With nine games played, Sassuolo aim to capitalise on home comfort against a Fiorentina side still searching for form.
Sassuolo sit 15th with eight points from nine games, having taken a win and two draws from their last five league fixtures. Recent results highlight their punch at home, including a 3-2 victory over Juventus and a 1-1 draw with AC Milan, even after falling 4-2 at Frosinone in their latest away test.
Fiorentina have endured a slow start to the campaign, occupying 18th place on five points after nine games. They are winless in their last five matches (D2 L3), though they managed a 2-2 draw with Atalanta last time out following a tight 2-1 defeat at Inter. Under Paolo Vanoli, who took charge in early September, the visitors are still seeking defensive consistency.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Fiorentina are the stronger side — 48 rating points clear of Sassuolo.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Sassuolo 9 games, Fiorentina 9 games.
Serie A (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.