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Premier League (Ukraine)
·
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
2nd · 18 pts·WLWWW
vs
—
Polessya
Polessya
1st · 18 pts·LWWWW
The story

Shakhtar Chase Summit as Polessya Defend Continental Spot

Shakhtar Donetsk look to reclaim top spot in the Premier League while Polessya fight to protect their early-season grip on a European qualification place.

Match news & current form

Shakhtar Donetsk enter this clash in perfect form, having secured three consecutive victories to sit 2nd on 9 points. They remain firmly in the title race, trailing the leaders only on goal difference. Their momentum is high following a disciplined 1-0 away win against FC Kharkiv, which followed dominant displays against Kudrivka and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi.

Polessya currently occupy 5th place with 6 points, holding onto a continental qualification spot with 27 games remaining. While they suffered a narrow 2-1 defeat to Zorya Luhansk last time out, they showed their clinical edge in recent weeks with back-to-back victories over FC Kharkiv and Chornomorets.

Head-to-head history

Recent encounters have proven that Polessya can frustrate the giants; they famously secured a 1-0 victory over Shakhtar in August 2024. However, Shakhtar have generally dictated the tempo in this fixture, often relying on their superior depth to break down Polessya's defensive blocks in late-season meetings.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Shakhtar Donetsk are on a three-match winning streak in the Premier League.
  • Polessya have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last three matches.
  • Shakhtar have scored at least once in every league game so far this season.
  • The last meeting between these sides at the Arena Lviv ended in a narrow result, but both teams have found the net in 66% of their most recent combined fixtures.
Key players & missing men

Both squads appear to be at full strength for this high-stakes encounter, with no injuries or suspensions reported for either side. Shakhtar will look to their clinical frontline that produced five goals against Kudrivka, while Polessya rely on the momentum of a side that has already netted six times in their opening three fixtures.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Shakhtar Donetsk1.5
–
1.4Polessya
Season average total: 2.88 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Shakhtar Donetsk winDrawPolessya win
Market call
Double chance : Shakhtar Donetsk or Draw
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Shakhtar Donetsk
1242
Polessya
1242

Evenly matched on rating.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar DonetskPolessyaPolessya
2.14Goals scored / game2.14
0.57Goals conceded / game0.71
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Shakhtar Donetsk 7 games, Polessya 7 games.

Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar DonetskPolessyaPolessya
57%Games with a clean sheet43%
14%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Shakhtar Donetsk
0–2
Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk
1–0
Polessya
Polessya
0–0
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
0–1
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
1–0
Shakhtar Donetsk
Form check

Their recent form.

Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 0D · 1L
Shakhtar DonetskvLNZ Cherkasy
3–0
W
Shakhtar DonetskvChornomorets
2–0
W
KarpatyvShakhtar Donetsk
1–2
W
Shakhtar DonetskvPolessya
0–2
L
FC KharkivvShakhtar Donetsk
0–1
W
Polessya
Polessya
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 0D · 1L
PolessyavKryvbas KR
1–0
W
PolessyavLivyi Bereh
1–0
W
PolessyavKudrivka
5–1
W
Shakhtar DonetskvPolessya
0–2
W
PolessyavZorya Luhansk
1–2
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (Ukraine) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
PolessyaPolessya
7
6
0
1
+10
18
2
Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
7
6
0
1
+11
18
3
KarpatyKarpaty
7
4
2
1
+10
14
4
Dynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv
6
4
1
1
+4
13
5
FC KharkivFC Kharkiv
6
4
0
2
+8
12
6
Epitsentr DunayivtsiEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
7
2
2
3
-1
8
7
LNZ CherkasyLNZ Cherkasy
7
2
2
3
-3
8
8
Zorya LuhanskZorya Luhansk
7
2
2
3
-4
8
9
Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh
6
1
4
1
+1
7
10
BukovynaBukovyna
7
1
4
2
-2
7
11
Veres RivneVeres Rivne
6
1
3
2
-1
6
12
ChornomoretsChornomorets
6
1
2
3
-4
5
13
Kolos KovalivkaKolos Kovalivka
6
1
2
3
-4
5
14
Kryvbas KRKryvbas KR
6
1
2
3
-3
5
15
Obolon'-BrovarObolon'-Brovar
7
0
4
3
-10
4
16
KudrivkaKudrivka
6
0
2
4
-12
2