Winlytics.AI
Full time
Major League Soccer (USA)
·
Toronto FC
Toronto FC
12th · 39 pts·DWLWL
vs
—
New York City FC
New York City FC
11th · 39 pts·LDDWD
The story

Toronto and New York Battle for Playoff Positioning

A crucial Eastern Conference clash sees Toronto FC looking to close the three-point gap on New York City FC as both sides hunt for a late-season surge.

Match news & current form

Toronto FC enter this fixture 10th in the standings on 24 points, currently 12 points adrift of the European qualification places with 25 games remaining. Despite a difficult run of five games without a win (D3 L2), including a 1-1 draw in the reverse fixture against NYCFC, the Reds have shown resilience at BMO Field where they have secured three victories in their last 11 outings.

New York City FC sit 7th on 27 points, nine points off the European places. While they recently secured back-to-back wins against Chicago Fire and Columbus Crew, Pascal Jansen’s men have struggled for consistency lately, taking just two points from their last 12 available in league play following a recent 1-1 draw with New England Revolution.

Head-to-head history

The recent history between these two favors the visitors, with New York City FC winning two of the last three Major League Soccer encounters. However, the most recent meeting ended in a 1-1 stalemate, highlighting how closely matched these sides have become in the current campaign.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Toronto FC have scored over 1.5 goals in 86% of their matches this season.
  • New York City FC have managed just three victories from 10 away trips this term.
  • The visitors are currently winless in their last four Major League Soccer fixtures.
  • Toronto have lost their clean sheet in 86% of their league games this season.
Key players & missing men

Toronto FC will be boosted by the return of Walker Zimmerman, who is set to rejoin the lineup after serving a suspension. However, they remain without N. Dorsch, D. Kerr, J. Osorio, and N. Palacio. New York City FC face a significant absentee list including veteran playmaker M. Moralez, alongside D. Baiera, A. Farnos, A. Martinez, A. O'Neill, and K. Trewin.

No signal
The model didn’t surface a signal for this match. Browse the data below to form your own view.
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Toronto FC1.7
–
1.5New York City FC
Season average total: 3.25 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Toronto FC winDrawNew York City FC win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or New York City FC
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Toronto FCToronto FCNew York City FCNew York City FC
1.56Goals scored / game1.45
1.88Goals conceded / game1.36
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Toronto FC 32 games, New York City FC 33 games.

Toronto FCToronto FCNew York City FCNew York City FC
13%Games with a clean sheet15%
16%Games they failed to score18%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Toronto FC
1–1
New York City FC
New York City FC
1–1
Toronto FC
New York City FC
3–1
Toronto FC
Toronto FC
0–1
New York City FC
Toronto FC
2–3
New York City FC
Form check

Their recent form.

Toronto FC
Toronto FC
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Atlanta United FCvToronto FC
3–1
L
Toronto FCvDC United
2–1
W
Columbus CrewvToronto FC
4–2
L
New York Red BullsvToronto FC
0–2
W
Toronto FCvOrlando City SC
3–3
D
New York City FC
New York City FC
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 3D · 1L
New York City FCvCF Montreal
1–1
D
New York City FCvAtlanta United FC
2–1
W
Orlando City SCvNew York City FC
2–2
D
New York City FCvLos Angeles FC
1–1
D
Inter MiamivNew York City FC
2–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Nashville SCNashville SC
33
22
8
3
+44
74
2
Inter MiamiInter Miami
33
16
11
6
+21
59
3
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
33
18
4
11
+9
58
4
Chicago FireChicago Fire
33
16
7
10
+11
55
5
CharlotteCharlotte
33
15
8
10
+15
53
6
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
33
13
8
12
+11
47
7
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
33
12
10
11
-6
46
8
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
33
13
5
15
+6
44
9
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
33
12
7
14
-16
43
10
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
33
11
6
16
-17
39
11
New York City FCNew York City FC
33
9
12
12
+3
39
12
Toronto FCToronto FC
33
9
12
12
-12
39
13
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
33
9
6
18
-14
33
14
DC UnitedDC United
33
7
12
14
-21
33
15
CF MontrealCF Montreal
33
6
8
19
-30
26