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Major League Soccer (USA)
·
San Diego
San Diego
10th · 30 pts·WLLLD
vs
—
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
6th · 36 pts·WWWWW
The story

Playoff positioning at stake in inaugural Snapdragon clash

A single point is all that separates these two sides from the playoff cut-line as they meet for the first time in San Diego.

Match news & current form

San Diego FC enter this fixture sitting 9th on 30 points, currently occupying the final playoff place with just 10 games remaining. Momentum has stuttered recently following back-to-back defeats against Orlando City and San Jose Earthquakes, though they previously secured impressive home wins over LA Galaxy and Colorado Rapids.

Philadelphia Union hold 8th place in the Eastern Conference, also on 30 points, leaving them just one point clear of the playoff cut. Unlike their hosts, the Union arrive in excellent form, extending a five-match unbeaten run (W3, D2) following a dominant 5-0 victory over FC Cincinnati and a 2-0 win against CF Montreal.

Head-to-head history

This is the first-ever meeting between the two clubs, with Philadelphia Union making their inaugural trip to Snapdragon Stadium to face the 2025 expansion side.

Hot stats & streaks
  • San Diego have covered the +0.25 handicap line in 13 of their last 20 home matches.
  • Philadelphia Union are on a five-match unbeaten streak, including three wins in their last five.
  • The Union have failed to cover the -0.25 line in 70% of their last 10 away fixtures.
  • San Diego's Scottish midfielder Onni Valakari has recorded a goal and three assists since the World Cup break.
Key players & missing men

San Diego will be without starting goalkeeper CJ Dos Santos, who is suspended after picking up two yellows against San Jose, while top scorer Marcus Ingvartsen remains sidelined with an injury. The hosts will rely on Anders Dreyer, who has nine goals this term, and former Union player David Vazquez. Philadelphia are missing P. Ndinga but boast an in-form attack that has netted 13 goals across their last five outings.

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Our model prices every market we cover on San Diego vs Philadelphia Union and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
San Diego2.3
–
2.0Philadelphia Union
Season average total: 4.21 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
San Diego winDrawPhiladelphia Union win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Philadelphia Union
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

San DiegoSan DiegoPhiladelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
1.69Goals scored / game1.92
1.69Goals conceded / game1.62
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — San Diego 26 games, Philadelphia Union 26 games.

San DiegoSan DiegoPhiladelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
27%Games with a clean sheet23%
19%Games they failed to score19%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

San Diego
0–5
Philadelphia Union
Form check

Their recent form.

San Diego
San Diego
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
Inter MiamivSan Diego
2–2
D
San DiegovPhiladelphia Union
0–5
L
San DiegovSan Jose Earthquakes
2–3
L
Orlando City SCvSan Diego
1–0
L
San DiegovLos Angeles Galaxy
3–1
W
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
On a strong winning run
Last 5
5W · 0D · 0L
Sporting Kansas CityvPhiladelphia Union
3–4
W
San DiegovPhiladelphia Union
0–5
W
Philadelphia UnionvFC Cincinnati
5–0
W
Philadelphia UnionvCF Montreal
2–0
W
New York Red BullsvPhiladelphia Union
1–3
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Nashville SCNashville SC
26
17
6
3
+32
57
2
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
26
14
4
8
+12
46
3
Inter MiamiInter Miami
25
12
9
4
+15
45
4
CharlotteCharlotte
26
12
7
7
+10
43
5
Chicago FireChicago Fire
25
11
6
8
+7
39
6
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
26
10
6
10
+8
36
7
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
26
10
4
12
-14
34
8
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
26
9
6
11
-14
33
9
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
25
8
9
8
-7
33
10
New York City FCNew York City FC
26
8
8
10
+5
32
11
DC UnitedDC United
25
6
11
8
-8
29
12
Toronto FCToronto FC
26
6
11
9
-10
29
13
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
26
7
5
14
-5
26
14
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
26
7
5
14
-13
26
15
CF MontrealCF Montreal
26
5
6
15
-22
21