Winlytics.AI
Full time
Eliteserien (Norway)
·
Tromso
Tromso
3rd · 38 pts·LDLLW
vs
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sarpsborg 08 FF
9th · 25 pts·LDDDL
The story

Tromso chase title lead as Sarpsborg eye Europe

A high-stakes encounter at the Alfheim Stadion sees Tromso looking to close the seven-point gap on the league leaders while Sarpsborg 08 fight to stay within touching distance of the European spots.

Match news & current form

Tromso are firmly in the title race, sitting 3rd on 34 points with 13 games remaining. They carry significant momentum into this clash, remaining unbeaten in their last five outings (W3, D2). Their recent attacking output has been clinical, highlighted by a 6-2 thrashing of Aalesund and a 4-0 victory over Valerenga.

Sarpsborg 08 occupy 9th place with 22 points, currently three points adrift of the European qualification places. Their form has faltered recently, suffering back-to-back 2-1 defeats against Sandefjord and Viking. With 13 games left to play, they must reverse a trend of just one win in their last five matches to keep their continental ambitions alive.

Head-to-head history

Historically, Sarpsborg 08 have held the upper hand with 12 wins to Tromso's 9 across 26 direct meetings. However, recent encounters have tightened up defensively; the last two matches between these sides have seen both teams fail to score and finished with under 1.5 total goals.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Tromso have scored four or more goals in three of their last five Eliteserien matches.
  • Sarpsborg 08 have conceded an average of 1.67 goals in their last three away fixtures.
  • The last two head-to-head meetings between these clubs ended with a 'No BTTS' (Both Teams to Score) result.
  • Tromso are currently on a five-match unbeaten streak in league play.
Key players & missing men

Daniel Braut is pushing for a start for the hosts after providing assists from the bench in back-to-back games. Tromso will be without L. Hien and V. Skjaervik. Sarpsborg face a defensive crisis with F. Carstensen, S. Rosted, M. Svenningsen Gronn, and C. Niyukuri all sidelined.

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We have published a signal on Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 FF — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 FF and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Tromso1.7
1.0Sarpsborg 08 FF
Season average total: 2.69 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Tromso winDrawSarpsborg 08 FF win
Market call
Winner : Tromso
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Tromso
1497
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1403

Tromso are the stronger side — 93 rating points clear of Sarpsborg 08 FF.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

TromsoTromsoSarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
1.90Goals scored / game1.14
1.38Goals conceded / game1.38
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Tromso 21 games, Sarpsborg 08 FF 21 games.

TromsoTromsoSarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
43%Games with a clean sheet24%
29%Games they failed to score24%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Tromso
0–0
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0–1
Tromso
Tromso
4–0
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0–1
Tromso
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3–3
Tromso
Form check

Their recent form.

Tromso
Tromso
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
TromsovHam-Kam
3–2
W
RosenborgvTromso
5–3
L
Kristiansund BKvTromso
2–0
L
TromsovSarpsborg 08 FF
0–0
D
MoldevTromso
3–2
L
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
0W · 3D · 2L
Sarpsborg 08 FFvKFUM Oslo
1–3
L
FredrikstadvSarpsborg 08 FF
1–1
D
Sarpsborg 08 FFvValerenga
2–2
D
TromsovSarpsborg 08 FF
0–0
D
Sarpsborg 08 FFvSandefjord
1–2
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Eliteserien (Norway) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
VikingViking
21
16
2
3
+34
50
2
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
21
16
2
3
+34
50
3
TromsoTromso
21
11
5
5
+11
38
4
MoldeMolde
21
11
3
7
+12
36
5
RosenborgRosenborg
21
10
3
8
+9
33
6
LillestromLillestrom
21
10
2
9
-1
32
7
BrannBrann
21
9
2
10
+7
29
8
FredrikstadFredrikstad
21
8
4
9
-7
28
9
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
21
6
7
8
-5
25
10
KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo
21
7
4
10
-10
25
11
SandefjordSandefjord
21
6
5
10
-6
23
12
ValerengaValerenga
21
6
5
10
-9
23
13
Ham-KamHam-Kam
21
6
5
10
-15
23
14
AalesundAalesund
21
4
9
8
-13
21
15
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
21
5
4
12
-19
19
16
StartStart
21
4
4
13
-22
16