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Pro League (Belgium)
·
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
1st · 19 pts·WWWWW
vs
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
5th · 13 pts·LWDWW
The story

Union St. Gilloise eye top spot against depleted Anderlecht

Separated by just one point in the early standings, both sides are looking to close the gap on the European qualification places.

Match news & current form

Union St. Gilloise enter this fixture sitting 8th in the Pro League with 4 points, just two points adrift of the European places. They remain unbeaten in their last two outings, following up a dominant 5-1 away victory over KVC Westerlo with a frustrating 0-0 draw against Zulte Waregem where they failed to break down a compact defence.

Anderlecht currently occupy 10th place with 3 points, trailing the European spots by three points. Their momentum was halted last week in a narrow 1-0 defeat away to SK Beveren, failing to build on the confidence gained from their 2-1 victory over RAAL La Louvière in the previous round.

Head-to-head history

This fixture has been heavily one-sided in recent years. Out of the last 20 direct encounters, Union St. Gilloise have claimed 14 victories, while Anderlecht have managed just three wins. The historical average of 2.4 goals per match suggests a fixture that typically produces decisive results rather than stalemates.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Union St. Gilloise have won 70% of their last 20 matches against Anderlecht.
  • Anderlecht have failed to win their last three away matches in the Pro League.
  • The hosts have kept a clean sheet in their most recent league outing.
  • Anderlecht have only managed three direct wins against USG in their recorded history.
Key players & missing men

Adem Zorgane is expected to return to the Union starting XI after being eased back via the bench last week, likely replacing Raul Florucz. Anderlecht face a significant selection crisis with five confirmed absentees, including defenders Killian Sardella and Ilay Camara, which may force a reshuffle in their backline.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Union St. Gilloise2.0
0.2Anderlecht
Season average total: 2.17 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Union St. Gilloise winDrawAnderlecht win
Market call
Winner : Union St. Gilloise
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Union St. Gilloise
1717
Anderlecht
1524

Union St. Gilloise are the stronger side — 193 rating points clear of Anderlecht.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. GilloiseAnderlechtAnderlecht
3.00Goals scored / game1.00
0.43Goals conceded / game0.71
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Union St. Gilloise 7 games, Anderlecht 7 games.

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. GilloiseAnderlechtAnderlecht
71%Games with a clean sheet57%
14%Games they failed to score43%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Union St. Gilloise
3–0
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
5–1
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
3–1
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
1–3
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
1–0
Union St. Gilloise
Form check

Their recent form.

Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
On a strong winning run
Last 5
5W · 0D · 0L
AntwerpvUnion St. Gilloise
0–2
W
Union St. GilloisevLommel United
5–0
W
CharleroivUnion St. Gilloise
2–3
W
St. TruidenvUnion St. Gilloise
0–3
W
Union St. GilloisevAnderlecht
3–0
W
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
AnderlechtvZulte Waregem
3–0
W
KV MechelenvAnderlecht
0–1
W
AnderlechtvGenk
0–0
D
AnderlechtvKortrijk
1–0
W
Union St. GilloisevAnderlecht
3–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Pro League (Belgium) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
7
6
1
0
+18
19
2
GentGent
7
6
1
0
+9
19
3
Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV
7
6
0
1
+12
18
4
CharleroiCharleroi
7
6
0
1
+8
18
5
AnderlechtAnderlecht
7
4
1
2
+2
13
6
Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem
7
3
2
2
+3
11
7
Standard LiegeStandard Liege
7
3
2
2
+1
11
8
KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo
7
3
1
3
-1
10
9
SK BeverenSK Beveren
7
3
0
4
-4
9
10
GenkGenk
7
2
3
2
+1
9
11
St. TruidenSt. Truiden
7
2
2
3
+0
8
12
Lommel UnitedLommel United
7
2
2
3
-2
8
13
AntwerpAntwerp
7
2
1
4
-4
7
14
RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière
7
1
1
5
-7
4
15
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
7
1
1
5
-8
4
16
KortrijkKortrijk
7
1
0
6
-13
3
17
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
7
0
3
4
-6
3
18
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
7
0
3
4
-9
3