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Liga Profesional (Argentina)
·
Union Santa Fe
Union Santa Fe
8th · 21 pts·WWWLL
vs
—
Sarmiento Junin
Sarmiento Junin
11th · 19 pts·WLWDL
The story

Union and Sarmiento battle for European qualification spots

Separated by just two points, Union Santa Fe and Sarmiento Junin meet with both sides desperate to close the gap on the European qualification places.

Match news & current form

Union Santa Fe enter this fixture in 8th place on 21 points, currently sitting seven points adrift of the European spots with 30 games remaining. Their recent form has been inconsistent, following a 3-1 victory over Aldosivi with a narrow 1-0 defeat to San Lorenzo last time out. They have struggled for stability, recording two wins and three losses in their last five matches.

Sarmiento Junin arrive in 11th place on 19 points, trailing the European places by nine points. Despite a 3-2 loss to Banfield in their most recent outing, they have been one of the league's form teams, winning four of their last five matches including impressive 2-0 victories over both Estudiantes L.P. and Huracan.

Head-to-head history

The historical record between these two sides is perfectly balanced, with both Sarmiento and Union claiming three wins apiece in their last six Liga Profesional encounters. Interestingly, the most frequent scoreline in the history of this fixture is 1-0, occurring on four separate occasions.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Sarmiento Junin have won at both half-time and full-time in their last three home league matches.
  • Sarmiento have held a 50 percent win rate over Union across their last six top-flight meetings.
  • Union Santa Fe have failed to draw any of their last five league matches (W2, L3).
  • Sarmiento's last five matches have all featured over 2.5 goals.
Key players & missing men

Sarmiento will look to maintain the structure that saw them field a 4-2-3-1 formation in recent weeks, with Churin and Marabel leading the line. Both squads appear to have a clean bill of health with no fresh injuries or suspensions reported ahead of kickoff.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Union Santa Fe vs Sarmiento Junin and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Union Santa Fe1.8
–
1.0Sarmiento Junin
Season average total: 2.76 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
Union Santa Fe winDrawSarmiento Junin win
Market call
Double chance : Union Santa Fe or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Union Santa FeUnion Santa FeSarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
1.54Goals scored / game1.15
1.39Goals conceded / game1.38
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Union Santa Fe 28 games, Sarmiento Junin 26 games.

Union Santa FeUnion Santa FeSarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
18%Games with a clean sheet31%
25%Games they failed to score23%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Union Santa Fe
4–1
Sarmiento Junin
Sarmiento Junin
1–3
Union Santa Fe
Sarmiento Junin
1–0
Union Santa Fe
Sarmiento Junin
1–2
Union Santa Fe
Union Santa Fe
1–0
Sarmiento Junin
Form check

Their recent form.

Union Santa Fe
Union Santa Fe
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 0D · 2L
Union Santa FevIndependiente
1–2
L
Talleres CordobavUnion Santa Fe
2–1
L
Union Santa FevInstituto Cordoba
3–2
W
Union Santa FevSarmiento Junin
4–1
W
AldosivivUnion Santa Fe
1–3
W
Sarmiento Junin
Sarmiento Junin
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Racing ClubvSarmiento Junin
3–1
L
Sarmiento JuninvBelgrano Cordoba
1–1
D
Estudiantes de Rio CuartovSarmiento Junin
0–2
W
Union Santa FevSarmiento Junin
4–1
L
Sarmiento JuninvEstudiantes L.P.
2–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Liga Profesional (Argentina) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
16
9
4
3
+12
31
2
Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
16
8
6
2
+13
30
3
Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
16
7
7
2
+6
28
4
Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba
16
7
5
4
+4
26
5
IndependienteIndependiente
16
6
6
4
+4
24
6
LanusLanus
16
6
6
4
+3
24
7
San LorenzoSan Lorenzo
16
5
7
4
+0
22
8
Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
16
5
6
5
+4
21
9
Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba
16
6
3
7
+0
21
10
Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia
16
4
7
5
-3
19
11
Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
16
5
4
7
-8
19
12
PlatensePlatense
16
3
7
6
-5
16
13
Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago
16
4
4
8
-10
16
14
Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys
16
3
6
7
-12
15
15
Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra
16
1
8
7
-7
11