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Eliteserien (Norway)
·
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
4th · 43 pts·WDWWW
vs
—
Tromso
Tromso
6th · 40 pts·LWDDL
The story

Rosenborg chase Conference League places against high-flying Tromso

Tromso arrive at Lerkendal looking to solidify their grip on the Conference League places as Rosenborg attempt to bridge a six-point gap to the top three.

Match news & current form

Rosenborg enter this fixture in 6th place on 27 points, trailing the Conference League places by six points with 11 games remaining. Under manager Freyr Alexandersson, who took over in June, the side has found a rhythm at home, most recently dismantling Ham-Kam 4-0. However, consistency remains an issue following a high-scoring 4-2 defeat to Bodo/Glimt.

Tromso sit 3rd on 35 points, currently holding a place in the Conference League places with a two-point cushion over their nearest rivals. While they suffered a recent 0-2 setback against Kristiansund BK, their away form has been explosive lately, highlighted by a 6-2 demolition of Aalesund and a 4-1 victory over Ham-Kam.

Head-to-head history

Tromso have dominated the most recent encounters, winning the last two meetings including a 2-0 victory in April 2026. However, Rosenborg showed their home strength in this fixture last year with a 4-1 win at Lerkendal in July 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Rosenborg forward A. Chiakha leads the league scoring charts with 11 goals heading into this round.
  • Tromso have won three of the last five meetings between these two clubs.
  • Rosenborg have scored at least two goals in four of their last five matches.
  • Tromso have failed to keep a clean sheet in three of their last four away fixtures.
Key players & missing men

Rosenborg's attack is led by the league's top scorer A. Chiakha, though they must cope without a significant list of absentees including J. Bakke, I. Fossum, D. Islamovic, J. Reitan-Sunde, and J. Svensson. Tromso are also depleted at the back, missing D. Braut, M. Tonnessen, C. Oyvann, and V. Skjaervik.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Rosenborg vs Tromso and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Rosenborg2.2
–
1.4Tromso
Season average total: 3.64 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
Rosenborg winDrawTromso win
Market call
Double chance : Rosenborg or Draw
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Rosenborg
1428
Tromso
1497

Tromso are the stronger side — 69 rating points clear of Rosenborg.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

RosenborgRosenborgTromsoTromso
1.96Goals scored / game1.72
1.24Goals conceded / game1.52
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Rosenborg 25 games, Tromso 25 games.

RosenborgRosenborgTromsoTromso
40%Games with a clean sheet36%
24%Games they failed to score28%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Rosenborg
5–3
Tromso
Tromso
2–0
Rosenborg
Tromso
1–0
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
4–1
Tromso
Rosenborg
1–0
Tromso
Form check

Their recent form.

Rosenborg
Rosenborg
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 1D · 0L
FredrikstadvRosenborg
0–3
W
Ham-KamvRosenborg
0–3
W
Sarpsborg 08 FFvRosenborg
0–3
W
RosenborgvSandefjord
1–1
D
Kristiansund BKvRosenborg
1–3
W
Tromso
Tromso
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
VikingvTromso
3–1
L
TromsovKFUM Oslo
1–1
D
FredrikstadvTromso
1–1
D
TromsovHam-Kam
3–2
W
RosenborgvTromso
5–3
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Eliteserien (Norway) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
VikingViking
25
19
2
4
+38
59
2
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
25
19
2
4
+38
59
3
MoldeMolde
25
13
4
8
+20
43
4
RosenborgRosenborg
25
13
4
8
+18
43
5
LillestromLillestrom
25
13
3
9
+3
42
6
TromsoTromso
25
11
7
7
+5
40
7
BrannBrann
25
10
2
13
+3
32
8
ValerengaValerenga
25
9
5
11
-3
32
9
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
25
8
7
10
-7
31
10
KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo
25
8
7
10
-9
31
11
FredrikstadFredrikstad
25
8
5
12
-15
29
12
SandefjordSandefjord
25
7
6
12
-8
27
13
Ham-KamHam-Kam
25
7
6
12
-18
27
14
AalesundAalesund
25
5
9
11
-14
24
15
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
25
6
5
14
-22
23
16
StartStart
25
5
4
16
-29
19