Winlytics.AI
Full time
Segunda División (Spain)
·
Sporting Gijon
Sporting Gijon
9th · 10 pts·WWLLW
vs
Girona
Girona
8th · 10 pts·LWWLW
The story

Sporting Gijon defend continental spot against high-scoring Girona

Sporting Gijon look to cement their place in the top four while Girona aim to bridge the three-point gap to the European places.

Match news & current form

Sporting Gijon enter this fixture in 4th place with seven points, currently occupying a continental qualification spot. They have momentum on their side following back-to-back 1-0 victories against Tenerife and Burgos, part of a three-match unbeaten start to the campaign. Managerial stability and defensive solidity have been the hallmark of their early season, having not conceded a goal in their last 270 minutes of league football.

Girona sit 10th on four points, just two points adrift of the European places. They arrive at El Molinón following a volatile run of results, most recently dismantling Las Palmas 5-2 at home. However, Quique Álvarez’s side has struggled for consistency on the road, evidenced by their recent 2-1 defeat at Cordoba. They will be desperate to prove their high-scoring credentials against the league's meanest defence.

Head-to-head history

The historical record at the Estadio Municipal El Molinón heavily favours the hosts, with Sporting Gijon winning nine of the 11 encounters played at this venue. Across 20 Segunda División meetings between the two clubs, Sporting hold 10 victories compared to Girona’s five, with five matches ending in a draw.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Sporting Gijon have won 9 of their last 11 home matches against Girona.
  • Girona have failed to record a victory in their last seven matches overall prior to the current season's recent turn.
  • Sporting Gijon maintain a superior goal difference of 19-11 in the historical head-to-head series.
  • Sporting Gijon are on a three-match unbeaten run (W2, D1) with zero goals conceded.
Key players & missing men

Sporting Gijon are expected to field the same XI that secured the win in Tenerife, led by goalkeeper Rubén Yáñez and forward Juan Otero. For Girona, Vladyslav Vanat and Abel Ruiz lead a potent attack that put five past Las Palmas last week. Both squads report no fresh injury concerns, though Sporting's Marc Valiente and Jony have previously been monitored as doubts.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Sporting Gijon vs Girona — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Sporting Gijon vs Girona and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Sporting Gijon0.6
1.2Girona
Season average total: 1.83 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Sporting Gijon winDrawGirona win
Market call
Double chance : Sporting Gijon or Draw
Goals forecast
Under 3.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Sporting Gijon
1500
Girona
1636

Girona are the stronger side — 136 rating points clear of Sporting Gijon.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Sporting GijonSporting GijonGironaGirona
0.83Goals scored / game2.00
0.67Goals conceded / game1.33
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Sporting Gijon 6 games, Girona 6 games.

Sporting GijonSporting GijonGironaGirona
50%Games with a clean sheet17%
50%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Sporting Gijon
0–2
Girona
Sporting Gijon
2–1
Girona
Girona
1–2
Sporting Gijon
Girona
1–0
Sporting Gijon
Sporting Gijon
2–0
Girona
Form check

Their recent form.

Sporting Gijon
Sporting Gijon
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 0D · 2L
FC AndorravSporting Gijon
1–3
W
Sporting GijonvEldense
0–1
L
Sporting GijonvGirona
0–2
L
TenerifevSporting Gijon
0–1
W
Sporting GijonvBurgos
1–0
W
Girona
Girona
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 0D · 2L
CadizvGirona
1–2
W
GironavCastellón
1–2
L
Sporting GijonvGirona
0–2
W
GironavLas Palmas
5–2
W
CordobavGirona
2–1
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Segunda División (Spain) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
CastellónCastellón
6
5
1
0
+10
16
2
EibarEibar
6
5
0
1
+8
15
3
MallorcaMallorca
6
4
1
1
+6
13
4
AlmeriaAlmeria
6
4
0
2
+6
12
5
BurgosBurgos
6
3
2
1
+3
11
6
SabadellSabadell
6
3
2
1
+2
11
7
LeganesLeganes
6
3
2
1
+1
11
8
GironaGirona
6
3
1
2
+4
10
9
Sporting GijonSporting Gijon
6
3
1
2
+1
10
10
Las PalmasLas Palmas
6
3
1
2
+0
10
11
TenerifeTenerife
6
3
1
2
-1
10
12
Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II
6
2
2
2
+1
8
13
OviedoOviedo
6
2
2
2
+1
8
14
Granada CFGranada CF
6
2
2
2
+0
8
15
Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II
6
2
1
3
-3
7
16
CordobaCordoba
6
2
0
4
-4
6
17
EldenseEldense
6
1
2
3
-4
5
18
ValladolidValladolid
6
1
2
3
-5
5
19
CadizCadiz
6
0
3
3
-3
3
20
FC AndorraFC Andorra
6
1
0
5
-4
3
21
AlbaceteAlbacete
6
0
1
5
-6
1
22
AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
6
0
1
5
-13
1