Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 17h
Serie A (Brazil)
·
Santos
Santos
8th · 46 pts·WDLWD
vs
—
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
1st · 69 pts·DWWWW
The story

Santos host leaders Palmeiras targeting Copa Sudamericana qualification

With six games remaining in Serie A, Palmeiras look to protect their lead in the title race, while Santos aim to strengthen their grip on a Copa Sudamericana place.

Match news & current form

Santos sit eighth on 46 points, holding a spot in the Copa Sudamericana qualification places and standing seven points clear of the cut-off. Form has been steady with only one defeat in their last five matches, entering this clash off the back of a 1-1 home draw against Bahia.

Palmeiras lead the division on 69 points with six fixtures left and remain in control of the championship hunt. Despite winning four of their last five league games, their momentum was briefly interrupted last time out by a 0-1 home loss against Fluminense.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings between these rivals have been tight, low-scoring encounters. Their previous clash on 3 September 2026 finished in a 0-0 draw, following a 3-0 home victory for Palmeiras in August. Santos won the equivalent home fixture 1-0 in November 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Four of the last five head-to-head encounters between Santos and Palmeiras have produced one goal or fewer.
  • Santos have lost just one of their last five Serie A fixtures (W2 D2 L1).
  • Palmeiras have failed to score in two of their last four matches across all competitions against Santos.
Key players & missing men

Santos face a testing selection situation at Vila Belmiro, with Brazão, Lucas Veríssimo, Arthur, Escobar and Willian Arão all reported unavailable due to injury or suspension. Palmeiras travel with no fresh absence concerns reported.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Santos vs Palmeiras and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Santos1.1
–
1.5Palmeiras
Season average total: 2.56 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Santos winDrawPalmeiras win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Palmeiras
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

SantosSantosPalmeirasPalmeiras
1.53Goals scored / game1.75
1.47Goals conceded / game0.69
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Santos 32 games, Palmeiras 32 games.

SantosSantosPalmeirasPalmeiras
19%Games with a clean sheet47%
9%Games they failed to score13%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Santos
0–0
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
3–0
Santos
Palmeiras
1–1
Santos
Palmeiras
1–0
Santos
Santos
1–0
Palmeiras
Form check

Their recent form.

Santos
Santos
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
SantosvBahia
1–1
D
FluminensevSantos
1–2
W
Atletico-MGvSantos
2–1
L
SantosvFlamengo
2–2
D
Sao PaulovSantos
1–2
W
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 1D · 0L
PalmeirasvRB Bragantino
2–0
W
Atletico ParanaensevPalmeiras
0–2
W
PalmeirasvCorinthians
4–1
W
PalmeirasvBahia
1–0
W
GremiovPalmeiras
0–0
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
PalmeirasPalmeiras
32
20
9
3
+34
69
2
FlamengoFlamengo
31
20
7
4
+36
67
3
CruzeiroCruzeiro
32
16
6
10
+5
54
4
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
32
15
9
8
+12
54
5
FluminenseFluminense
32
14
9
9
+9
51
6
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
31
14
8
9
+7
50
7
BahiaBahia
32
13
11
8
+5
50
8
SantosSantos
32
12
10
10
+2
46
9
Sao PauloSao Paulo
32
12
7
13
+1
43
10
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
32
11
8
13
+1
41
11
BotafogoBotafogo
32
10
9
13
-7
39
12
CoritibaCoritiba
31
10
9
12
-11
39
13
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
31
10
8
13
-6
38
14
VitoriaVitoria
32
10
8
14
-11
38
15
MirassolMirassol
32
9
10
13
-8
37
16
InternacionalInternacional
32
8
11
13
-4
35
17
CorinthiansCorinthians
32
8
9
15
-8
33
18
GremioGremio
31
7
10
14
-10
31
19
RemoRemo
32
5
11
16
-16
26
20
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
31
4
9
18
-31
21