Winlytics.AI
Full time
Bundesliga (Austria)
·
TSV Hartberg
TSV Hartberg
6th · 8 pts·LWWDD
vs
Ried
Ried
5th · 8 pts·LWLDW
The story

European places at stake in Hartberg and Ried clash

With only 18 games remaining in the Bundesliga season, both sides are locked in a tight battle to break into the European qualification spots.

Match news & current form

TSV Hartberg enter this fixture sitting 11th on 3 points, but the compact nature of the table means they are just one point adrift of the European places. Having previously occupied 6th position earlier in the campaign, they are fighting to regain their place in the Championship Round contention.

Ried currently hold 8th place with 4 points and sit directly on the cusp of the European places. While they have recently been in contention for the Relegation Round, their away form has been a highlight, securing four victories on the road to keep their top-six ambitions alive.

Head-to-head history

Recent encounters have seen Hartberg and Ried trade blows in the Bundesliga, with Hartberg previously securing a 6th-place ranking compared to Ried's 9th during their two meetings earlier this season. Both sides have shown they can find the net against one another, making this a pivotal tie for the head-to-head tiebreakers.

Hot stats & streaks
  • TSV Hartberg have proven difficult to beat at home, recording four wins at the BSFZ-Arena so far this season.
  • Ried travel well, matching Hartberg's home record with four away victories of their own.
  • The sides are separated by just one point in the race for European qualification.
  • Both teams have shown a high tendency for goals, with recent market analysis heavily favoring both teams to score.
Key players & missing men

Both squads appear to be at full strength for this crucial encounter with no new injuries reported. Hartberg will look to leverage their home advantage at the Profertil Arena, while Ried's tactical setup away from home continues to be their primary weapon in the fight for the top six.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on TSV Hartberg vs Ried — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on TSV Hartberg vs Ried and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
TSV Hartberg2.1
1.8Ried
Season average total: 3.88 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
TSV Hartberg winDrawRied win
Market call
Double chance : TSV Hartberg or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

TSV Hartberg
1371
Ried
1302

TSV Hartberg are the stronger side — 69 rating points clear of Ried.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

TSV HartbergTSV HartbergRiedRied
1.43Goals scored / game1.57
1.86Goals conceded / game1.71
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — TSV Hartberg 7 games, Ried 7 games.

TSV HartbergTSV HartbergRiedRied
0%Games with a clean sheet14%
43%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

TSV Hartberg
3–2
Ried
TSV Hartberg
2–0
Ried
Ried
0–2
TSV Hartberg
TSV Hartberg
2–0
Ried
Ried
1–3
TSV Hartberg
Form check

Their recent form.

TSV Hartberg
TSV Hartberg
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
TSV HartbergvLask Linz
3–3
D
WSG WattensvTSV Hartberg
2–2
D
TSV HartbergvRied
3–2
W
SCR AltachvTSV Hartberg
1–2
W
TSV HartbergvAustria Vienna
0–2
L
Ried
Ried
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
RiedvWolfsberger AC
4–1
W
RiedvRed Bull Salzburg
1–1
D
TSV HartbergvRied
3–2
L
RiedvGrazer AK
1–0
W
Lask LinzvRied
4–1
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Bundesliga (Austria) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna
7
6
0
1
+14
18
2
Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
7
5
2
0
+14
17
3
Lask LinzLask Linz
7
5
1
1
+12
16
4
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
7
3
2
2
-1
11
5
RiedRied
7
2
2
3
-1
8
6
TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg
7
2
2
3
-3
8
7
WSG WattensWSG Wattens
7
2
2
3
-3
8
8
Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau
7
2
2
3
-3
8
9
Grazer AKGrazer AK
7
2
2
3
-10
8
10
Austria ViennaAustria Vienna
7
2
1
4
-6
7
11
Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC
7
1
2
4
-6
5
12
SCR AltachSCR Altach
7
1
0
6
-7
3