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Serie A (Brazil)
·
Santos
Santos
9th · 47 pts·DLWDD
vs
—
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
5th · 54 pts·DWLDL
The story

Survival Stakes Meet Continental Dreams at Vila Belmiro

Santos look to distance themselves from the relegation zone while high-flying Atletico Paranaense aim to solidify their grip on a continental qualification spot.

Match news & current form

Santos enter this fixture in 15th place with 22 points, sitting just one point above the relegation zone with 20 matches remaining. Their survival is far from secured, and momentum has been difficult to find after a 2-2 home draw against bottom-side Chapecoense and a narrow 2-3 defeat to Gremio. However, a recent 1-0 Copa do Brasil victory over Remo has provided a much-needed morale boost.

Atletico Paranaense are enjoying a standout campaign, currently 3rd in the table with 37 points. They are on a five-match unbeaten streak in Serie A (W4, D1), including a 2-0 victory over Internacional and a hard-fought 0-0 draw away at Corinthians in their last outing. With 19 games to play, they are firmly in the hunt for a direct Copa Libertadores berth.

Head-to-head history

Recent encounters between these two sides have been tightly contested, with two of the last five meetings ending in draws. Historically, this fixture has been a difficult trip for the Curitiba-based side, despite their current superior league standing.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Atletico Paranaense are currently on a five-match unbeaten streak in league play.
  • Leozinho is the man in form for the visitors, having netted three goals in his last five Serie A appearances.
  • Santos have struggled for consistency, recording only one win in their last five league matches.
  • The visitors have kept clean sheets in two of their last three matches, including their most recent trip to Corinthians.
Key players & missing men

Santos will be without several key figures, including the long-term absence of Neymar and defensive stalwarts Gustavo Henrique and Lucas Verissimo. Igor Vinicius and Vinicius Lira also remain sidelined. For the visitors, Claudinho, Lucas Esquivel, and J. Portilla are the notable absences, while Felipinho is also expected to miss out.

All eyes will be on Leozinho for Atletico Paranaense as he looks to continue his scoring run, while Santos will rely on Gabriel Menino and Miguel Terceros to provide the creative spark needed to break down a disciplined Furacão defence.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Santos1.4
–
1.3Atletico Paranaense
Season average total: 2.71 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Santos winDrawAtletico Paranaense win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Atletico Paranaense
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

SantosSantosAtletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
1.48Goals scored / game1.52
1.42Goals conceded / game1.21
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Santos 33 games, Atletico Paranaense 33 games.

SantosSantosAtletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
21%Games with a clean sheet24%
12%Games they failed to score24%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Santos
0–2
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
2–1
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
3–0
Santos
Santos
1–1
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
2–0
Atletico Paranaense
Form check

Their recent form.

Santos
Santos
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 3D · 1L
SantosvPalmeiras
0–0
D
SantosvBahia
1–1
D
FluminensevSantos
1–2
W
Atletico-MGvSantos
2–1
L
SantosvFlamengo
2–2
D
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
GremiovAtletico Paranaense
2–0
L
VitoriavAtletico Paranaense
1–1
D
Atletico ParanaensevPalmeiras
0–2
L
Chapecoense-scvAtletico Paranaense
1–4
W
Atletico ParanaensevAtletico-MG
2–2
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FlamengoFlamengo
34
23
7
4
+42
76
2
PalmeirasPalmeiras
33
20
10
3
+34
70
3
CruzeiroCruzeiro
33
17
6
10
+6
57
4
FluminenseFluminense
33
15
9
9
+10
54
5
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
34
15
9
10
+8
54
6
BahiaBahia
33
14
11
8
+6
53
7
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
33
14
8
11
+5
50
8
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
34
13
8
13
+5
47
9
SantosSantos
34
12
11
11
+1
47
10
Sao PauloSao Paulo
33
12
7
14
+0
43
11
CoritibaCoritiba
34
11
9
14
-11
42
12
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
33
11
8
14
-7
41
13
MirassolMirassol
34
10
10
14
-9
40
14
BotafogoBotafogo
33
10
9
14
-8
39
15
VitoriaVitoria
33
10
8
15
-13
38
16
InternacionalInternacional
34
9
11
14
-4
38
17
GremioGremio
34
9
10
15
-9
37
18
CorinthiansCorinthians
33
9
9
15
-6
36
19
RemoRemo
33
6
11
16
-15
29
20
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
33
4
9
20
-35
21