Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 1d 9h
La Liga (Spain)
·
Sevilla
Sevilla
6th · 14 pts·WWLDL
vs
—
Osasuna
Osasuna
11th · 11 pts·LLDLW
The story

Sevilla host Osasuna seeking recovery after Madrid defeat

Sevilla aim to cement sixth spot against an Osasuna side looking to build on their first win in five matches.

Match news & current form

Sevilla sit sixth with 14 points after nine games, having made a solid start to the campaign despite a difficult recent patch. Luis Garcia's side fell to a 4-1 defeat away at Real Madrid last time out, leaving them without a win in their last four matches in all competitions. Garcia has faced Osasuna 12 times in his career, recording two wins, four draws, and six defeats.

Osasuna arrive in 11th place on 11 points after nine games. Jagoba Arrasate's team snapped a five-match winless run last week by beating Racing Santander 2-0, though they have struggled heavily on the road, losing their last three away trips.

Head-to-head history

Osasuna won the most recent meeting 2-1 in April 2026, while Sevilla claimed a 1-0 victory in November 2025. Over the course of league history, Sevilla have held the clear upper hand at the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan, winning 36 of 57 home encounters against Osasuna.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Osasuna have conceded 14 goals across their last three away matches.
  • Sevilla have scored in each of their last four home games.
  • Osasuna have lost 10 of their last 13 visits to the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan.
  • None of the last three encounters between these clubs has ended in a draw.
Key players & missing men

Ante Budimir remains Osasuna's primary threat, boasting seven league goals in nine appearances this season after converting a penalty against Racing Santander. Sevilla regain Isaac Romero from suspension, but Luis Garcia remains without Marcao and Miguel Sierra. Osasuna will be missing Aimar Oroz and Romain Del Castillo through injury, with Jorge Herrando doubtful alongside absences for A. Bonel.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Sevilla vs Osasuna and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Sevilla2.5
–
1.6Osasuna
Season average total: 4.13 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
Sevilla winDrawOsasuna win
Market call
Double chance : Sevilla or Draw
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Sevilla
1626
Osasuna
1650

Osasuna are the stronger side — 24 rating points clear of Sevilla.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

SevillaSevilla
Goals scored
1.40
Expected (xG)
1.27
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
OsasunaOsasuna
Goals scored
1.00
Expected (xG)
1.39
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

SevillaSevillaOsasunaOsasuna
1.56Goals scored / game1.11
1.78Goals conceded / game2.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Sevilla 9 games, Osasuna 9 games.

SevillaSevillaOsasunaOsasuna
22%Games with a clean sheet33%
0%Games they failed to score33%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Osasuna
2–1
Sevilla
Sevilla
1–0
Osasuna
Osasuna
1–0
Sevilla
Sevilla
1–1
Osasuna
Sevilla
1–1
Osasuna
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

Sevilla
Marcao
Out · Muscle Injury
Sevilla
M. Sierra
Out · Shoulder Injury
Osasuna
A. Bonel
Out · Groin Injury
Osasuna
R. Del Castillo
Out · Muscle Injury
Form check

Their recent form.

Sevilla
Sevilla
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Real MadridvSevilla
4–1
L
LevantevSevilla
3–3
D
SevillavBarcelona
1–3
L
Deportivo La CorunavSevilla
0–1
W
SevillavValencia
1–0
W
Osasuna
Osasuna
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
OsasunavRacing Santander
2–0
W
Real BetisvOsasuna
5–2
L
OsasunavRayo Vallecano
1–1
D
Atletico MadridvOsasuna
4–0
L
OsasunavEspanyol
0–2
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

La Liga (Spain) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
BarcelonaBarcelona
9
9
0
0
+30
27
2
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
10
8
1
1
+12
25
3
Real MadridReal Madrid
9
7
0
2
+14
21
4
Real BetisReal Betis
9
6
1
2
+2
19
5
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
9
5
1
3
+0
16
6
SevillaSevilla
9
4
2
3
-2
14
7
AlavesAlaves
10
3
3
4
+3
12
8
VillarrealVillarreal
10
3
3
4
+1
12
9
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
9
2
5
2
+3
11
10
Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna
10
2
5
3
+0
11
11
OsasunaOsasuna
9
3
2
4
-8
11
12
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
10
3
2
5
-11
11
13
LevanteLevante
9
2
4
3
-2
10
14
ElcheElche
10
2
4
4
-3
10
15
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
8
2
3
3
-1
9
16
GetafeGetafe
9
2
3
4
-6
9
17
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
9
2
3
4
-8
9
18
EspanyolEspanyol
10
2
2
6
-2
8
19
ValenciaValencia
10
1
3
6
-10
6
20
MalagaMalaga
10
0
5
5
-12
5