Winlytics.AI
Full time
Eredivisie (Netherlands)
·
Telstar
Telstar
13th · 5 pts·LDLDL
vs
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
12th · 5 pts·DLDLL
The story

Telstar target top-five spot as Sparta seek survival

Telstar look to cement their early continental position against a Sparta Rotterdam side already fighting to escape the relegation zone.

Match news & current form

Telstar enter matchday two sitting 5th in the Eredivisie after a successful 2-1 away victory against NEC Nijmegen. Currently holding a continental qualification spot, the home side aim to maintain their perfect start and extend an unbeaten run that stretches back to the end of last season.

Sparta Rotterdam find themselves 14th and inside the relegation zone after a narrow 0-1 loss to Feyenoord in the Rotterdam derby. Manager Rogier Meijer faces growing pressure as his side's goalscoring has dried up, slipping from a prolific pre-season average to just 0.33 goals per match over their last three competitive and semi-competitive outings.

Head-to-head history

Telstar hold a significant psychological advantage, remaining unbeaten in their last five encounters with Sparta. The corresponding fixture last season at the BUKO Stadion ended in a 4-1 demolition in favour of Telstar, a match defined by a late surge where the hosts netted three times in the final 20 minutes.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Telstar are unbeaten in their last five matches against Sparta Rotterdam.
  • Sparta Rotterdam have suffered five defeats in their last 10 away league fixtures.
  • The last meeting at BUKO Stadion saw Telstar score three goals in the final 20 minutes of play.
  • Sparta's goal output has plummeted to 0.33 goals per game over their last three matches.
Key players & missing men

Both squads are reported to be at full strength for this Friday night clash, with no injuries or suspensions currently listed for either side. Sparta are expected to lean on the experience of Jens Toornstra and the creativity of Shunsuke Mito to solve their recent scoring drought, while Telstar's squad remains unchanged following their opening-day win.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Telstar1.7
2.3Sparta Rotterdam
Season average total: 4.00 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Telstar winDrawSparta Rotterdam win
Market call
Winner : Telstar
Goals forecast
Under 3.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Telstar
1395
Sparta Rotterdam
1412

Evenly matched on rating.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

TelstarTelstarSparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
0.71Goals scored / game1.43
1.71Goals conceded / game2.43
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Telstar 7 games, Sparta Rotterdam 7 games.

TelstarTelstarSparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
14%Games with a clean sheet0%
57%Games they failed to score29%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Telstar
1–3
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
1–0
Telstar
Telstar
4–1
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
1–0
Telstar
Telstar
0–0
Sparta Rotterdam
Form check

Their recent form.

Telstar
Telstar
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
AZ AlkmaarvTelstar
1–0
L
HeerenveenvTelstar
0–0
D
TwentevTelstar
1–0
L
TelstarvCambuur
2–2
D
TelstarvAjax
0–4
L
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
Sparta RotterdamvHeerenveen
0–4
L
PSV EindhovenvSparta Rotterdam
4–1
L
Sparta RotterdamvPEC Zwolle
2–2
D
ExcelsiorvSparta Rotterdam
2–1
L
Sparta RotterdamvUtrecht
3–3
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Eredivisie (Netherlands) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
7
6
1
0
+12
19
2
FeyenoordFeyenoord
7
5
2
0
+18
17
3
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
7
5
1
1
+14
16
4
TwenteTwente
7
5
1
1
+8
16
5
AjaxAjax
7
4
2
1
+12
14
6
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
7
4
1
2
-1
13
7
ExcelsiorExcelsior
7
3
2
2
+6
11
8
GroningenGroningen
7
3
2
2
+2
11
9
GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles
7
2
4
1
+2
10
10
HeerenveenHeerenveen
7
2
3
2
+2
9
11
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
7
2
2
3
-1
8
12
Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
7
1
2
4
-7
5
13
TelstarTelstar
7
1
2
4
-7
5
14
CambuurCambuur
7
1
2
4
-9
5
15
UtrechtUtrecht
7
1
2
4
-13
5
16
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
7
1
1
5
-14
4
17
ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag
7
0
2
5
-10
2
18
Willem IIWillem II
7
0
2
5
-14
2