Winlytics.AI
Full time
Serie A (Brazil)
·
Santos
Santos
8th · 38 pts·DWWWW
vs
Vitoria
Vitoria
13th · 33 pts·LLWDL
The story

Santos desperate for survival as Vitoria eye Europe

Relegation-threatened Santos host surprise package Vitoria in the final fixture before the World Cup break, with both sides desperate to secure crucial points at opposite ends of the table.

Match news & current form

Santos find themselves in a precarious position, sitting 17th on 18 points and just two points above the drop zone with 21 games left to play. Their top-flight survival is far from secured, and defensive vulnerabilities have been heavily exposed after conceding six goals in their last two outings—a 3-0 home defeat to Coritiba followed by a 3-2 loss at Gremio.

Vitoria arrive in a much more comfortable position, sitting 11th on 22 points and just four points off the European qualification places with 22 games remaining. However, they must overcome a depleted squad and accumulated fatigue from a demanding schedule, having recently suffered a 3-1 defeat to Atletico Paranaense and a 2-0 loss against RB Bragantino.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings between these two sides have been incredibly tight, with both matches in 2025 ending in 1-0 away victories. Vitoria took the spoils at the Vila Belmiro in October, while Santos won the reverse fixture in May.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Santos have failed to hold onto their lead in five of their recent matches.
  • Santos have conceded six goals across their last two league outings.
  • Vitoria have struggled heavily on the road, losing 12 of their last 20 away matches.
  • Vitoria have conceded at least two goals in three of their last five matches.
Key players & missing men

Santos will have to navigate this crucial fixture without a host of players, as Gustavo Henrique, Joao Schmidt, B. Rollheiser, Thaciano, Vinicius Lira, and Gabriel Menino are all ruled out. Vitoria's depleted squad is also missing key depth, with Anderson, Caca, Camutanga, A. Cantalapiedra, Dudu, and Edu sidelined.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Santos vs Vitoria — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Santos vs Vitoria and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Santos1.8
1.0Vitoria
Season average total: 2.79 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Santos winDrawVitoria win
Market call
Double chance : Santos or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

SantosSantosVitoriaVitoria
1.52Goals scored / game1.00
1.48Goals conceded / game1.44
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Santos 27 games, Vitoria 27 games.

SantosSantosVitoriaVitoria
22%Games with a clean sheet37%
11%Games they failed to score33%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Santos
3–1
Vitoria
Santos
0–1
Vitoria
Vitoria
0–1
Santos
Vitoria
0–1
Santos
Santos
5–2
Vitoria
Form check

Their recent form.

Santos
Santos
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 1D · 0L
RemovSantos
1–2
W
SantosvCruzeiro
2–1
W
InternacionalvSantos
2–3
W
CorinthiansvSantos
0–1
W
SantosvMirassol
1–1
D
Vitoria
Vitoria
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
VitoriavCruzeiro
1–3
L
MirassolvVitoria
2–2
D
VitoriavGremio
1–0
W
Atletico-MGvVitoria
2–1
L
VitoriavBahia
0–2
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FlamengoFlamengo
27
17
6
4
+31
57
2
PalmeirasPalmeiras
28
16
9
3
+26
57
3
FluminenseFluminense
28
13
9
6
+8
48
4
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
27
13
7
7
+10
46
5
BahiaBahia
27
12
10
5
+9
46
6
CruzeiroCruzeiro
28
13
6
9
+2
45
7
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
27
11
7
9
+4
40
8
SantosSantos
27
10
8
9
+1
38
9
CoritibaCoritiba
28
10
8
10
-6
38
10
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
26
10
6
10
+3
36
11
Sao PauloSao Paulo
27
10
6
11
+2
36
12
BotafogoBotafogo
28
9
8
11
-4
35
13
VitoriaVitoria
28
9
6
13
-14
33
14
CorinthiansCorinthians
28
8
8
12
-3
32
15
MirassolMirassol
28
8
8
12
-9
32
16
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
27
8
7
12
-7
31
17
GremioGremio
28
7
8
13
-8
29
18
InternacionalInternacional
28
6
10
12
-6
28
19
RemoRemo
28
5
8
15
-15
23
20
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
27
3
9
15
-24
18