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Liga Profesional (Argentina)
·
Union Santa Fe
Union Santa Fe
8th · 21 pts·LLDWD
vs
—
Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
3rd · 28 pts·DLWWD
The story

Union Santa Fe host Velez Sarsfield targeting playoff spots

Union Santa Fe must defend their playoff place against third-placed Velez Sarsfield in the final stretch of the Liga Profesional season.

Match news & current form

Eighth-placed Union Santa Fe sit on 21 points, occupying the final playoff position as the campaign concludes. Momentum has been mixed with one win, two draws, and two defeats across their last five matches, most recently playing out a 1-1 stalemate away at Newell's Old Boys following a convincing 3-1 victory over Estudiantes.

Velez Sarsfield travel in a much sturdier position, sitting third on 28 points and safely holding a playoff spot seven points clear of the cut-off. They arrive after a dramatic 2-2 draw with San Lorenzo, having previously dismantled Central Cordoba de Santiago 5-0 on their travels to take two wins from their last five league outings.

Head-to-head history

Recent encounters between the two clubs have been tightly contested, with their most recent clash ending 2-2 in April 2026. Prior to that, Union claimed a 1-0 victory in December 2024 and a 2-1 win in August 2022, whilst Velez Sarsfield held them to a 0-0 draw in July 2023.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Union Santa Fe have scored in three consecutive league matches, including a 3-1 home win over Estudiantes.
  • Velez Sarsfield have scored nine goals across their last five fixtures, highlighted by a 5-0 away win against Central Cordoba.
  • The last meeting between these two sides finished in a four-goal thriller (2-2) in April 2026.
Key players & missing men

Neither club has any reported absences heading into the contest, allowing full strength selections. Union will look to their attacking triumvirate of Cuello, Estigarribia, and Tarragona to deliver, while Velez Sarsfield rely on the creative midfield presence of Manuel Lanzini and Lucas Robertone to feed Ronaldo Martinez.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Union Santa Fe1.3
–
1.3Velez Sarsfield
Season average total: 2.57 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Union Santa Fe winDrawVelez Sarsfield win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Velez Sarsfield
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Union Santa FeUnion Santa FeVelez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
1.45Goals scored / game1.34
1.42Goals conceded / game0.88
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Union Santa Fe 33 games, Velez Sarsfield 32 games.

Union Santa FeUnion Santa FeVelez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
15%Games with a clean sheet38%
27%Games they failed to score16%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Velez Sarsfield
2–2
Union Santa Fe
Union Santa Fe
1–0
Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
0–0
Union Santa Fe
Union Santa Fe
2–1
Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
4–0
Union Santa Fe
Form check

Their recent form.

Union Santa Fe
Union Santa Fe
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
Newells Old BoysvUnion Santa Fe
1–1
D
Union Santa FevEstudiantes L.P.
3–1
W
Deportivo RiestravUnion Santa Fe
1–1
D
Union Santa FevDefensa Y Justicia
0–2
L
Boca JuniorsvUnion Santa Fe
3–0
L
Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Velez SarsfieldvSan Lorenzo
2–2
D
Central Cordoba de SantiagovVelez Sarsfield
0–5
W
Velez SarsfieldvGimnasia M.
1–0
W
LanusvVelez Sarsfield
2–0
L
Velez SarsfieldvPlatense
2–2
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Liga Profesional (Argentina) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
16
9
4
3
+12
31
2
Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
16
8
6
2
+13
30
3
Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
16
7
7
2
+6
28
4
Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba
16
7
5
4
+4
26
5
IndependienteIndependiente
16
6
6
4
+4
24
6
LanusLanus
16
6
6
4
+3
24
7
San LorenzoSan Lorenzo
16
5
7
4
+0
22
8
Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
16
5
6
5
+4
21
9
Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba
16
6
3
7
+0
21
10
Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia
16
4
7
5
-3
19
11
Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
16
5
4
7
-8
19
12
PlatensePlatense
16
3
7
6
-5
16
13
Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago
16
4
4
8
-10
16
14
Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys
16
3
6
7
-12
15
15
Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra
16
1
8
7
-7
11