Unbeaten AC Milan head to the Mapei Stadium looking to sustain their strong start against a Sassuolo side sitting mid-table after five rounds.
Sassuolo sit 10th on seven points after five games, having followed up an impressive 3-2 home victory over Juventus with a 2-1 defeat at Monza last time out. Every single one of their league fixtures this campaign has seen both teams get on the scoresheet, reflecting an open approach that yields chances at both ends.
AC Milan have made a strong start under Ruben Amorim, sitting fifth on 11 points and remaining unbeaten in Serie A with three wins and two draws. The Rossoneri entered the break on a high after sweeping past Lecce 3-0 at San Siro, following previous high-scoring trips to Lazio (2-2) and Torino (2-1).
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
AC Milan are the stronger side — 128 rating points clear of Sassuolo.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Sassuolo 5 games, AC Milan 5 games.
Serie A (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.