Just three points separate fourth-placed Sturm Graz and fifth-placed Ried as round 10 of the Austrian Bundesliga gets underway.
Sturm Graz sit fourth with 17 points after nine games, having made a solid start to the campaign. They bounced back from a heavy defeat at Salzburg by securing a 2-0 away win against Austria Vienna in their most recent outing, taking their tally to two wins from their last five league matches.
Ried are right behind in fifth position on 14 points following an encouraging nine-game start of their own. They enter this fixture carrying positive momentum, having claimed back-to-back victories including a 2-1 away triumph over WSG Wattens and a 4-1 home rout of Wolfsberger AC.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Sturm Graz are the stronger side — 170 rating points clear of Ried.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Sturm Graz 9 games, Ried 9 games.
Bundesliga (Austria) standings · both teams highlighted in context.