Tenth-placed Stade Brestois look to build on their derby triumph as they welcome third-placed Lyon to Stade Francis-Le Blé.
Stade Brestois sit 10th with 12 points after nine matches, keeping steady in mid-table as they seek consistency. They snapped a two-match winless run last time out with a clinical 2-0 away victory against regional rivals Lorient. Manager Julien Lachuer framed this home test against Lyon as a pivotal opportunity to kick on and push into the upper half of the standings.
Lyon have made a strong start to the campaign, sitting third with 17 points from their opening nine fixtures. They secured a 2-0 home victory over Angers in their most recent league outing, bouncing back from a 2-0 defeat away at Paris Saint-Germain. However, having also lost 2-1 at Lens in recent weeks, their form away from home has shown vulnerability.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Lyon are the stronger side — 111 rating points clear of Stade Brestois 29.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Stade Brestois 29 9 games, Lyon 9 games.
Ligue 1 (France) standings · both teams highlighted in context.