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Major League Soccer (USA)
·
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
5th · 42 pts·DDWWD
vs
—
Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
2nd · 44 pts·DDWLD
The story

Dynamo hunt top spot as Quakes defend playoff cushion

Second-place Houston Dynamo travel to PayPal Park aiming to close the three-point gap at the top of the table, while San Jose Earthquakes look to solidify their five-place standing in the playoff places.

Match news & current form

San Jose Earthquakes enter this fixture sitting fifth on 38 points, holding an eight-point cushion inside the playoff places with 10 games remaining. Manager Bruce Arena believes his side is 'turning the corner' following a three-match unbeaten run on the road, most recently securing a -3-2 victory against San Diego FC. Returning to PayPal Park, the Quakes aim to improve a recent home record that saw them suffer a heavy 1-5 defeat to Minnesota United FC in their last outing in front of their own fans.

Houston Dynamo remain firmly in the title race, sitting second on 43 points and just three behind the leaders. Ben Olsen’s side has shown impressive resilience, losing only once in their last five matches. They arrive in California following a 2-1 win over Real Salt Lake, a result that kept them within striking distance of the Western Conference top seed. The Dynamo have been particularly effective on their travels lately, posting a 3-1-1 record in away league fixtures since the World Cup break.

Head-to-head history

This is the second meeting between these sides in just two weeks, following a 0-0 draw at Shell Energy Stadium on 30 August. Houston holds the historical advantage in the regular-season series with a 19-11-6 record. While the last encounter was a stalemate, the previous four meetings saw both sides find the net, including a 3-3 draw in San Jose in May 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Houston Dynamo have avoided defeat in nine of their last ten league matches.
  • Attacker Guilherme has been directly involved in 65.6% of Houston’s league goals this season (21 of 32).
  • San Jose are unbeaten in their last three matches, including two consecutive draws followed by a win.
  • The Dynamo have lost only one of their last five meetings against the Earthquakes (W2 D2 L1).
Key players & missing men

Preston Judd is the focal point for San Jose with 12 goals this term, though Ousseni Bouda is on standby should Judd’s fitness waver. Houston’s Guilherme is the man in form, closing in on his 50th appearance for the club. The Dynamo will be without L. Foster, J. Maurer, and M. Saracchi, while the Earthquakes are missing a significant contingent including N. Adimabua, E. Edwards, M. Floriani, D. Johnson, D. Jones, and P. Marie.

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Our model prices every market we cover on San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
San Jose Earthquakes1.6
–
1.5Houston Dynamo
Season average total: 3.08 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
San Jose Earthquakes winDrawHouston Dynamo win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Houston Dynamo
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose EarthquakesHouston DynamoHouston Dynamo
1.77Goals scored / game1.31
1.46Goals conceded / game1.15
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — San Jose Earthquakes 26 games, Houston Dynamo 26 games.

San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose EarthquakesHouston DynamoHouston Dynamo
27%Games with a clean sheet42%
15%Games they failed to score27%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

San Jose Earthquakes
1–0
Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
0–0
San Jose Earthquakes
Houston Dynamo
1–2
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
3–3
Houston Dynamo
San Jose Earthquakes
0–1
Houston Dynamo
Form check

Their recent form.

San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
San Jose EarthquakesvLos Angeles FC
2–2
D
San Jose EarthquakesvHouston Dynamo
1–0
W
San DiegovSan Jose Earthquakes
2–3
W
AustinvSan Jose Earthquakes
1–1
D
Houston DynamovSan Jose Earthquakes
0–0
D
Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 3D · 1L
Houston DynamovFC Cincinnati
2–2
D
San Jose EarthquakesvHouston Dynamo
1–0
L
Houston DynamovReal Salt Lake
2–1
W
CharlottevHouston Dynamo
0–0
D
Houston DynamovSan Jose Earthquakes
0–0
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
25
15
4
6
+33
49
2
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
26
13
5
8
+4
44
3
St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
26
12
8
6
+9
44
4
FC DallasFC Dallas
26
12
8
6
+7
44
5
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
26
12
6
8
+8
42
6
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
27
11
8
8
+14
41
7
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
26
11
3
12
+1
36
8
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
27
8
9
10
-8
33
9
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
26
9
5
12
-1
32
10
San DiegoSan Diego
25
8
6
11
+0
30
11
AustinAustin
26
7
9
10
-12
30
12
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
25
8
5
12
-5
29
13
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
24
7
8
9
-5
29
14
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
26
7
8
11
-7
29
15
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
25
5
3
17
-34
18