A place in the top flight is at stake as SC Paderborn 07 look to capitalise on home advantage against a VfL Wolfsburg side desperate to protect their ever-present Bundesliga status.
VfL Wolfsburg enter this second leg under immense pressure to avoid a historic first-ever relegation from the Bundesliga. Following a 0-0 draw in the first leg where they dominated possession but failed to find a breakthrough, the Wolves have now won just once in their last five matches. They are looking to repeat their 2016/17 playoff success to maintain their top-tier standing.
SC Paderborn 07, led by 39-year-old Ralf Kettemann in his debut season, will be the happier of the two sides after keeping a clean sheet at the Volkswagen Arena. Having finished third in the 2. Bundesliga to earn this opportunity, they now return to home turf where they must find the clinical edge that was missing in the reverse fixture.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — SC Paderborn 07 4 games, VfL Wolfsburg — games.
Bundesliga (Germany) standings · both teams highlighted in context.