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Major League Soccer (USA)
·
St. Louis City
St. Louis City
3rd · 44 pts·DWDWW
vs
—
Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake
12th · 29 pts·LDLLL
The story

St. Louis hunt fifth straight home win against RSL

A single point separates these Western Conference rivals as St. Louis City look to leapfrog Real Salt Lake and cement their place in the European qualification spots.

Match news & current form

St. Louis City are the division's form side, sitting 7th on 25 points and riding a seven-match unbeaten streak. They secured a 1-0 shutout victory against Colorado Rapids last weekend, marking their fourth win in five games. The hosts have turned Energizer Park into a fortress, scoring two or more goals in four of their last five home outings while chasing a fifth consecutive home league win.

Real Salt Lake occupy 4th place with 26 points but momentum has stalled following back-to-back away defeats against Portland Timbers and LAFC. Since the World Cup break, RSL have struggled significantly on the road, failing to score more than once in any of their last five away trips. They are fighting to hold onto a European spot with 30 games left in the campaign but have managed just one away win all season.

Head-to-head history

While St. Louis won the inaugural meeting 4-0 in 2023, they have struggled to replicate that success, going winless in their last three home matches against RSL. However, the tide may be turning; the most recent encounter ended in a 2-2 draw, and every one of the last five meetings between these two clubs has seen both teams find the back of the net.

Hot stats & streaks
  • St. Louis City are unbeaten in seven consecutive MLS regular-season matches.
  • Real Salt Lake have lost four of their last five away games in Major League Soccer.
  • The hosts have emerged victorious in each of their last four league games at Energizer Park.
  • Neither side has kept a clean sheet in any of the last five head-to-head meetings.
  • RSL have failed to score more than a single goal in five straight away fixtures.
Key players & missing men

St. Louis defender Jaziel Orozco faces his former club having recently signed a contract extension through 2029. The visitors are severely depleted; leading goal contributor Diego Luna is away on international duty with the USMNT, while top assist-provider Morgan Guilavogui is sidelined alongside J. Glad, A. Hezarkhani, and A. Piol. RSL will look to Sergi Solans and Zavier Gozo, who share the club lead with six goals each, to fill the creative void.

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Our model prices every market we cover on St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
St. Louis City2.0
–
1.2Real Salt Lake
Season average total: 3.19 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
St. Louis City winDrawReal Salt Lake win
Market call
Double chance : St. Louis City or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

St. Louis CitySt. Louis CityReal Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
1.73Goals scored / game1.48
1.38Goals conceded / game1.68
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — St. Louis City 26 games, Real Salt Lake 25 games.

St. Louis CitySt. Louis CityReal Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
12%Games with a clean sheet8%
15%Games they failed to score20%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

St. Louis City
1–1
Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
2–2
Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake
3–2
St. Louis City
St. Louis City
1–1
Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake
3–1
St. Louis City
Form check

Their recent form.

St. Louis City
St. Louis City
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 2D · 0L
St. Louis CityvToronto FC
3–1
W
St. Louis CityvMinnesota United FC
4–2
W
Portland TimbersvSt. Louis City
2–2
D
Vancouver WhitecapsvSt. Louis City
1–3
W
St. Louis CityvFC Dallas
3–3
D
Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake
Losing form badly
Last 5
0W · 1D · 4L
Real Salt LakevVancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
Real Salt LakevNew York City FC
0–2
L
Houston DynamovReal Salt Lake
2–1
L
Real Salt LakevLos Angeles FC
2–2
D
Colorado RapidsvReal Salt Lake
1–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
25
15
4
6
+33
49
2
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
26
13
5
8
+4
44
3
St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
26
12
8
6
+9
44
4
FC DallasFC Dallas
26
12
8
6
+7
44
5
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
26
12
6
8
+8
42
6
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
27
11
8
8
+14
41
7
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
26
11
3
12
+1
36
8
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
27
8
9
10
-8
33
9
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
26
9
5
12
-1
32
10
San DiegoSan Diego
25
8
6
11
+0
30
11
AustinAustin
26
7
9
10
-12
30
12
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
25
8
5
12
-5
29
13
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
24
7
8
9
-5
29
14
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
26
7
8
11
-7
29
15
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
25
5
3
17
-34
18