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Eliteserien (Norway)
·
Start
Start
16th · 16 pts·LWLWL
vs
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
5th · 33 pts·WLWWW
The story

Relegation Battle Looms as Start Face Rosenborg Revival

A high-stakes basement battle sees 16th-placed Start host 12th-placed Rosenborg, with both sides currently trapped in the Eliteserien relegation zone.

Match news & current form

Start enter this fixture bottom of the table with 17 games remaining to save their season. Azar Karadas' side suffered a narrow 2-1 defeat to Brann last weekend, marking their second consecutive loss. However, their only league victory this term came at home against Valerenga, and they have managed to avoid defeat in four of their five home matches so far.

Rosenborg sit 12th with 18 games left to secure their safety. The visitors have shown signs of life under new head coach Freyr Alexandersson, who began his tenure with a dominant 3-0 win over Kristiansund BK. While they are unbeaten in their last two games, their away form remains a major concern, having failed to record a single win on the road this season with four losses from five trips.

Head-to-head history

Historically, this fixture has been dominated by the visitors; Start have struggled immensely in this match-up, managing only two draws and zero wins in seventeen encounters against Rosenborg dating back to 2010.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Start have lost only one of their five home league matches this season (W1, D3, L1).
  • Rosenborg are yet to win an away game in the Eliteserien this campaign (D1, L4).
  • Start have conceded 30 goals in 13 games, the worst defensive record in the division.
  • Freyr Alexandersson is looking for his second consecutive win since taking over the Rosenborg dugout.
Key players & missing men

Start's defensive depth is severely tested with F. Lien, J. Meyer, K. Tonnesen, S. Mvoue, M. Nordal, and M. Ugland all listed as absent. Rosenborg travel without E. Slordal, A. F. Witry, and S. Nordli, though they will look to forward Dino Islamovic to provide the spark after their recent three-goal haul against Kristiansund.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Start vs Rosenborg and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Start1.4
1.4Rosenborg
Season average total: 2.80 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Start winDrawRosenborg win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Rosenborg
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Start
1295
Rosenborg
1428

Rosenborg are the stronger side — 133 rating points clear of Start.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

StartStartRosenborgRosenborg
1.05Goals scored / game1.86
2.10Goals conceded / game1.43
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Start 21 games, Rosenborg 21 games.

StartStartRosenborgRosenborg
10%Games with a clean sheet33%
33%Games they failed to score29%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Start
0–3
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
2–1
Start
Rosenborg
1–0
Start
Start
0–0
Rosenborg
Start
0–1
Rosenborg
Form check

Their recent form.

Start
Start
Struggling for results
Last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
SandefjordvStart
3–0
L
StartvBrann
2–0
W
AalesundvStart
2–0
L
StartvKFUM Oslo
4–1
W
StartvFredrikstad
0–1
L
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 0D · 1L
Kristiansund BKvRosenborg
1–3
W
RosenborgvTromso
5–3
W
RosenborgvHam-Kam
4–0
W
Bodo/GlimtvRosenborg
4–2
L
RosenborgvViking
2–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Eliteserien (Norway) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
VikingViking
21
16
2
3
+34
50
2
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
21
16
2
3
+34
50
3
TromsoTromso
21
11
5
5
+11
38
4
MoldeMolde
21
11
3
7
+12
36
5
RosenborgRosenborg
21
10
3
8
+9
33
6
LillestromLillestrom
21
10
2
9
-1
32
7
BrannBrann
21
9
2
10
+7
29
8
FredrikstadFredrikstad
21
8
4
9
-7
28
9
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
21
6
7
8
-5
25
10
KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo
21
7
4
10
-10
25
11
SandefjordSandefjord
21
6
5
10
-6
23
12
ValerengaValerenga
21
6
5
10
-9
23
13
Ham-KamHam-Kam
21
6
5
10
-15
23
14
AalesundAalesund
21
4
9
8
-13
21
15
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
21
5
4
12
-19
19
16
StartStart
21
4
4
13
-22
16