Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 19h
Eliteserien (Norway)
·
Start
Start
16th · 19 pts·WLLLW
vs
—
Lillestrom
Lillestrom
6th · 39 pts·WLDWW
The story

Start host Lillestrom with relegation danger growing

Start must claim points from inside the relegation zone as Lillestrom arrive sitting just one point off the Conference League places with six games remaining.

Match news & current form

Start enter the final stretch sitting 16th on 19 points, deep inside the relegation zone with six games left to play. They picked up a crucial 1-0 home victory against Sandefjord in their last outing, recovering from heavy defeats against Molde and Ham-Kam.

Lillestrom are 6th on 39 points and trail the Conference League places by a single point. They enter this fixture with strong league momentum after winning 2-0 away at Sandefjord and taking three wins from their last five league games.

Head-to-head history

Lillestrom have held the upper hand in recent encounters, winning the reverse fixture 3-1 in April 2026. The visitors also recorded 3-0 victories in both league meetings across the 2025 campaign, while Start's last head-to-head win was a 3-0 home triumph in September 2018.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Start have won two of their last three home league matches, beating Sandefjord 1-0 and Brann 2-0.
  • Lillestrom have won each of the last three head-to-head meetings between the sides.
  • Start have kept clean sheets in both of their recent home league victories.
Key players & missing men

Neither club has reported fresh injury or suspension concerns ahead of the clash, leaving both squads fully equipped for the run-in.

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We have published a signal on Start vs Lillestrom — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Start vs Lillestrom and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Start1.2
–
1.3Lillestrom
Season average total: 2.54 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
0%
50%
50%
Start winDrawLillestrom win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Lillestrom
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Start
1295
Lillestrom
1363

Lillestrom are the stronger side — 69 rating points clear of Start.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

StartStartLillestromLillestrom
1.08Goals scored / game1.46
2.25Goals conceded / game1.38
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Start 24 games, Lillestrom 24 games.

StartStartLillestromLillestrom
13%Games with a clean sheet29%
29%Games they failed to score29%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Lillestrom
3–1
Start
Lillestrom
3–0
Start
Start
0–3
Lillestrom
Start
3–0
Lillestrom
Lillestrom
1–0
Start
Form check

Their recent form.

Start
Start
Struggling for results
Last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
StartvSandefjord
1–0
W
MoldevStart
6–1
L
StartvHam-Kam
2–4
L
SandefjordvStart
3–0
L
StartvBrann
2–0
W
Lillestrom
Lillestrom
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
LillestromvBrann
3–2
W
SandefjordvLillestrom
0–2
W
LillestromvMolde
2–2
D
VikingvLillestrom
3–0
L
LillestromvValerenga
2–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Eliteserien (Norway) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
VikingViking
24
19
2
3
+39
59
2
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
24
18
2
4
+37
56
3
MoldeMolde
24
13
4
7
+21
43
4
RosenborgRosenborg
24
12
4
8
+15
40
5
TromsoTromso
24
11
7
6
+9
40
6
LillestromLillestrom
24
12
3
9
+2
39
7
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
24
8
7
9
-5
31
8
KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo
24
8
6
10
-9
30
9
BrannBrann
24
9
2
13
+2
29
10
ValerengaValerenga
24
8
5
11
-7
29
11
FredrikstadFredrikstad
24
8
5
11
-12
29
12
Ham-KamHam-Kam
24
7
5
12
-18
26
13
SandefjordSandefjord
24
6
6
12
-9
24
14
AalesundAalesund
24
5
9
10
-13
24
15
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
24
5
5
14
-24
20
16
StartStart
24
5
4
15
-28
19