Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 18h
Eliteserien (Norway)
·
Sandefjord
Sandefjord
12th · 24 pts·DDLWD
vs
—
Lillestrom
Lillestrom
6th · 33 pts·LWWLD
The story

Sandefjord host Lillestrom with eight league games remaining

Lillestrom travel to Sandefjord aiming to close a four-point gap to the Conference League places, while the hosts look to pull clear of danger with eight fixtures left.

Match news & current form

Sandefjord enter the contest sitting 12th on 24 points, currently 13 points and eight places off the Conference League places. They have lost just once in their last five matches, earning an encouraging 1-1 draw away at Rosenborg last time out after previously beating Start 3-0 at home.

Promoted side Lillestrom hold 6th place on 33 points, remaining firmly in the hunt just four points adrift of the Conference League places. Their recent momentum has stuttered, however, suffering a comprehensive 3-0 defeat at Viking last time out to make it two defeats from their last four league outings.

Head-to-head history

The reverse fixture earlier this season ended in a 3-1 home victory for Lillestrom in May 2026. Prior to that, Sandefjord had claimed consecutive wins in the match-up, winning 2-1 away in January 2026 and securing a 3-0 away win in November 2024.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Sandefjord are unbeaten in three consecutive home matches, recording a 3-0 win against Start and 1-1 and 0-0 draws against Viking and Brann.
  • Sandefjord have suffered only one defeat in their last five league fixtures.
  • Lillestrom have suffered heavy away and home reverses recently, conceding three at Viking and four against Fredrikstad across their last four matches.
Key players & missing men

Sandefjord must contend with a lengthy absentee list, missing T. Borkeeiet, D. Koswal, M. Melchior, N. Moller, and F. Loftesnes-Bjune. Lillestrom also have defensive and midfield holes to plug, with E. B. Garnas, C. Jebara, and L. Alperud ruled out.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Sandefjord vs Lillestrom and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Sandefjord1.1
–
1.0Lillestrom
Season average total: 2.04 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Sandefjord winDrawLillestrom win
Market call
Double chance : Sandefjord or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Sandefjord
1424
Lillestrom
1363

Sandefjord are the stronger side — 60 rating points clear of Lillestrom.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

SandefjordSandefjordLillestromLillestrom
1.00Goals scored / game1.36
1.27Goals conceded / game1.41
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Sandefjord 22 games, Lillestrom 22 games.

SandefjordSandefjordLillestromLillestrom
27%Games with a clean sheet27%
32%Games they failed to score32%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Lillestrom
3–1
Sandefjord
Lillestrom
1–2
Sandefjord
Lillestrom
0–3
Sandefjord
Sandefjord
0–1
Lillestrom
Lillestrom
2–2
Sandefjord
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

Sandefjord
T. Borkeeiet
Out · Red Card
Sandefjord
D. Koswal
Out · Knee Injury
Sandefjord
M. Melchior
Out · Knee Injury
Sandefjord
N. Moller
Out · Ankle Injury
Form check

Their recent form.

Sandefjord
Sandefjord
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 3D · 1L
RosenborgvSandefjord
1–1
D
SandefjordvStart
3–0
W
Bodo/GlimtvSandefjord
3–2
L
SandefjordvViking
1–1
D
SandefjordvBrann
0–0
D
Lillestrom
Lillestrom
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
LillestromvMolde
2–2
D
VikingvLillestrom
3–0
L
LillestromvValerenga
2–0
W
BrannvLillestrom
1–2
W
LillestromvFredrikstad
1–4
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Eliteserien (Norway) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
VikingViking
22
17
2
3
+36
53
2
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
22
17
2
3
+36
53
3
TromsoTromso
22
11
6
5
+11
39
4
MoldeMolde
22
11
4
7
+12
37
5
RosenborgRosenborg
22
10
4
8
+9
34
6
LillestromLillestrom
22
10
3
9
-1
33
7
BrannBrann
22
9
2
11
+5
29
8
FredrikstadFredrikstad
22
8
5
9
-7
29
9
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
22
7
7
8
-3
28
10
KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo
22
8
4
10
-9
28
11
Ham-KamHam-Kam
22
7
5
10
-13
26
12
SandefjordSandefjord
22
6
6
10
-6
24
13
ValerengaValerenga
22
6
5
11
-10
23
14
AalesundAalesund
22
4
9
9
-15
21
15
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
22
5
4
13
-21
19
16
StartStart
22
4
4
14
-24
16