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Eliteserien (Norway)
·
Valerenga
Valerenga
12th · 23 pts·DLDLD
vs
Molde
Molde
4th · 36 pts·WWWWL
The story

Valerenga eye European surge as Molde's away form falters

With just 13 games remaining, Valerenga aim to close the four-point gap to the European places against a fourth-placed Molde side fighting to protect their continental standing.

Match news & current form

Valerenga enter this fixture in 11th place on 21 points, looking to bounce back from a chaotic 5-5 draw against Aalesund. Despite recent home defeats to Bodo/Glimt and Ham-Kam, they have shown high-scoring potential, evidenced by their 6-1 demolition of Aalesund earlier this month.

Molde sit 4th with 27 points but have displayed significant vulnerability away from home, losing four of their eight league trips. They arrive following a narrow 3-2 victory over Tromso, but a recent 1-2 loss at Kristiansund highlights their inconsistency when playing away from their own turf.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Molde have found the net in each of their last nine Eliteserien fixtures.
  • Each of Valerenga's last three home league matches has seen over 2.5 goals scored.
  • Molde have lost 5 of their last 10 away games in the Eliteserien.
  • Valerenga have suffered defeat in 9 of their 18 matches so far this campaign.
Key players & missing men

Valerenga are boosted by the expected return of midfielder H. Roervik Bjoerdal, who has provided six assists in 15 matches this season. However, they remain without F. Ambina and M. Sjoeng. Molde face a longer absentee list including F. Dahl, S. Diop, V. Hoff, M. Kikkenborg, and H. Stenevik, which may stretch their defensive depth.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Valerenga vs Molde and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Valerenga1.9
1.9Molde
Season average total: 3.72 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Valerenga winDrawMolde win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Molde
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Valerenga
1377
Molde
1467

Molde are the stronger side — 90 rating points clear of Valerenga.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

ValerengaValerengaMoldeMolde
1.62Goals scored / game2.10
2.05Goals conceded / game1.52
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Valerenga 21 games, Molde 21 games.

ValerengaValerengaMoldeMolde
10%Games with a clean sheet19%
33%Games they failed to score10%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Valerenga
3–4
Molde
Molde
5–1
Valerenga
Molde
4–1
Valerenga
Valerenga
2–3
Molde
Molde
0–0
Valerenga
Form check

Their recent form.

Valerenga
Valerenga
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
0W · 3D · 2L
ValerengavFredrikstad
1–1
D
LillestromvValerenga
2–0
L
Sarpsborg 08 FFvValerenga
2–2
D
ValerengavMolde
3–4
L
AalesundvValerenga
5–5
D
Molde
Molde
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 0D · 1L
MoldevAalesund
1–2
L
Ham-KamvMolde
1–5
W
MoldevKFUM Oslo
2–0
W
ValerengavMolde
3–4
W
MoldevTromso
3–2
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Eliteserien (Norway) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
VikingViking
21
16
2
3
+34
50
2
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
21
16
2
3
+34
50
3
TromsoTromso
21
11
5
5
+11
38
4
MoldeMolde
21
11
3
7
+12
36
5
RosenborgRosenborg
21
10
3
8
+9
33
6
LillestromLillestrom
21
10
2
9
-1
32
7
BrannBrann
21
9
2
10
+7
29
8
FredrikstadFredrikstad
21
8
4
9
-7
28
9
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
21
6
7
8
-5
25
10
KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo
21
7
4
10
-10
25
11
SandefjordSandefjord
21
6
5
10
-6
23
12
ValerengaValerenga
21
6
5
10
-9
23
13
Ham-KamHam-Kam
21
6
5
10
-15
23
14
AalesundAalesund
21
4
9
8
-13
21
15
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
21
5
4
12
-19
19
16
StartStart
21
4
4
13
-22
16