Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 39m
Premier League (England)
·
Tottenham
Tottenham
14th · 9 pts·DLDWW
vs
—
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
17th · 7 pts·LDWLL
The story

Tottenham host struggling Crystal Palace chasing three straight wins

Tottenham Hotspur host Crystal Palace in north London on Saturday evening looking to extend their winning momentum against an opponent struggling to find form.

Match news & current form

Tottenham sit 14th on nine points after eight games, finding momentum after an uneven start. Under manager Roberto De Zerbi, Spurs have posted consecutive victories, following a 3-1 home win against Coventry with an impressive 2-0 triumph away at Chelsea. They are now targeting a third straight league victory, having won only one fewer match in the last ten days than in their previous 26 top-flight matches combined.

Crystal Palace sit 17th on seven points after eight matches under manager Pierre Sage. The Eagles have found their start challenging, arriving on the back of consecutive league defeats without scoring, including a 5-0 hammering away to Brighton. Palace will be desperate to stop their slide and lift pressure on Sage.

Head-to-head history

Recent visits to north London favour the visitors, as Crystal Palace have won their last two away games against Tottenham, including a 3-1 victory on 5 March 2026 and a 2-0 win on 11 May 2025. Spurs, however, secured a 1-0 away win at Palace on 28 December 2025, and De Zerbi has never lost to Palace in four managerial meetings.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Tottenham are seeking three consecutive Premier League victories for the first time since February 2025.
  • Spurs are aiming to record back-to-back home league wins for the first time since November 2024.
  • Crystal Palace have won their last two away matches against Tottenham, aiming for three straight away wins over Spurs for the first time in their history.
  • Tottenham manager Roberto De Zerbi has never lost to Crystal Palace in four previous encounters (W2 D2).
Key players & missing men

Spurs remain without Rodrigo Bentancur through suspension, while Xavi Simons, Wilson Odobert, and Sávio miss out, though Lucas Bergvall, Tosin Adarabioyo, and Mykhailo Mudryk are nearing returns. Crystal Palace have plenty of personnel concerns of their own, with Chadi Riad, Ismaila Sarr, Takehiro Tomiyasu, Jørgen Strand Larsen, and Quinten Timber listed among the confirmed absences.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Tottenham vs Crystal Palace and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Tottenham1.8
–
1.1Crystal Palace
Season average total: 2.88 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Tottenham winDrawCrystal Palace win
Market call
Double chance : Tottenham or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Tottenham
1777
Crystal Palace
1804

Crystal Palace are the stronger side — 27 rating points clear of Tottenham.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

TottenhamTottenham
Goals scored
1.00
Expected (xG)
1.34
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Goals scored
1.20
Expected (xG)
1.53
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

TottenhamTottenhamCrystal PalaceCrystal Palace
1.00Goals scored / game1.13
1.25Goals conceded / game2.38
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Tottenham 8 games, Crystal Palace 8 games.

TottenhamTottenhamCrystal PalaceCrystal Palace
38%Games with a clean sheet13%
50%Games they failed to score50%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Tottenham
1–3
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
0–1
Tottenham
Tottenham
0–2
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
1–0
Tottenham
Tottenham
3–1
Crystal Palace
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

Tottenham
T. Adarabioyo
Out · Calf Injury
Tottenham
R. Bentancur
Out · Red Card
Tottenham
L. Bergvall
Out · Knee Injury
Tottenham
M. Mudryk
Out · Ankle Injury
Form check

Their recent form.

Tottenham
Tottenham
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
ChelseavTottenham
0–2
W
TottenhamvCoventry
3–1
W
Manchester UnitedvTottenham
1–1
D
TottenhamvAston Villa
2–3
L
TottenhamvEverton
0–0
D
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
Crystal PalacevNewcastle
0–2
L
BrightonvCrystal Palace
5–0
L
Crystal PalacevNottingham Forest
3–1
W
LeedsvCrystal Palace
0–0
D
Crystal PalacevIpswich
2–3
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Manchester CityManchester City
8
7
0
1
+11
21
2
ArsenalArsenal
8
7
0
1
+8
21
3
BrightonBrighton
8
5
1
2
+16
16
4
LiverpoolLiverpool
8
4
3
1
+3
15
5
ChelseaChelsea
8
4
1
3
+2
13
6
BrentfordBrentford
8
2
5
1
+5
11
7
LeedsLeeds
8
2
5
1
+3
11
8
NewcastleNewcastle
8
3
2
3
-2
11
9
Aston VillaAston Villa
8
3
2
3
-3
11
10
Hull CityHull City
8
2
4
2
+1
10
11
EvertonEverton
8
2
4
2
-1
10
12
IpswichIpswich
8
3
1
4
-4
10
13
BournemouthBournemouth
8
2
3
3
-1
9
14
TottenhamTottenham
8
2
3
3
-2
9
15
FulhamFulham
8
2
2
4
-2
8
16
Manchester UnitedManchester United
8
1
4
3
-3
7
17
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
8
2
1
5
-10
7
18
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
8
1
3
4
-4
6
19
CoventryCoventry
8
2
0
6
-9
6
20
SunderlandSunderland
8
1
2
5
-8
5