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Liga Profesional (Argentina)
·
Sarmiento Junin
Sarmiento Junin
11th · 19 pts·WLWDL
vs
—
Estudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
1st · 31 pts·WLDLW
The story

Leaders Estudiantes face resurgent Sarmiento in Junin

Estudiantes L.P. look to defend their position at the top of the table against a Sarmiento Junin side that has suddenly found its rhythm with three straight wins.

Match news & current form

Sarmiento Junin sit 11th on 19 points, trailing the European qualification spots by nine points with 30 games remaining. They arrive at the Estadio Eva Peron in their best form of the season, having secured three wins on the bounce against Huracan, Atletico Tucuman, and Independiente Rivadavia. Their recent 2-0 victory over Huracan showcased their defensive control, particularly after their opponents were reduced to ten men.

League leaders Estudiantes L.P. remain in control of the title race with 31 points, but their recent form has been uncharacteristically shaky. Despite a thumping 4-0 derby win over Gimnasia L.P. recently, they have suffered three defeats in their last five outings, including consecutive 2-0 losses against Deportivo Riestra and Independiente. They must rediscover their consistency to maintain their lead at the summit.

Head-to-head history

Historically, Estudiantes have dominated this fixture, winning six of the last nine meetings compared to just two for Sarmiento. However, recent encounters have been tight, with six of the last seven matches finishing with under 3.5 goals. While Estudiantes boast a 67% win rate in historical Liga Profesional clashes against the hosts, Sarmiento's current three-game winning streak is their strongest run in this matchup for years.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Sarmiento have failed to keep a clean sheet in six of their last seven matches despite their recent winning run.
  • Estudiantes have recorded three draws in their last six matches across all competitions.
  • Sarmiento have been 'all or nothing' recently, recording four wins and six defeats with no draws in their last ten games.
  • Both teams have scored in four of the last seven head-to-head meetings.
Key players & missing men

Both squads appear to have a clean bill of health with no major absences reported for this clash. Sarmiento will rely on the momentum of a squad that has averaged 2.0 goals per match over their last five outings. Estudiantes will be looking to their experienced core to bounce back from a run where they have failed to score in three of their last five matches.

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Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P. — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes L.P. and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Sarmiento Junin1.1
–
0.8Estudiantes L.P.
Season average total: 1.82 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Sarmiento Junin winDrawEstudiantes L.P. win
Market call
Double chance : Sarmiento Junin or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Sarmiento JuninSarmiento JuninEstudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
1.15Goals scored / game1.08
1.38Goals conceded / game0.65
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Sarmiento Junin 26 games, Estudiantes L.P. 26 games.

Sarmiento JuninSarmiento JuninEstudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
31%Games with a clean sheet46%
23%Games they failed to score50%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Sarmiento Junin
2–0
Estudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
1–0
Sarmiento Junin
Sarmiento Junin
2–0
Estudiantes L.P.
Sarmiento Junin
3–1
Estudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
2–1
Sarmiento Junin
Form check

Their recent form.

Sarmiento Junin
Sarmiento Junin
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Racing ClubvSarmiento Junin
3–1
L
Sarmiento JuninvBelgrano Cordoba
1–1
D
Estudiantes de Rio CuartovSarmiento Junin
0–2
W
Union Santa FevSarmiento Junin
4–1
L
Sarmiento JuninvEstudiantes L.P.
2–0
W
Estudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Estudiantes L.P.vPlatense
2–1
W
Velez SarsfieldvEstudiantes L.P.
1–0
L
Estudiantes L.P.vNewells Old Boys
0–0
D
Sarmiento JuninvEstudiantes L.P.
2–0
L
Estudiantes L.P.vGimnasia L.P.
4–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Liga Profesional (Argentina) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
16
9
4
3
+12
31
2
Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
16
8
6
2
+13
30
3
Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
16
7
7
2
+6
28
4
Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba
16
7
5
4
+4
26
5
IndependienteIndependiente
16
6
6
4
+4
24
6
LanusLanus
16
6
6
4
+3
24
7
San LorenzoSan Lorenzo
16
5
7
4
+0
22
8
Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
16
5
6
5
+4
21
9
Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba
16
6
3
7
+0
21
10
Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia
16
4
7
5
-3
19
11
Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
16
5
4
7
-8
19
12
PlatensePlatense
16
3
7
6
-5
16
13
Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago
16
4
4
8
-10
16
14
Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys
16
3
6
7
-12
15
15
Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra
16
1
8
7
-7
11