Winlytics.AI
Full time
Premier League (England)
·
Tottenham
Tottenham
20th · 2 pts·LLDDL
vs
Everton
Everton
7th · 9 pts·WDDDW
The story

Tottenham chase survival point against leaky Everton

Tottenham Hotspur head into the final day needing a single point to guarantee Premier League survival, while a safe Everton side look to play spoilers in the capital.

Match news & current form

Roberto De Zerbi’s Tottenham sit 17th in the table on 38 points, just two points above the relegation zone. Following a 2-1 defeat at Chelsea last time out, Spurs must secure a win or a draw on Sunday—or rely on West Ham dropping points—to officially confirm their survival.

David Moyes' Everton are safe in 12th place on 49 points, mathematically out of the European running with little left to play for. The Toffees are in a slump, failing to win any of their last six matches, most recently falling to a 1-3 home defeat against Sunderland.

Head-to-head history

Tottenham have historically dominated this fixture at home, winning 50 of the 94 meetings in north London. While Spurs ran out 3-0 winners in the reverse fixture earlier this season and have beaten Everton in their last four home clashes by an aggregate score of 13-1, Everton's overall record against them stands at 50 wins from 175 league meetings.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Everton have failed to win any of their last six Premier League matches, conceding at least two goals while scoring at least once in each.
  • Tottenham have kept only one clean sheet in their last 17 league fixtures.
  • Everton have conceded at least two goals in each of their last five away games.
Key players & missing men

Tottenham must navigate this crucial clash without several key players, as Mohammed Kudus, Dejan Kulusevski, Wilson Odobert, Cristian Romero, Xavi Simons, and Ben Davies are all ruled out. Everton travel south missing Jarrad Branthwaite, Jack Grealish, and Idrissa Gueye.

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We have published a signal on Tottenham vs Everton — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Tottenham vs Everton and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Tottenham0.6
1.1Everton
Season average total: 1.67 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Tottenham winDrawEverton win
Market call
Double chance : Tottenham or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Tottenham
1777
Everton
1803

Everton are the stronger side — 26 rating points clear of Tottenham.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

TottenhamTottenham
Goals scored
0.80
Expected (xG)
1.31
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
EvertonEverton
Goals scored
1.30
Expected (xG)
1.48
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

TottenhamTottenhamEvertonEverton
0.40Goals scored / game1.20
1.60Goals conceded / game0.60
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Tottenham 5 games, Everton 5 games.

TottenhamTottenhamEvertonEverton
40%Games with a clean sheet60%
80%Games they failed to score20%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Tottenham
0–0
Everton
Tottenham
1–0
Everton
Everton
0–3
Tottenham
Everton
3–2
Tottenham
Tottenham
4–0
Everton
Form check

Their recent form.

Tottenham
Tottenham
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
TottenhamvAston Villa
2–3
L
TottenhamvEverton
0–0
D
Nottingham ForestvTottenham
0–0
D
TottenhamvNewcastle
0–2
L
BrentfordvTottenham
3–0
L
Everton
Everton
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
EvertonvIpswich
1–0
W
TottenhamvEverton
0–0
D
EvertonvManchester United
2–2
D
BournemouthvEverton
1–1
D
EvertonvCrystal Palace
2–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Manchester CityManchester City
5
5
0
0
+8
15
2
ArsenalArsenal
5
4
0
1
+4
12
3
BrightonBrighton
5
3
1
1
+11
10
4
BrentfordBrentford
5
2
3
0
+6
9
5
LeedsLeeds
5
2
3
0
+4
9
6
LiverpoolLiverpool
5
2
3
0
+3
9
7
EvertonEverton
5
2
3
0
+3
9
8
Hull CityHull City
5
2
2
1
+2
8
9
NewcastleNewcastle
5
2
2
1
+0
8
10
ChelseaChelsea
5
2
1
2
-2
7
11
IpswichIpswich
5
2
0
3
-4
6
12
Manchester UnitedManchester United
5
1
2
2
+0
5
13
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
5
1
2
2
-1
5
14
SunderlandSunderland
5
1
1
3
-4
4
15
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
5
1
1
3
-5
4
16
Aston VillaAston Villa
5
1
1
3
-5
4
17
BournemouthBournemouth
5
0
3
2
-2
3
18
CoventryCoventry
5
1
0
4
-9
3
19
FulhamFulham
5
0
2
3
-3
2
20
TottenhamTottenham
5
0
2
3
-6
2