encounters, winning the last two meetings including a 2-0 victory in April 2026. However, Rosenborg showed their home strength in this fixture last year with a 4-1 win at Lerkendal in July 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Rosenborg forward A. Chiakha leads the league scoring charts with 11 goals heading into this round.
  • Tromso have won three of the last five meetings between these two clubs.
  • Rosenborg have scored at least two goals in four of their last five matches.
  • Tromso have failed to keep a clean sheet in three of their last four away fixtures.
Key players & missing men

Rosenborg's attack is led by the league's top scorer A. Chiakha, though they must cope without a significant list of absentees including J. Bakke, I. Fossum, D. Islamovic, J. Reitan-Sunde, and J. Svensson. Tromso are also depleted at the back, missing D. Braut, M. Tonnessen, C. Oyvann, and V. Skjaervik.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Rosenborg2.2
1.5Tromso
Season average total: 3.77 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
Rosenborg winDrawTromso win
Market call
Double chance : Rosenborg or Draw
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Rosenborg
1428
Tromso
1497

Tromso are the stronger side — 69 rating points clear of Rosenborg.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

RosenborgRosenborgTromsoTromso
1.86Goals scored / game1.90
1.43Goals conceded / game1.38
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Rosenborg 21 games, Tromso 21 games.

RosenborgRosenborgTromsoTromso
33%Games with a clean sheet43%
29%Games they failed to score29%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Rosenborg
5–3
Tromso
Tromso
2–0
Rosenborg
Tromso
1–0
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
4–1
Tromso
Rosenborg
1–0
Tromso
Form check

Their recent form.

Rosenborg
Rosenborg
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 0D · 1L
Kristiansund BKvRosenborg
1–3
W
RosenborgvTromso
5–3
W
RosenborgvHam-Kam
4–0
W
Bodo/GlimtvRosenborg
4–2
L
RosenborgvViking
2–1
W
Tromso
Tromso
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
TromsovHam-Kam
3–2
W
RosenborgvTromso
5–3
L
Kristiansund BKvTromso
2–0
L
TromsovSarpsborg 08 FF
0–0
D
MoldevTromso
3–2
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Eliteserien (Norway) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
VikingViking
21
16
2
3
+34
50
2
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
21
16
2
3
+34
50
3
TromsoTromso
21
11
5
5
+11
38
4
MoldeMolde
21
11
3
7
+12
36
5
RosenborgRosenborg
21
10
3
8
+9
33
6
LillestromLillestrom
21
10
2
9
-1
32
7
BrannBrann
21
9
2
10
+7
29
8
FredrikstadFredrikstad
21
8
4
9
-7
28
9
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
21
6
7
8
-5
25
10
KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo
21
7
4
10
-10
25
11
SandefjordSandefjord
21
6
5
10
-6
23
12
ValerengaValerenga
21
6
5
10
-9
23
13
Ham-KamHam-Kam
21
6
5
10
-15
23
14
AalesundAalesund
21
4
9
8
-13
21
15
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
21
5
4
12
-19
19
16
StartStart
21
4
4
13
-22
16