Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 19h
Serie A (Italy)
·
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
15th · 8 pts·LDLLL
vs
—
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
18th · 5 pts·DLLLD
The story

Sassuolo host slow-starting Fiorentina at the Mapei Stadium

With nine games played, Sassuolo aim to capitalise on home comfort against a Fiorentina side still searching for form.

Match news & current form

Sassuolo sit 15th with eight points from nine games, having taken a win and two draws from their last five league fixtures. Recent results highlight their punch at home, including a 3-2 victory over Juventus and a 1-1 draw with AC Milan, even after falling 4-2 at Frosinone in their latest away test.

Fiorentina have endured a slow start to the campaign, occupying 18th place on five points after nine games. They are winless in their last five matches (D2 L3), though they managed a 2-2 draw with Atalanta last time out following a tight 2-1 defeat at Inter. Under Paolo Vanoli, who took charge in early September, the visitors are still seeking defensive consistency.

Head-to-head history

Honours are evenly split across the last five meetings with two wins apiece and one draw. The sides drew 0-0 in Florence in April 2026, while Sassuolo claimed a 3-1 home victory when they met at the Mapei Stadium in December 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Fiorentina are winless in their last five league matches.
  • Sassuolo have taken four points from their last two home fixtures against Juventus and AC Milan.
  • The last five head-to-head meetings have produced two wins for Sassuolo, two for Fiorentina, and one draw.
Key players & missing men

Sassuolo enter the contest without I. Koné, E. Pieragnolo, Fali Candé, D. Boloca, and Y. Paz. Fiorentina travel without R. Sottil, while Parisi and Atta have also been sidelined for Vanoli's side.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Sassuolo2.3
–
2.0Fiorentina
Season average total: 4.25 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Sassuolo winDrawFiorentina win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Fiorentina
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Sassuolo
1622
Fiorentina
1670

Fiorentina are the stronger side — 48 rating points clear of Sassuolo.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

SassuoloSassuolo
Goals scored
1.40
Expected (xG)
1.49
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
FiorentinaFiorentina
Goals scored
1.20
Expected (xG)
1.46
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

SassuoloSassuoloFiorentinaFiorentina
1.56Goals scored / game1.22
2.44Goals conceded / game2.33
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Sassuolo 9 games, Fiorentina 9 games.

SassuoloSassuoloFiorentinaFiorentina
0%Games with a clean sheet0%
11%Games they failed to score22%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Fiorentina
0–0
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
3–1
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
5–1
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
1–0
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
1–3
Fiorentina
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

Sassuolo
I. Koné
Out · Broken Leg
Sassuolo
E. Pieragnolo
Out · Jumpers Knee
Sassuolo
Fali Candé
Out · Jumpers Knee
Sassuolo
D. Boloca
Out · Muscle Bruise
Form check

Their recent form.

Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Losing form badly
Last 5
0W · 1D · 4L
SassuolovLazio
2–6
L
ComovSassuolo
2–0
L
FrosinonevSassuolo
4–2
L
SassuolovAC Milan
1–1
D
MonzavSassuolo
2–1
L
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
FiorentinavAtalanta
2–2
D
IntervFiorentina
2–1
L
FiorentinavComo
1–3
L
GenoavFiorentina
2–1
L
FiorentinavNapoli
1–1
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
InterInter
9
8
1
0
+15
25
2
LazioLazio
9
8
1
0
+15
25
3
AS RomaAS Roma
9
6
3
0
+15
21
4
ComoComo
9
6
2
1
+9
20
5
AC MilanAC Milan
9
5
3
1
+7
18
6
FrosinoneFrosinone
9
5
2
2
+8
17
7
NapoliNapoli
9
4
2
3
+6
14
8
JuventusJuventus
9
4
2
3
+1
14
9
TorinoTorino
9
4
1
4
+0
13
10
CagliariCagliari
9
4
1
4
-5
13
11
BolognaBologna
9
3
2
4
+0
11
12
AtalantaAtalanta
9
3
2
4
-1
11
13
GenoaGenoa
9
3
1
5
-5
10
14
LecceLecce
9
3
0
6
-9
9
15
SassuoloSassuolo
9
2
2
5
-8
8
16
MonzaMonza
9
2
1
6
-6
7
17
UdineseUdinese
9
1
2
6
-9
5
18
FiorentinaFiorentina
9
1
2
6
-10
5
19
ParmaParma
9
1
2
6
-10
5
20
VeneziaVenezia
9
1
0
8
-13
3