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Pro League (Belgium)
·
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
1st · 19 pts·WWWWW
vs
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
5th · 13 pts·LWDWW
The story

USG aim for second as Anderlecht fight for Europe

Union St. Gilloise look to cement their continental standing while Anderlecht arrive desperate to protect their top-four status on the final day of the season.

Match news & current form

Union St. Gilloise enter the final matchday 2nd on 50 pts, currently holding a continental place. While their recent form has been mixed (W2 D1 L2), they remain a formidable force at home and are coming off a 0-0 draw against Gent. Having already beaten Anderlecht 3-1 away in the reverse fixture, they will look to end the campaign on a high.

Anderlecht sit 4th on 33 pts and are fighting to hold a European spot with no games remaining after this clash. Their momentum has stalled with only one win in their last five (W1 D2 L2), though a 3-1 victory over St. Truiden in their last outing provided a much-needed boost to their survival hopes in the top four.

Head-to-head history

The historical data heavily favours the hosts; Union St. Gilloise have won 14 of the 20 direct matches played between these sides. Anderlecht have managed just one win in their last five attempts in this fixture, suffering four defeats and struggling significantly in front of goal, averaging just 0.2 goals per game in that span.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Union St. Gilloise are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Anderlecht (1W, 2D).
  • Anderlecht have suffered four defeats in their last five head-to-head encounters with USG.
  • Anderlecht matches frequently see high set-piece volume, with over 7.5 corners recorded in 20 of their last 21 matches.
  • USG won the most recent meeting between these two sides with a convincing 3-1 scoreline.
Key players & missing men

Both squads appear to be at full strength for this crucial season finale, with no fresh absences reported for either Union St. Gilloise or Anderlecht. This allows both managers to field their strongest possible XIs as they chase their respective European objectives.

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We have published a signal on Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Union St. Gilloise2.0
0.2Anderlecht
Season average total: 2.17 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Union St. Gilloise winDrawAnderlecht win
Market call
Double chance : Union St. Gilloise or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Union St. Gilloise
1717
Anderlecht
1524

Union St. Gilloise are the stronger side — 193 rating points clear of Anderlecht.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. GilloiseAnderlechtAnderlecht
3.00Goals scored / game1.00
0.43Goals conceded / game0.71
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Union St. Gilloise 7 games, Anderlecht 7 games.

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. GilloiseAnderlechtAnderlecht
71%Games with a clean sheet57%
14%Games they failed to score43%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Union St. Gilloise
3–0
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
5–1
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
3–1
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
1–3
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
1–0
Union St. Gilloise
Form check

Their recent form.

Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
On a strong winning run
Last 5
5W · 0D · 0L
AntwerpvUnion St. Gilloise
0–2
W
Union St. GilloisevLommel United
5–0
W
CharleroivUnion St. Gilloise
2–3
W
St. TruidenvUnion St. Gilloise
0–3
W
Union St. GilloisevAnderlecht
3–0
W
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
AnderlechtvZulte Waregem
3–0
W
KV MechelenvAnderlecht
0–1
W
AnderlechtvGenk
0–0
D
AnderlechtvKortrijk
1–0
W
Union St. GilloisevAnderlecht
3–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Pro League (Belgium) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
7
6
1
0
+18
19
2
GentGent
7
6
1
0
+9
19
3
Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV
7
6
0
1
+12
18
4
CharleroiCharleroi
7
6
0
1
+8
18
5
AnderlechtAnderlecht
7
4
1
2
+2
13
6
Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem
7
3
2
2
+3
11
7
Standard LiegeStandard Liege
7
3
2
2
+1
11
8
KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo
7
3
1
3
-1
10
9
SK BeverenSK Beveren
7
3
0
4
-4
9
10
GenkGenk
7
2
3
2
+1
9
11
St. TruidenSt. Truiden
7
2
2
3
+0
8
12
Lommel UnitedLommel United
7
2
2
3
-2
8
13
AntwerpAntwerp
7
2
1
4
-4
7
14
RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière
7
1
1
5
-7
4
15
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
7
1
1
5
-8
4
16
KortrijkKortrijk
7
1
0
6
-13
3
17
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
7
0
3
4
-6
3
18
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
7
0
3
4
-9
3