With both teams separated by just one point seven matches in, Stade Brestois 29 welcome Nice to Stade Francis-Le Ble looking to capitalise on the visitors' severe away struggles.
Stade Brestois sit 10th on nine points after seven games following a resolute 1-1 draw away at Lille last weekend. That followed an emphatic 5-1 home demolition of Angers, leaving them unbeaten in two matches and seeking consecutive home league victories for the first time since March of last season.
Nice sit 13th on eight points after seven games, having found their feet at home with back-to-back 2-1 wins over Lille and Strasbourg, but remain without an away victory this season. Les Aiglons have struggled for cutting edge outside the Allianz Riviera, scoring just once away in Ligue 1 in 2026-27.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Stade Brestois 29 are the stronger side — 38 rating points clear of Nice.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Stade Brestois 29 7 games, Nice 7 games.
Ligue 1 (France) standings · both teams highlighted in context.