Winlytics.AI
Full time
Pro League (Belgium)
·
St. Truiden
St. Truiden
15th · 8 pts·LLLLL
vs
—
RAAL La Louvière
RAAL La Louvière
16th · 7 pts·WLLWL
The story

Canaries Hunt European Spots as Wolves Fight For Survival

St. Truiden look to close the three-point gap to the European places while RAAL La Louvière battle to climb out of the relegation zone.

Match news & current form

St. Truiden enter this fixture 11th in the table on 5 points, knowing a win could move them level with the European play-off contenders. Frederic De Meyer’s side have been inconsistent of late, following up a stunning 4-1 away win at Antwerp and a high-scoring 3-3 draw with Cercle Brugge with a disappointing 0-3 home loss against Union St. Gilloise last time out.

RAAL La Louvière sit 15th, currently occupying a relegation spot with just a single point from their first four games. Manager Edward Still finally saw his side end a three-match losing streak last week, securing a -2-2 draw against KV Mechelen thanks to first-half goals from Elias Filet and Mustapha Isah, but they remain desperate for their first win of the campaign.

Head-to-head history

History heavily favours the hosts, as St. Truiden have won the previous two meetings between these sides. This includes a 2-1 victory in the 2025/2026 Jupiler Pro League season, maintaining their 100% record in recent encounters against the Wolves.

Hot stats & streaks
  • St. Truiden have won all of their previous head-to-head matches against RAAL La Louvière.
  • RAAL La Louvière have lost three of their last four league matches.
  • The visitors conceded two goals in each of their last four Jupiler Pro League fixtures.
  • St. Truiden have only failed to score in one of their last four matches.
Key players & missing men

St. Truiden will be without Arbnor Muja, who suffered an injury against Union St. Gilloise; Kaito Matsuzawa is expected to deputise on the wing. Ryan Merlen is also pushing for a return to the starting XI. For the visitors, Edward Still is boosted by the return of Yllan Okou from suspension, while Anas Tajaouart could be recalled to the midfield to provide more stability.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
St. Truiden2.1
–
1.1RAAL La Louvière
Season average total: 3.20 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
50%
50%
0%
St. Truiden winDrawRAAL La Louvière win
Market call
Double chance : St. Truiden or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

St. Truiden
1555
RAAL La Louvière
1369

St. Truiden are the stronger side — 186 rating points clear of RAAL La Louvière.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

St. TruidenSt. TruidenRAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière
1.80Goals scored / game1.30
2.10Goals conceded / game2.30
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — St. Truiden 10 games, RAAL La Louvière 10 games.

St. TruidenSt. TruidenRAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière
10%Games with a clean sheet20%
30%Games they failed to score30%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

St. Truiden
4–0
RAAL La Louvière
RAAL La Louvière
1–2
St. Truiden
St. Truiden
2–1
RAAL La Louvière
Form check

Their recent form.

St. Truiden
St. Truiden
Losing form badly
Last 5
0W · 0D · 5L
St. TruidenvOH Leuven
1–2
L
Club Brugge KVvSt. Truiden
3–2
L
KV MechelenvSt. Truiden
4–3
L
St. TruidenvKVC Westerlo
0–2
L
SK BeverenvSt. Truiden
2–0
L
RAAL La Louvière
RAAL La Louvière
Struggling for results
Last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
CharleroivRAAL La Louvière
5–2
L
RAAL La LouvièrevZulte Waregem
3–0
W
RAAL La LouvièrevClub Brugge KV
1–4
L
OH LeuvenvRAAL La Louvière
2–0
L
RAAL La LouvièrevKortrijk
3–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Pro League (Belgium) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV
10
9
0
1
+18
27
2
Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
10
8
2
0
+22
26
3
GentGent
10
8
1
1
+13
25
4
CharleroiCharleroi
10
8
0
2
+9
24
5
AnderlechtAnderlecht
10
6
1
3
+2
19
6
GenkGenk
10
4
3
3
+4
15
7
Lommel UnitedLommel United
10
4
3
3
+2
15
8
KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo
10
4
2
4
+0
14
9
Standard LiegeStandard Liege
10
3
3
4
-1
12
10
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
10
3
3
4
-5
12
11
Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem
10
3
2
5
-4
11
12
AntwerpAntwerp
10
3
1
6
-6
10
13
SK BeverenSK Beveren
10
3
1
6
-7
10
14
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
10
2
3
5
-7
9
15
St. TruidenSt. Truiden
10
2
2
6
-3
8
16
RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière
10
2
1
7
-10
7
17
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
10
1
3
6
-9
6
18
KortrijkKortrijk
10
1
1
8
-18
4