Winlytics.AI
Full time
World Cup (World)
·
Senegal
Senegal
3rd · 3 pts·LLWL
vs
Iraq
Iraq
4th · 0 pts
The story

Senegal chase knockout lifeline against winless Iraq

Senegal must secure a convincing victory at BMO Field to stand any chance of progressing as a best third-placed team, while Iraq play for pride in their first World Cup for 40 years.

Match news & current form

Senegal enter this final Group I fixture at the bottom of the third-place rankings following consecutive defeats to Norway (2-3) and France (1-3). The Lions of Teranga are fighting for their tournament lives and require a significant swing in their -3 goal difference to leapfrog rivals in the mini-table. Despite showing flashes of quality, defensive errors have left them in the last-chance saloon.

Iraq have endured a difficult return to the world stage, losing 0-3 to France and 1-4 to Norway. While they retain a mathematical outside chance of progression, a -6 goal difference makes their task nearly impossible. Having lost all five of their historical World Cup matches, the priority for the AFC nation is to avoid becoming only the second Asian side to lose their opening six games in the competition.

Head-to-head history

This is the first-ever competitive meeting between Senegal and Iraq. Senegal hold a strong record against AFC opposition in this tournament, remaining unbeaten following a 2-2 draw with Japan in 2018 and a 3-1 win over Qatar in 2022.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Ismaila Sarr has three goals in nine World Cup appearances; one more would set a new national record for the most goals in a player's first 10 games.
  • Iraq have lost every World Cup match they have ever played, spanning back to their 1986 debut.
  • Senegal have only won one of their three previous Matchday 3 fixtures in the World Cup group stages.
  • Both teams have conceded at least three goals in their most recent outing.
Key players & missing men

Senegal face a major selection crisis in goal as former Chelsea keeper Edouard Mendy is a significant doubt with a ligament injury suffered against Norway; Mory Diaw is expected to deputise. The Africans will look to Sadio Mane and Nicolas Jackson to provide the goals needed for a heavy win. Iraq have no reported absences and may rotate their squad, though all eyes are on whether star striker Aymen Hussein can find the net before their exit.

No signal
The model didn’t surface a signal for this match. Browse the data below to form your own view.
Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Senegal vs Iraq and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages at this tournament — updates as the games are played.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game at this tournament.

SenegalSenegalIraqIraq
2.50Goals scored / game0.33
2.25Goals conceded / game4.00
How reliable, this tournament

Every tournament game combined — Senegal 4 games, Iraq 3 games.

SenegalSenegalIraqIraq
25%Games with a clean sheet0%
0%Games they failed to score67%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Senegal
5–0
Iraq
Form check

Their recent form.

Senegal
Senegal
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 0D · 3L
BelgiumvSenegal
3–2
L
SenegalvIraq
5–0
W
NorwayvSenegal
3–2
L
FrancevSenegal
3–1
L
Iraq
Iraq
Iraq — recent form not recorded.
Last 5

No recent matches recorded.

World Cup 2026

The road to the final.

Twelve groups into a 32-team knockout · 72 of 72 group games played · fills in as every result lands.

Round of 3216/16
Round of 168/8
Quarter-finals4/4
Semi-finals2/2
Final1/1
GermanyGermany1 (3)
ParaguayParaguay1 (4)
Pens
FranceFrance3
SwedenSweden0
FT
South AfricaSouth Africa0
CanadaCanada1
FT
NetherlandsNetherlands1 (2)
MoroccoMorocco1 (3)
Pens
PortugalPortugal2
CroatiaCroatia1
FT
SpainSpain3
AustriaAustria0
FT
USAUSA2
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina0
FT
BelgiumBelgium3
SenegalSenegal2
AET
BrazilBrazil2
JapanJapan1
FT
Ivory CoastIvory Coast1
NorwayNorway2
FT
MexicoMexico2
EcuadorEcuador0
FT
EnglandEngland2
Congo DRCongo DR1
FT
ArgentinaArgentina3
Cape Verde IslandsCape Verde Islands2
AET
AustraliaAustralia1 (2)
EgyptEgypt1 (4)
Pens
SwitzerlandSwitzerland2
AlgeriaAlgeria0
FT
ColombiaColombia1
GhanaGhana0
FT
ParaguayParaguay0
FranceFrance1
FT
CanadaCanada0
MoroccoMorocco3
FT
PortugalPortugal0
SpainSpain1
FT
USAUSA1
BelgiumBelgium4
FT
BrazilBrazil1
NorwayNorway2
FT
MexicoMexico2
EnglandEngland3
FT
ArgentinaArgentina3
EgyptEgypt2
FT
SwitzerlandSwitzerland0 (4)
ColombiaColombia0 (3)
Pens
FranceFrance2
MoroccoMorocco0
FT
SpainSpain2
BelgiumBelgium1
FT
NorwayNorway1
EnglandEngland2
AET
ArgentinaArgentina3
SwitzerlandSwitzerland1
AET
FranceFrance0
SpainSpain2
FT
EnglandEngland1
ArgentinaArgentina2
FT
SpainSpain1
ArgentinaArgentina0
AET
Champions: Spain
Third place
FranceFrance4
EnglandEngland6
FT
Round of 3216/16
GermanyGermany1 (3)
ParaguayParaguay1 (4)
Pens
FranceFrance3
SwedenSweden0
FT
South AfricaSouth Africa0
CanadaCanada1
FT
NetherlandsNetherlands1 (2)
MoroccoMorocco1 (3)
Pens
PortugalPortugal2
CroatiaCroatia1
FT
SpainSpain3
AustriaAustria0
FT
USAUSA2
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina0
FT
BelgiumBelgium3
SenegalSenegal2
AET
BrazilBrazil2
JapanJapan1
FT
Ivory CoastIvory Coast1
NorwayNorway2
FT
MexicoMexico2
EcuadorEcuador0
FT
EnglandEngland2
Congo DRCongo DR1
FT
ArgentinaArgentina3
Cape Verde IslandsCape Verde Islands2
AET
AustraliaAustralia1 (2)
EgyptEgypt1 (4)
Pens
SwitzerlandSwitzerland2
AlgeriaAlgeria0
FT
ColombiaColombia1
GhanaGhana0
FT
Round of 168/8
ParaguayParaguay0
FranceFrance1
FT
CanadaCanada0
MoroccoMorocco3
FT
PortugalPortugal0
SpainSpain1
FT
USAUSA1
BelgiumBelgium4
FT
BrazilBrazil1
NorwayNorway2
FT
MexicoMexico2
EnglandEngland3
FT
ArgentinaArgentina3
EgyptEgypt2
FT
SwitzerlandSwitzerland0 (4)
ColombiaColombia0 (3)
Pens
Quarter-finals4/4
FranceFrance2
MoroccoMorocco0
FT
SpainSpain2
BelgiumBelgium1
FT
NorwayNorway1
EnglandEngland2
AET
ArgentinaArgentina3
SwitzerlandSwitzerland1
AET
Semi-finals2/2
FranceFrance0
SpainSpain2
FT
EnglandEngland1
ArgentinaArgentina2
FT
Final1/1
SpainSpain1
ArgentinaArgentina0
AET
Third place1/1
FranceFrance4
EnglandEngland6
FT