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Eliteserien (Norway)
·
Valerenga
Valerenga
8th · 32 pts·LDLWW
vs
—
Molde
Molde
3rd · 43 pts·WLDWW
The story

Valerenga eye European surge as Molde's away form falters

With just 13 games remaining, Valerenga aim to close the four-point gap to the European places against a fourth-placed Molde side fighting to protect their continental standing.

Match news & current form

Valerenga enter this fixture in 11th place on 21 points, looking to bounce back from a chaotic 5-5 draw against Aalesund. Despite recent home defeats to Bodo/Glimt and Ham-Kam, they have shown high-scoring potential, evidenced by their 6-1 demolition of Aalesund earlier this month.

Molde sit 4th with 27 points but have displayed significant vulnerability away from home, losing four of their eight league trips. They arrive following a narrow 3-2 victory over Tromso, but a recent 1-2 loss at Kristiansund highlights their inconsistency when playing away from their own turf.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Molde have found the net in each of their last nine Eliteserien fixtures.
  • Each of Valerenga's last three home league matches has seen over 2.5 goals scored.
  • Molde have lost 5 of their last 10 away games in the Eliteserien.
  • Valerenga have suffered defeat in 9 of their 18 matches so far this campaign.
Key players & missing men

Valerenga are boosted by the expected return of midfielder H. Roervik Bjoerdal, who has provided six assists in 15 matches this season. However, they remain without F. Ambina and M. Sjoeng. Molde face a longer absentee list including F. Dahl, S. Diop, V. Hoff, M. Kikkenborg, and H. Stenevik, which may stretch their defensive depth.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Valerenga vs Molde and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Valerenga2.0
–
1.8Molde
Season average total: 3.81 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Valerenga winDrawMolde win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Molde
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Valerenga
1377
Molde
1467

Molde are the stronger side — 90 rating points clear of Valerenga.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

ValerengaValerengaMoldeMolde
1.72Goals scored / game2.36
1.84Goals conceded / game1.56
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Valerenga 25 games, Molde 25 games.

ValerengaValerengaMoldeMolde
16%Games with a clean sheet16%
28%Games they failed to score8%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Valerenga
3–4
Molde
Molde
5–1
Valerenga
Molde
4–1
Valerenga
Valerenga
2–3
Molde
Molde
0–0
Valerenga
Form check

Their recent form.

Valerenga
Valerenga
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Bodo/GlimtvValerenga
0–1
W
ValerengavBrann
3–1
W
KFUM OslovValerenga
2–1
L
ValerengavFredrikstad
1–1
D
LillestromvValerenga
2–0
L
Molde
Molde
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
MoldevFredrikstad
5–1
W
MoldevStart
6–1
W
LillestromvMolde
2–2
D
MoldevAalesund
1–2
L
Ham-KamvMolde
1–5
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Eliteserien (Norway) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
VikingViking
25
19
2
4
+38
59
2
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
25
19
2
4
+38
59
3
MoldeMolde
25
13
4
8
+20
43
4
RosenborgRosenborg
25
13
4
8
+18
43
5
LillestromLillestrom
25
13
3
9
+3
42
6
TromsoTromso
25
11
7
7
+5
40
7
BrannBrann
25
10
2
13
+3
32
8
ValerengaValerenga
25
9
5
11
-3
32
9
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
25
8
7
10
-7
31
10
KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo
25
8
7
10
-9
31
11
FredrikstadFredrikstad
25
8
5
12
-15
29
12
SandefjordSandefjord
25
7
6
12
-8
27
13
Ham-KamHam-Kam
25
7
6
12
-18
27
14
AalesundAalesund
25
5
9
11
-14
24
15
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
25
6
5
14
-22
23
16
StartStart
25
5
4
16
-29
19