Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 19h
Serie A (Italy)
·
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
10th · 7 pts·LWDWL
vs
—
AC Milan
AC Milan
5th · 11 pts·WWDDW
The story

Unbeaten AC Milan visit Sassuolo in Reggio Emilia

Unbeaten AC Milan head to the Mapei Stadium looking to sustain their strong start against a Sassuolo side sitting mid-table after five rounds.

Match news & current form

Sassuolo sit 10th on seven points after five games, having followed up an impressive 3-2 home victory over Juventus with a 2-1 defeat at Monza last time out. Every single one of their league fixtures this campaign has seen both teams get on the scoresheet, reflecting an open approach that yields chances at both ends.

AC Milan have made a strong start under Ruben Amorim, sitting fifth on 11 points and remaining unbeaten in Serie A with three wins and two draws. The Rossoneri entered the break on a high after sweeping past Lecce 3-0 at San Siro, following previous high-scoring trips to Lazio (2-2) and Torino (2-1).

Head-to-head history

Sassuolo have held the upper hand in recent league encounters, going unbeaten across their last three Serie A meetings with Milan. That sequence includes a 2-0 home victory in May 2026 and a 2-2 draw at San Siro in December 2025, alongside an entertaining 3-3 draw at the Mapei Stadium back in April 2024.

Hot stats & streaks
  • All five of Sassuolo's Serie A matches this season have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
  • AC Milan are unbeaten in their opening five Serie A fixtures (W3, D2).
  • Sassuolo are unbeaten in their last three Serie A meetings with AC Milan.
  • Four of the last five competitive meetings between these sides have generated at least four goals.
Key players & missing men

Domenico Berardi and forward Sebastiano Esposito carry the main attacking threat for Sassuolo, but the hosts are depleted across several departments with I. Kone, E. Pieragnolo, S. Walukiewicz, Fali Cande, D. Boloca, and Y. Paz all unavailable. AC Milan have reported no fresh absences, with goalkeeper Mike Maignan and playmaker Luka Modric ready to start.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Sassuolo vs AC Milan and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Sassuolo1.9
–
1.6AC Milan
Season average total: 3.50 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Sassuolo winDrawAC Milan win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or AC Milan
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Sassuolo
1622
AC Milan
1750

AC Milan are the stronger side — 128 rating points clear of Sassuolo.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

SassuoloSassuolo
Goals scored
1.40
Expected (xG)
1.84
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
AC MilanAC Milan
Goals scored
1.50
Expected (xG)
1.62
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

SassuoloSassuoloAC MilanAC Milan
1.80Goals scored / game2.00
1.80Goals conceded / game0.80
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Sassuolo 5 games, AC Milan 5 games.

SassuoloSassuoloAC MilanAC Milan
0%Games with a clean sheet40%
0%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Sassuolo
2–0
AC Milan
AC Milan
2–2
Sassuolo
AC Milan
6–1
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
3–3
AC Milan
AC Milan
1–0
Sassuolo
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

Sassuolo
I. Koné
Out · Broken Leg
Sassuolo
E. Pieragnolo
Out · Jumpers Knee
Sassuolo
S. Walukiewicz
Out · Muscle Bruise
Sassuolo
Fali Candé
Out · Jumpers Knee
Form check

Their recent form.

Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
MonzavSassuolo
2–1
L
SassuolovJuventus
3–2
W
BolognavSassuolo
2–2
D
SassuolovTorino
2–1
W
AtalantavSassuolo
2–1
L
AC Milan
AC Milan
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 2D · 0L
AC MilanvLecce
3–0
W
LaziovAC Milan
2–2
D
JuventusvAC Milan
1–1
D
AC MilanvVenezia
2–0
W
TorinovAC Milan
1–2
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
AS RomaAS Roma
5
4
1
0
+11
13
2
InterInter
5
4
1
0
+7
13
3
LazioLazio
5
4
1
0
+5
13
4
CagliariCagliari
5
4
0
1
+3
12
5
AC MilanAC Milan
5
3
2
0
+6
11
6
FrosinoneFrosinone
5
3
1
1
+5
10
7
JuventusJuventus
5
3
1
1
+4
10
8
ComoComo
5
3
1
1
+3
10
9
NapoliNapoli
5
2
1
2
+1
7
10
SassuoloSassuolo
5
2
1
2
+0
7
11
AtalantaAtalanta
5
2
0
3
-2
6
12
LecceLecce
5
2
0
3
-5
6
13
UdineseUdinese
5
1
1
3
-3
4
14
TorinoTorino
5
1
1
3
-3
4
15
ParmaParma
5
1
1
3
-3
4
16
MonzaMonza
5
1
1
3
-4
4
17
FiorentinaFiorentina
5
1
1
3
-6
4
18
BolognaBologna
5
0
2
3
-3
2
19
GenoaGenoa
5
0
1
4
-7
1
20
VeneziaVenezia
5
0
0
5
-9
0