Winlytics.AI
Full time
Pro League (Belgium)
·
St. Truiden
St. Truiden
11th · 8 pts·WLWLL
vs
—
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
1st · 19 pts·WWWWW
The story

Undefeated streaks collide as Union eye top spot

St. Truiden host league leaders Union Saint-Gilloise at the Stayen Stadium with both sides defending unbeaten starts to the new campaign.

Match news & current form

St. Truiden sit 10th on 5 points, just two points shy of the European places. They enter this midweek clash with significant momentum following a dominant 4-1 away victory over Antwerp and a resilient 3-3 draw against Cercle Brugge. The hosts have proven difficult to beat at the Stayen Stadium, maintaining a reputation for strong home performances in front of their fans.

Union Saint-Gilloise occupy 6th place with 7 points, currently holding a continental qualification spot. David Hubert’s side has been explosive in the early stages of the season, most notably dismantling KVC Westerlo 5-1 in their first away trip. They followed that up with a convincing 3-0 win over Anderlecht, though a recent 0-0 draw against Zulte Waregem suggests they can occasionally be frustrated by disciplined blocks.

Head-to-head history

While Union Saint-Gilloise have been the dominant force in the league standings recently, St. Truiden have remained a 'bogey' side for many top-tier teams at home. This fixture has historically produced high-scoring encounters, including Union's recent five-goal display on the road which signals their intent to play on the front foot away from home.

Hot stats & streaks
  • St. Truiden are undefeated in their last three league matches (W1, D2).
  • Union Saint-Gilloise have secured 4 victories in their last 6 matches across all competitions.
  • St. Truiden boast an impressive 71 percent win rate at home in the Jupiler Pro League.
  • Union Saint-Gilloise have already scored 8 goals in their last two away league victories.
Key players & missing men

Ilias Sebaoui has been the creative spark for the hosts, leading St. Truiden with 3 assists this season. For the visitors, Raul Florucz is the man in form with two goals, supported by Besfort Zeneli who has contributed both a goal and two assists. Union Saint-Gilloise will be forced to rotate their midfield as Ross Sykes remains sidelined with a shoulder injury, while St. Truiden report a clean bill of health.

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Our model prices every market we cover on St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
St. Truiden1.0
–
2.4Union St. Gilloise
Season average total: 3.38 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
St. Truiden winDrawUnion St. Gilloise win
Market call
Winner : Union St. Gilloise
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

St. Truiden
1555
Union St. Gilloise
1717

Union St. Gilloise are the stronger side — 162 rating points clear of St. Truiden.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

St. TruidenSt. TruidenUnion St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
1.71Goals scored / game3.00
1.71Goals conceded / game0.43
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — St. Truiden 7 games, Union St. Gilloise 7 games.

St. TruidenSt. TruidenUnion St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
14%Games with a clean sheet71%
43%Games they failed to score14%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

St. Truiden
0–3
Union St. Gilloise
St. Truiden
2–1
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
1–0
St. Truiden
St. Truiden
1–3
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
2–0
St. Truiden
Form check

Their recent form.

St. Truiden
St. Truiden
Struggling for results
Last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
St. TruidenvKVC Westerlo
0–2
L
SK BeverenvSt. Truiden
2–0
L
St. TruidenvRAAL La Louvière
4–0
W
St. TruidenvUnion St. Gilloise
0–3
L
AntwerpvSt. Truiden
1–4
W
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
On a strong winning run
Last 5
5W · 0D · 0L
AntwerpvUnion St. Gilloise
0–2
W
Union St. GilloisevLommel United
5–0
W
CharleroivUnion St. Gilloise
2–3
W
St. TruidenvUnion St. Gilloise
0–3
W
Union St. GilloisevAnderlecht
3–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Pro League (Belgium) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
7
6
1
0
+18
19
2
GentGent
7
6
1
0
+9
19
3
Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV
7
6
0
1
+12
18
4
CharleroiCharleroi
7
6
0
1
+8
18
5
AnderlechtAnderlecht
7
4
1
2
+2
13
6
Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem
7
3
2
2
+3
11
7
Standard LiegeStandard Liege
7
3
2
2
+1
11
8
KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo
7
3
1
3
-1
10
9
SK BeverenSK Beveren
7
3
0
4
-4
9
10
GenkGenk
7
2
3
2
+1
9
11
St. TruidenSt. Truiden
7
2
2
3
+0
8
12
Lommel UnitedLommel United
7
2
2
3
-2
8
13
AntwerpAntwerp
7
2
1
4
-4
7
14
RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière
7
1
1
5
-7
4
15
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
7
1
1
5
-8
4
16
KortrijkKortrijk
7
1
0
6
-13
3
17
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
7
0
3
4
-6
3
18
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
7
0
3
4
-9
3