Winlytics.AI
Full time
Ligue 1 (France)
·
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
8th · 7 pts·LWWDL
vs
Monaco
Monaco
1st · 13 pts·WWWDW
The story

Monaco eye perfect start as Strasbourg chase third win

Strasbourg look to defend their continental qualification place against a Monaco side aiming to maintain their perfect start at the top of the table.

Match news & current form

Strasbourg enter this fixture 6th in the table with six points after three games. Hugo Oliveira’s side have shown significant resilience, recovering from an opening-day defeat to Marseille by winning their last two matches. They come into this clash with high momentum following a dominant 6-2 away victory against Troyes.

Monaco sit top of the table with a perfect nine points from nine. Filipe Luís has guided the team to three straight wins, including a statement 2-1 victory away at Paris Saint-Germain last time out. They are currently in control of the title race and are looking to win their opening four top-flight matches for the first time since the 2017-18 season.

Head-to-head history

Strasbourg have held the upper hand in very recent encounters, winning the last two meetings including a 3-1 victory in February and a high-scoring 5-4 thriller in May 2026. However, Monaco hold the historical advantage across 109 total meetings with 53 wins compared to Strasbourg's 30.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Monaco are seeking their first 4-0-0 start to a Ligue 1 campaign since 2017-18.
  • Strasbourg have conceded the opening goal in all three of their league matches this season but recovered to win two of them.
  • Monaco have won five consecutive matches across all competitions.
  • Strasbourg have scored eight goals across their last two league outings.
Key players & missing men

Strasbourg will be without M. Godo, J. Panichelli, and M. Oyedele for this clash. Monaco travel to Alsace missing F. Balogun, M. Salisu, and A. Fati. Sebastian Nanasi and Jacobo Ortega remain the focal points for the home side's attack, while Monaco's Lukas Hradecky and Aleksandr Golovin provide the veteran presence for the league leaders.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Strasbourg vs Monaco — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Strasbourg vs Monaco and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Strasbourg1.1
1.2Monaco
Season average total: 2.25 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Strasbourg winDrawMonaco win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Monaco
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Strasbourg
1711
Monaco
1718

Evenly matched on rating.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

StrasbourgStrasbourg
Goals scored
2.20
Expected (xG)
1.45
Clinical — scoring above their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
MonacoMonaco
Goals scored
1.80
Expected (xG)
1.28
Clinical — scoring above their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

StrasbourgStrasbourgMonacoMonaco
2.00Goals scored / game1.60
2.00Goals conceded / game0.60
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Strasbourg 5 games, Monaco 5 games.

StrasbourgStrasbourgMonacoMonaco
0%Games with a clean sheet40%
20%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Strasbourg
1–1
Monaco
Strasbourg
5–4
Monaco
Strasbourg
3–1
Monaco
Monaco
3–2
Strasbourg
Monaco
0–0
Strasbourg
Form check

Their recent form.

Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Paris FCvStrasbourg
2–1
L
StrasbourgvMonaco
1–1
D
Estac TroyesvStrasbourg
2–6
W
StrasbourgvLens
2–1
W
MarseillevStrasbourg
4–0
L
Monaco
Monaco
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 1D · 0L
MonacovLens
2–1
W
StrasbourgvMonaco
1–1
D
Paris Saint GermainvMonaco
1–2
W
MonacovMarseille
2–0
W
Le HavrevMonaco
0–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ligue 1 (France) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
MonacoMonaco
5
4
1
0
+5
13
2
LyonLyon
5
3
2
0
+8
11
3
Paris FCParis FC
5
3
2
0
+5
11
4
LilleLille
5
3
1
1
+4
10
5
RennesRennes
5
3
1
1
-1
10
6
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
5
2
2
1
+1
8
7
AngersAngers
5
2
1
2
+1
7
8
StrasbourgStrasbourg
5
2
1
2
+0
7
9
Le MansLe Mans
5
1
3
1
+0
6
10
AuxerreAuxerre
5
2
0
3
-5
6
11
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
5
1
2
2
-1
5
12
LorientLorient
5
1
2
2
-1
5
13
ToulouseToulouse
5
1
2
2
-2
5
14
NiceNice
5
1
2
2
-3
5
15
LensLens
5
1
1
3
+0
4
16
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
5
1
1
3
-7
4
17
MarseilleMarseille
5
1
0
4
-1
3
18
Le HavreLe Havre
5
0
2
3
-3
2