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Serie A (Brazil)
·
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
10th · 43 pts·LWWDL
vs
—
Corinthians
Corinthians
18th · 36 pts·LLDLW
The story

Sao Paulo host Corinthians seeking Copa Sudamericana qualification

Sao Paulo aim to protect their Copa Sudamericana spot against a Corinthians side desperate to escape the relegation zone with five games remaining.

Match news & current form

Dorival Junior's Sao Paulo sit 10th on 43 points, occupying a Copa Sudamericana place by just a single point with five matches left to play. After successive home victories over Vitoria (2-1) and Vasco da Gama (1-0), their momentum was checked last time out by a 3-2 defeat away at Bahia, making a positive result in the Majestoso essential to keep their continental target in hand.

Corinthians arrive at Vila Belmiro inside the relegation zone in 18th place on 36 points. A 2-0 home victory against Mirassol halted a miserable run that included away defeats to Internacional (2-1), Palmeiras (4-1), and Vasco da Gama (3-2), giving the visitors a glimmer of hope as they attempt to mount a late-season escape.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings in this derby have favoured the home team. Corinthians took the reverse league fixture 3-2 in May 2026, but Sao Paulo have commanded recent clashes as hosts, notably winning 2-0 in July 2025 and 3-1 in January 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Corinthians have lost three consecutive away matches in Serie A, conceding nine goals across those trips.
  • Sao Paulo have won their last two home league fixtures against Vitoria and Vasco da Gama.
  • The home side has won four of the last five meetings between these two clubs.
Key players & missing men

Rodrigo Garro remains the central creative outlet for Corinthians, though the visitors have fitness concerns over Memphis Depay alongside confirmed absences for Gabriel Paulista, Kayke, Zakaria Labyad, Matheuzinho, and Raniele. Sao Paulo rely on Jonathan Calleri and Luciano in attack but will have to reshuffle their ranks with Artur, Nicolas Bosshardt, Buta, Doria Duarte, Marcos Antonio, and Sabino all sidelined.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Sao Paulo1.6
–
1.0Corinthians
Season average total: 2.53 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Sao Paulo winDrawCorinthians win
Market call
Double chance : Sao Paulo or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Sao PauloSao PauloCorinthiansCorinthians
1.18Goals scored / game1.09
1.18Goals conceded / game1.27
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Sao Paulo 33 games, Corinthians 33 games.

Sao PauloSao PauloCorinthiansCorinthians
21%Games with a clean sheet33%
21%Games they failed to score21%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Corinthians
3–2
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
1–1
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
3–1
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
2–0
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
3–1
Corinthians
Form check

Their recent form.

Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
BahiavSao Paulo
3–2
L
MirassolvSao Paulo
1–1
D
Sao PaulovVasco DA Gama
1–0
W
Sao PaulovVitoria
2–1
W
CruzeirovSao Paulo
2–0
L
Corinthians
Corinthians
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
CorinthiansvMirassol
2–0
W
Vasco DA GamavCorinthians
3–2
L
CorinthiansvVitoria
1–1
D
PalmeirasvCorinthians
4–1
L
InternacionalvCorinthians
2–1
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FlamengoFlamengo
34
23
7
4
+42
76
2
PalmeirasPalmeiras
33
20
10
3
+34
70
3
CruzeiroCruzeiro
33
17
6
10
+6
57
4
FluminenseFluminense
33
15
9
9
+10
54
5
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
34
15
9
10
+8
54
6
BahiaBahia
33
14
11
8
+6
53
7
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
33
14
8
11
+5
50
8
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
34
13
8
13
+5
47
9
SantosSantos
34
12
11
11
+1
47
10
Sao PauloSao Paulo
33
12
7
14
+0
43
11
CoritibaCoritiba
34
11
9
14
-11
42
12
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
33
11
8
14
-7
41
13
MirassolMirassol
34
10
10
14
-9
40
14
BotafogoBotafogo
33
10
9
14
-8
39
15
VitoriaVitoria
33
10
8
15
-13
38
16
InternacionalInternacional
34
9
11
14
-4
38
17
GremioGremio
34
9
10
15
-9
37
18
CorinthiansCorinthians
33
9
9
15
-6
36
19
RemoRemo
33
6
11
16
-15
29
20
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
33
4
9
20
-35
21