Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 19h
Serie B (Italy)
·
Sudtirol
Sudtirol
5th · 12 pts·WDWDL
vs
—
Sampdoria
Sampdoria
19th · 4 pts·LLWLL
The story

Sudtirol host managerless Sampdoria after poor starts

Fifth-placed Sudtirol look to consolidate their positive start at the Stadio Druso against a Sampdoria side reeling from the dismissal of manager Bernardo Corradi.

Match news & current form

Sudtirol sit fifth with 12 points after seven games under manager Possanzini, having made an encouraging start to the campaign. They return to Bolzano aiming to bounce back immediately after suffering their first league defeat in a 3-0 reverse away to Juve Stabia last weekend.

Sampdoria have endured a slow start, sitting 19th with four points from their opening seven fixtures. The Blucerchiati arrive in turmoil following the official sacking of Bernardo Corradi, with Marco Giampaolo lined up to take charge after a miserable run of four defeats in five matches, culminating in a 2-1 home loss against Arezzo.

Head-to-head history

Sudtirol have dominated recent home fixtures against Sampdoria, claiming a 2-1 victory in February 2025 and a 3-1 win in August 2025. Sampdoria did win the most recent encounter between the two sides, edging a 1-0 result on 1 May 2026.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Sudtirol have won their last two home meetings against Sampdoria, scoring five goals across those fixtures.
  • Sampdoria have suffered defeat in four of their last five matches in Serie B.
  • Sudtirol conceded three goals against Juve Stabia last time out after allowing just three across their opening six fixtures.
  • Sampdoria have conceded 15 goals across their first seven league games.
Key players & missing men

Sampdoria are expected to drop goalkeeper Vindahl following errors against Arezzo, handing an opportunity to Krastev, while neither side reports any official injury absences. Sudtirol will look to maintain their solid home foundation behind goalkeeper Plizzari.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Sudtirol vs Sampdoria and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Sudtirol1.8
–
0.5Sampdoria
Season average total: 2.25 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Sudtirol winDrawSampdoria win
Market call
Double chance : Sudtirol or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Sudtirol
1372
Sampdoria
1391

Evenly matched on rating.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

SudtirolSudtirolSampdoriaSampdoria
1.29Goals scored / game1.00
0.86Goals conceded / game2.14
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Sudtirol 7 games, Sampdoria 7 games.

SudtirolSudtirolSampdoriaSampdoria
43%Games with a clean sheet0%
29%Games they failed to score14%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Sampdoria
1–0
Sudtirol
Sudtirol
3–1
Sampdoria
Sudtirol
2–1
Sampdoria
Sampdoria
1–0
Sudtirol
Sampdoria
0–1
Sudtirol
Form check

Their recent form.

Sudtirol
Sudtirol
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Juve StabiavSudtirol
3–0
L
SudtirolvAscoli
0–0
D
ArezzovSudtirol
1–4
W
SudtirolvModena
1–1
D
SudtirolvCatanzaro
2–0
W
Sampdoria
Sampdoria
Losing form badly
Last 5
1W · 0D · 4L
SampdoriavArezzo
1–2
L
AvellinovSampdoria
4–1
L
SampdoriavCatanzaro
2–1
W
MantovavSampdoria
2–0
L
PalermovSampdoria
3–1
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie B (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
PalermoPalermo
7
6
1
0
+9
19
2
MantovaMantova
7
4
2
1
+5
14
3
PisaPisa
7
4
1
2
+5
13
4
ModenaModena
7
4
1
2
+4
13
5
SudtirolSudtirol
7
3
3
1
+3
12
6
AscoliAscoli
7
3
3
1
+3
12
7
AvellinoAvellino
7
3
2
2
+4
11
8
BeneventoBenevento
7
3
2
2
+3
11
9
ArezzoArezzo
7
3
1
3
-6
10
10
Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella
7
2
3
2
+2
9
11
Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
7
2
2
3
+2
8
12
CesenaCesena
7
1
5
1
-1
8
13
CarrareseCarrarese
7
2
1
4
-1
7
14
EmpoliEmpoli
7
2
1
4
-4
7
15
PadovaPadova
7
2
1
4
-4
7
16
CremoneseCremonese
7
1
3
3
-4
6
17
Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus
7
1
3
3
-6
6
18
Juve StabiaJuve Stabia
7
2
3
2
+0
5
19
SampdoriaSampdoria
7
1
1
5
-8
4
20
CatanzaroCatanzaro
7
1
1
5
-6
4