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J1 League (Japan)
·
V-varen Nagasaki
V-varen Nagasaki
15th · 8 pts·LDLWD
vs
—
Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
11th · 11 pts·LWDLD
The story

V-varen Nagasaki host Cerezo Osaka at Peace Stadium

With only seven games played, V-varen Nagasaki look to build on their home strength while Cerezo Osaka aim to snap a poor run of form on the road.

Match news & current form

V-varen Nagasaki sit 14th on seven points after seven games and are looking to find consistency after a mixed start to the campaign. They enter this fixture following a 2-0 victory over Nagoya Grampus, a result that corrected a dip in form after three defeats in their previous four matches.

Cerezo Osaka occupy 10th place with 10 points and are currently four points off the AFC Champions League qualifying places. While they have been more convincing overall this season, they suffered a heavy 1-6 defeat to Sanfrecce Hiroshima in their last away outing and have struggled to find their rhythm outside of Osaka.

Head-to-head history

Cerezo Osaka have dominated recent meetings, winning four of the last five encounters, including a 3-2 victory in their most recent clash in May 2026. However, V-varen Nagasaki did secure a 1-0 home win when the sides met in February 2026.

Hot stats & streaks
  • V-varen Nagasaki have gone unbeaten in seven of their last eight home matches.
  • Cerezo Osaka have lost three consecutive J1 League matches on their travels.
  • V-varen Nagasaki have found the net in nine of their last 10 home fixtures.
  • Cerezo Osaka have failed to win any of their last two league games, scoring just once in that period.
Key players & missing men

No specific player milestones or injuries were reported for either side ahead of this fixture. Both squads appear to have full availability as they look to climb the early-season table.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
V-varen Nagasaki2.1
–
0.9Cerezo Osaka
Season average total: 3.03 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
V-varen Nagasaki winDrawCerezo Osaka win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Cerezo Osaka
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

V-varen NagasakiV-varen NagasakiCerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka
1.25Goals scored / game0.88
1.88Goals conceded / game1.50
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — V-varen Nagasaki 8 games, Cerezo Osaka 8 games.

V-varen NagasakiV-varen NagasakiCerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka
13%Games with a clean sheet38%
25%Games they failed to score38%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

V-varen Nagasaki
1–1
Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
3–2
V-varen Nagasaki
V-varen Nagasaki
1–0
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
0–2
Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
3–1
V-varen Nagasaki
Form check

Their recent form.

V-varen Nagasaki
V-varen Nagasaki
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
V-varen NagasakivCerezo Osaka
1–1
D
V-varen NagasakivNagoya Grampus
2–0
W
Vissel KobevV-varen Nagasaki
3–1
L
V-varen NagasakivGamba Osaka
2–2
D
V-varen NagasakivFC Tokyo
0–3
L
Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
V-varen NagasakivCerezo Osaka
1–1
D
Sanfrecce HiroshimavCerezo Osaka
6–1
L
Cerezo OsakavTokyo Verdy
0–0
D
Cerezo OsakavKashiwa Reysol
2–0
W
Vissel KobevCerezo Osaka
1–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

J1 League (Japan) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vissel KobeVissel Kobe
8
6
1
1
+7
19
2
Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol
8
6
0
2
+5
18
3
Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
8
5
2
1
+14
17
4
Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia
8
5
2
1
+11
17
5
FC TokyoFC Tokyo
8
5
2
1
+6
17
6
Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
8
4
2
2
+4
14
7
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
8
3
4
1
+4
13
8
KashimaKashima
8
4
1
3
+1
13
9
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
8
4
1
3
+1
13
10
UrawaUrawa
8
4
0
4
-2
12
11
Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka
8
3
2
3
-5
11
12
Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse
8
3
1
4
-2
10
13
Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
8
2
3
3
+0
9
14
Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
8
2
2
4
-4
8
15
V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki
8
2
2
4
-5
8
16
Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
8
1
3
4
-6
6
17
Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
8
2
0
6
-7
6
18
Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka
8
1
1
6
-3
4
19
Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
8
0
4
4
-8
4
20
JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba
8
1
1
6
-11
4