SC Freiburg look to consolidate their early continental standing against a Werder Bremen side desperate to climb out of the bottom three in Daniel Thioune’s first league game in charge.
SC Freiburg enter this fixture sitting 6th and holding a continental place. Julian Schuster’s side carries significant momentum into the weekend, having secured three consecutive victories across all competitions, including a recent outing against Motherwell. Schuster boasts a flawless personal record against Bremen, winning all four of his previous managerial encounters with the Hanseatic club.
Werder Bremen currently occupy 14th place and find themselves inside the early relegation zone. However, they arrive buoyed by a 0-3 DFB Pokal victory over LSK Hansa. This match marks a new era for the visitors as Daniel Thioune takes charge for the first time in the Bundesliga, with reports suggesting a tactical shift to a more expansive 4-3-3 formation.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
SC Freiburg are the stronger side — 119 rating points clear of Werder Bremen.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — SC Freiburg 4 games, Werder Bremen 4 games.
Bundesliga (Germany) standings · both teams highlighted in context.