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Full time
J1 League (Japan)
·
V-varen Nagasaki
V-varen Nagasaki
15th · 8 pts·LDLWD
vs
—
Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus
17th · 6 pts·WLLLL
The story

Nagasaki seek stability as Grampus struggle on road

Both sides are desperate to find consistency in the early stages of the J1 League season to distance themselves from the bottom of the table.

Match news & current form

V-varen Nagasaki enter this fixture 18th in the table with 4 points, currently inside the relegation zone. They are searching for their first win in six matches following a 1-3 defeat to Vissel Kobe and a 2-2 draw with Gamba Osaka in their most recent outings. Defensive stability is the primary concern for the hosts, who have struggled to hold leads after opening the scoring in only two of their first nine matches across all competitions this year.

Nagoya Grampus sit 14th on 6 points, already trailing the AFC Champions League places by nine points. The club underwent a significant managerial change in the off-season, with Mihailo Petrovic appointed as head coach following the expiration of Kenta Hasegawa's contract. However, the new era has started inconsistently, with Grampus losing their last two matches against Machida Zelvia (1-3) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima (0-3).

Head-to-head history

While Nagoya Grampus won the most recent encounter 2-1 in May 2026, V-varen Nagasaki have historically been a difficult opponent. In their last five meetings, Nagasaki have secured two wins and a draw, including a high-scoring 4-3 victory away from home in 2018.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Nagoya Grampus have lost their last four consecutive J1 League matches on the road.
  • V-varen Nagasaki have failed to win a game this season when conceding the first goal.
  • Nagoya Grampus have conceded at least three goals in each of their last two league defeats.
  • None of the last four meetings between these two sides have ended in a draw.
Key players & missing men

Mihailo Petrovic has a full squad to choose from with no fresh injuries reported for Nagoya Grampus, though he is still searching for a consistent XI to implement his tactical style. V-varen Nagasaki also report a clean bill of health, leaving the hosts with no excuses as they look to climb out of the bottom three.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
V-varen Nagasaki1.7
–
0.8Nagoya Grampus
Season average total: 2.52 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
V-varen Nagasaki winDrawNagoya Grampus win
Market call
Double chance : V-varen Nagasaki or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

V-varen NagasakiV-varen NagasakiNagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
1.25Goals scored / game0.88
1.88Goals conceded / game1.75
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — V-varen Nagasaki 8 games, Nagoya Grampus 8 games.

V-varen NagasakiV-varen NagasakiNagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
13%Games with a clean sheet0%
25%Games they failed to score50%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

V-varen Nagasaki
2–0
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
1–2
Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus
1–3
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
3–4
V-varen Nagasaki
V-varen Nagasaki
3–0
Nagoya Grampus
Form check

Their recent form.

V-varen Nagasaki
V-varen Nagasaki
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
V-varen NagasakivCerezo Osaka
1–1
D
V-varen NagasakivNagoya Grampus
2–0
W
Vissel KobevV-varen Nagasaki
3–1
L
V-varen NagasakivGamba Osaka
2–2
D
V-varen NagasakivFC Tokyo
0–3
L
Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus
Losing form badly
Last 5
1W · 0D · 4L
FC TokyovNagoya Grampus
1–0
L
V-varen NagasakivNagoya Grampus
2–0
L
Nagoya GrampusvMachida Zelvia
1–3
L
Sanfrecce HiroshimavNagoya Grampus
3–0
L
Nagoya GrampusvFagiano Okayama
2–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

J1 League (Japan) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vissel KobeVissel Kobe
8
6
1
1
+7
19
2
Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol
8
6
0
2
+5
18
3
Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
8
5
2
1
+14
17
4
Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia
8
5
2
1
+11
17
5
FC TokyoFC Tokyo
8
5
2
1
+6
17
6
Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
8
4
2
2
+4
14
7
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
8
3
4
1
+4
13
8
KashimaKashima
8
4
1
3
+1
13
9
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
8
4
1
3
+1
13
10
UrawaUrawa
8
4
0
4
-2
12
11
Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka
8
3
2
3
-5
11
12
Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse
8
3
1
4
-2
10
13
Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
8
2
3
3
+0
9
14
Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
8
2
2
4
-4
8
15
V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki
8
2
2
4
-5
8
16
Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
8
1
3
4
-6
6
17
Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
8
2
0
6
-7
6
18
Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka
8
1
1
6
-3
4
19
Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
8
0
4
4
-8
4
20
JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba
8
1
1
6
-11
4