Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 11h
Ligue 1 (France)
·
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
10th · 9 pts·WLLWD
vs
—
Nice
Nice
13th · 8 pts·DLWWL
The story

Brest host travel-sick Nice aiming for consecutive home wins

With both teams separated by just one point seven matches in, Stade Brestois 29 welcome Nice to Stade Francis-Le Ble looking to capitalise on the visitors' severe away struggles.

Match news & current form

Stade Brestois sit 10th on nine points after seven games following a resolute 1-1 draw away at Lille last weekend. That followed an emphatic 5-1 home demolition of Angers, leaving them unbeaten in two matches and seeking consecutive home league victories for the first time since March of last season.

Nice sit 13th on eight points after seven games, having found their feet at home with back-to-back 2-1 wins over Lille and Strasbourg, but remain without an away victory this season. Les Aiglons have struggled for cutting edge outside the Allianz Riviera, scoring just once away in Ligue 1 in 2026-27.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings have produced plenty of action, with the sides drawing 2-2 at Nice in their last clash in February 2026. Brest won this exact fixture 4-1 in September 2025, though Nice claimed a heavy 6-0 victory in May 2025 and have taken points in five of the last six encounters between the clubs.

Hot stats & streaks
  • A win on Friday would give Brest consecutive Ligue 1 home triumphs for the first time since February to March of last season.
  • Nice are seeking their first away victory of the current Ligue 1 campaign.
  • Nice have netted a goal or fewer in all but three of their Ligue 1 away matches in 2026.
  • Brest have scored in all but two of their home league fixtures in 2026.
Key players & missing men

Brest must cope without B. Chardonnet, R. Le Guen, and G. Versini. Nice have an even heavier absentee list ahead of the trip, with L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy, M. Sanson, and A. Abdi all unavailable.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Stade Brestois 292.2
–
0.8Nice
Season average total: 3.00 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
Stade Brestois 29 winDrawNice win
Market call
Winner : Stade Brestois 29
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Stade Brestois 29
1621
Nice
1582

Stade Brestois 29 are the stronger side — 38 rating points clear of Nice.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
Goals scored
1.50
Expected (xG)
2.08
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
NiceNice
Goals scored
0.80
Expected (xG)
1.28
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29NiceNice
1.86Goals scored / game0.86
1.43Goals conceded / game1.29
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Stade Brestois 29 7 games, Nice 7 games.

Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29NiceNice
0%Games with a clean sheet14%
14%Games they failed to score43%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Nice
2–2
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
4–1
Nice
Nice
6–0
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
0–1
Nice
Stade Brestois 29
0–0
Nice
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

Stade Brestois 29
B. Chardonnet
Out · Calf Injury
Stade Brestois 29
R. Le Guen
Out · Broken Leg
Stade Brestois 29
G. Versini
Doubt · Leg Injury
Nice
L. Abergel
Out · Knee Injury
Form check

Their recent form.

Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
LillevStade Brestois 29
1–1
D
Stade Brestois 29vAngers
5–1
W
AuxerrevStade Brestois 29
2–1
L
Stade Brestois 29vParis Saint Germain
0–1
L
Le HavrevStade Brestois 29
1–2
W
Nice
Nice
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
LyonvNice
2–1
L
NicevStrasbourg
2–1
W
NicevLille
2–1
W
AuxerrevNice
1–0
L
NicevLe Mans
1–1
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ligue 1 (France) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
LyonLyon
7
4
2
1
+8
14
2
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
7
4
2
1
+5
14
3
Paris FCParis FC
7
4
2
1
+5
14
4
LilleLille
7
4
2
1
+5
14
5
MonacoMonaco
7
4
2
1
+4
14
6
RennesRennes
7
4
1
2
+1
13
7
LorientLorient
7
3
2
2
+1
11
8
LensLens
7
3
1
3
+3
10
9
MarseilleMarseille
7
3
0
4
+4
9
10
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
7
2
3
2
+3
9
11
ToulouseToulouse
7
2
3
2
+1
9
12
AuxerreAuxerre
7
3
0
4
-6
9
13
NiceNice
7
2
2
3
-3
8
14
StrasbourgStrasbourg
7
2
1
4
-3
7
15
AngersAngers
7
2
1
4
-6
7
16
Le MansLe Mans
7
1
3
3
-5
6
17
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
7
1
1
5
-11
4
18
Le HavreLe Havre
7
0
2
5
-6
2