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Ligue 1 (France)
·
Toulouse
Toulouse
12th · 10 pts·WDWDL
vs
—
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
13th · 10 pts·LLLLW
The story

Toulouse host Strasbourg with both level on ten points

Separated only by goal difference after nine games, Toulouse and Strasbourg meet at Stadium de Toulouse looking to spark momentum.

Match news & current form

Toulouse sit 12th in Ligue 1 with 10 points after nine matches, coming off a 2-0 defeat away to Marseille. That result left them winless in two, though they remain unbeaten across their last two home outings.

Hugo Oliveira's Strasbourg sit 13th with 10 points from their opening nine fixtures. They arrested a four-match losing streak in emphatic style last time out, crushing Auxerre 5-1 at home after a bruising stretch that included defeats against Nice, Paris Saint-Germain and Rennes.

Head-to-head history

Toulouse have had the upper hand recently, winning the last two clashes between the sides, including a 2-1 victory at Strasbourg in May 2026 and a 1-0 win at home in December 2025. Across the wider history of this fixture, Strasbourg lead the ledger with 23 wins to Toulouse's 16 from 54 all-time meetings.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Strasbourg are on a run of nine consecutive matches conceding at least one goal.
  • Eleven of Toulouse's 12 league goals this season have arrived after half-time.
  • Strasbourg generated 59 shots across their last five matches, outshooting Toulouse by 17 in that same span.
  • There has been a decisive winner in each of the last four meetings between these sides.
Key players & missing men

Casper Tengstedt leads the line for Toulouse with two goals and 14 shots across his last five outings. Strasbourg rely on the form of Gessime Yassine, who produced two goals and two assists in the 5-1 rout of Auxerre. Neither side has reported any missing players ahead of Friday's encounter.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Toulouse1.7
–
1.4Strasbourg
Season average total: 3.10 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Toulouse winDrawStrasbourg win
Market call
Double chance : Toulouse or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Toulouse
1652
Strasbourg
1711

Strasbourg are the stronger side — 58 rating points clear of Toulouse.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

ToulouseToulouse
Goals scored
1.60
Expected (xG)
1.81
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
StrasbourgStrasbourg
Goals scored
1.90
Expected (xG)
1.29
Clinical — scoring above their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

ToulouseToulouseStrasbourgStrasbourg
1.33Goals scored / game1.89
1.44Goals conceded / game2.11
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Toulouse 9 games, Strasbourg 9 games.

ToulouseToulouseStrasbourgStrasbourg
22%Games with a clean sheet0%
44%Games they failed to score22%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Strasbourg
1–2
Toulouse
Toulouse
1–0
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
2–1
Toulouse
Toulouse
1–2
Strasbourg
Toulouse
0–0
Strasbourg
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

Toulouse
A. Donnum
Out · Yellow Cards
Toulouse
R. Messali
Out · Thigh Injury
Toulouse
M. Niflore
Doubt · Knee Injury
Strasbourg
J. Panichelli
Out · Knee Injury
Form check

Their recent form.

Toulouse
Toulouse
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
MarseillevToulouse
2–0
L
ToulousevEstac Troyes
0–0
D
Le MansvToulouse
0–3
W
MonacovToulouse
2–2
D
ToulousevLe Havre
3–2
W
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Losing form badly
Last 5
1W · 0D · 4L
StrasbourgvAuxerre
5–1
W
RennesvStrasbourg
3–0
L
StrasbourgvParis Saint Germain
1–3
L
NicevStrasbourg
2–1
L
Paris FCvStrasbourg
2–1
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ligue 1 (France) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
9
6
2
1
+11
20
2
LilleLille
9
5
3
1
+6
18
3
LyonLyon
9
5
2
2
+8
17
4
Paris FCParis FC
9
5
2
2
+6
17
5
RennesRennes
9
5
1
3
+1
16
6
MarseilleMarseille
9
5
0
4
+7
15
7
MonacoMonaco
9
4
3
2
+2
15
8
NiceNice
9
4
2
3
+1
14
9
LensLens
9
4
1
4
+3
13
10
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
9
3
3
3
+4
12
11
LorientLorient
9
3
3
3
-1
12
12
ToulouseToulouse
9
2
4
3
-1
10
13
StrasbourgStrasbourg
9
3
1
5
-2
10
14
AuxerreAuxerre
9
3
1
5
-10
10
15
AngersAngers
9
2
2
5
-8
8
16
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
9
2
2
5
-9
8
17
Le MansLe Mans
9
1
4
4
-7
7
18
Le HavreLe Havre
9
0
2
7
-11
2