Winlytics.AI
Full time
Superliga (Denmark)
·
Sonderjyske
Sonderjyske
12th · 8 pts·DWLWL
vs
—
Viborg
Viborg
3rd · 23 pts·WWLLW
The story

Sonderjyske seek first points against cagey Viborg

Sonderjyske host Viborg in a Round 3 clash where the home side must escape the relegation zone while the visitors look to cement their early continental standing.

Match news & current form

Sonderjyske sit 12th in the table with 0 points, currently inside the relegation zone with 20 games remaining to save their season. They have endured a difficult start to the 2026/27 campaign, losing 1-0 to Odense and 3-2 to FC Midtjylland. New head manager Thomas Norgaard, who replaced Fatah Abdirahman, is still searching for his first league win despite a pre-season that included victories over Randers and Kolding.

Viborg arrive in 5th place with 3 points, currently holding a continental qualification spot. Their season has been defined by tight margins, following a 1-0 win over Odense with a narrow 1-0 defeat to Brondby last time out. They appear to be prioritising defensive structure under pressure, with both of their opening fixtures remaining scoreless or low-event after the half-time break.

Head-to-head history

While Viborg hold a historical 9-5 advantage in total victories over Sonderjyske, the hosts have proved difficult to beat in recent years. Three of the last four meetings at this stadium have ended in a draw. Interestingly, Viborg enjoyed a 12-match unbeaten run earlier in 2026 before Sonderjyske snapped that streak with a victory in their most recent encounter in May.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Sonderjyske have won only one of their last ten league encounters against Viborg.
  • Viborg are currently winless in their last four away matches in the Superliga.
  • Both of Viborg's league matches this season have ended with a 1-0 scoreline.
  • Sonderjyske's last match against Odense and both of Viborg's opening games saw under 1.5 goals in the second half.
Key players & missing men

Sonderjyske are expected to lean on a 1-3-4-2-1 formation but must do so without T. Klysner, P. Kristensen, and R. Vinderslev. Viborg’s squad depth is also tested with four confirmed absences: T. Freriks, M. Hoedemakers, Y. Njoh, and M. Riahi are all unavailable for the trip.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Sonderjyske1.5
–
1.7Viborg
Season average total: 3.17 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Sonderjyske winDrawViborg win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Viborg
Goals forecast
Under 3.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Sonderjyske
1465
Viborg
1512

Viborg are the stronger side — 47 rating points clear of Sonderjyske.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

SonderjyskeSonderjyskeViborgViborg
1.42Goals scored / game1.54
2.42Goals conceded / game0.92
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Sonderjyske 12 games, Viborg 13 games.

SonderjyskeSonderjyskeViborgViborg
17%Games with a clean sheet38%
33%Games they failed to score23%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Sonderjyske
0–0
Viborg
Viborg
0–1
Sonderjyske
Sonderjyske
0–2
Viborg
Sonderjyske
2–2
Viborg
Viborg
1–0
Sonderjyske
Form check

Their recent form.

Sonderjyske
Sonderjyske
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
AC HorsensvSonderjyske
5–1
L
SonderjyskevSilkeborg
4–0
W
AarhusvSonderjyske
3–0
L
SonderjyskevRanders FC
4–2
W
LyngbyvSonderjyske
1–1
D
Viborg
Viborg
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 0D · 2L
ViborgvAC Horsens
1–0
W
AarhusvViborg
2–1
L
ViborgvFC Midtjylland
1–2
L
Randers FCvViborg
0–2
W
ViborgvFC Nordsjaelland
4–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Superliga (Denmark) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
13
9
4
0
+12
31
2
FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
13
9
2
2
+16
29
3
ViborgViborg
13
7
2
4
+8
23
4
BrondbyBrondby
13
7
1
5
+3
22
5
FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland
13
5
5
3
+3
20
6
OdenseOdense
13
4
5
4
-2
17
7
AC HorsensAC Horsens
13
4
4
5
+2
16
8
AarhusAarhus
13
2
6
5
-4
12
9
SilkeborgSilkeborg
13
2
6
5
-7
12
10
Randers FCRanders FC
13
3
2
8
-8
11
11
LyngbyLyngby
13
2
5
6
-9
11
12
SonderjyskeSonderjyske
13
2
2
9
-14
8