Tottenham Hotspur head into the final day needing a single point to guarantee Premier League survival, while a safe Everton side look to play spoilers in the capital.
Roberto De Zerbi’s Tottenham sit 17th in the table on 38 points, just two points above the relegation zone. Following a 2-1 defeat at Chelsea last time out, Spurs must secure a win or a draw on Sunday—or rely on West Ham dropping points—to officially confirm their survival.
David Moyes' Everton are safe in 12th place on 49 points, mathematically out of the European running with little left to play for. The Toffees are in a slump, failing to win any of their last six matches, most recently falling to a 1-3 home defeat against Sunderland.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Everton are the stronger side — 26 rating points clear of Tottenham.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Tottenham 5 games, Everton 5 games.
Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.