With just 13 games remaining, Valerenga aim to close the four-point gap to the European places against a fourth-placed Molde side fighting to protect their continental standing.
Valerenga enter this fixture in 11th place on 21 points, looking to bounce back from a chaotic 5-5 draw against Aalesund. Despite recent home defeats to Bodo/Glimt and Ham-Kam, they have shown high-scoring potential, evidenced by their 6-1 demolition of Aalesund earlier this month.
Molde sit 4th with 27 points but have displayed significant vulnerability away from home, losing four of their eight league trips. They arrive following a narrow 3-2 victory over Tromso, but a recent 1-2 loss at Kristiansund highlights their inconsistency when playing away from their own turf.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Molde are the stronger side — 90 rating points clear of Valerenga.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Valerenga 21 games, Molde 21 games.
Eliteserien (Norway) standings · both teams highlighted in context.