Winlytics.AI
Full time
Allsvenskan (Sweden)
·
Vasteras SK FK
Vasteras SK FK
6th · 44 pts·LWLWW
vs
—
Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF
13th · 23 pts·LWLLD
The story

Vasteras eye Europe as Kalmar fight for survival

A high-stakes clash at the Hitachi Energy Arena sees Vasteras SK FK chasing a European spot while Kalmar FF battle to distance themselves from the relegation zone.

Match news & current form

Vasteras SK FK enter this fixture in 8th place, sitting just one point adrift of the European qualification spots with 13 games remaining. Their momentum has been mixed but peaked with a gritty 1-0 home win over Djurgardens IF recently. However, they must bounce back from a heavy 0-3 defeat against IF Elfsborg in their last outing to keep their continental dreams alive.

Kalmar FF find themselves in a precarious 13th position, only two points above the drop zone. Survival is far from guaranteed after a bruising 0-4 home defeat to Hammarby FF and a narrow 2-3 loss at IFK Goteborg. Despite showing flashes of attacking potency with a 2-1 win over Mjallby, their defensive record of late has hindered their climb toward safety.

Head-to-head history

Historical meetings have been evenly split, with Vasteras winning 50% of the last four encounters. Earlier this season, Kalmar demonstrated tactical control with 58% possession in their meeting, but Vasteras have proven they can be clinical on the counter-attack, frequently finding the net despite having fewer shots.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Vasteras have remained undefeated in 80% of their last 20 matches across all competitions.
  • Kalmar FF have struggled for defensive consistency, conceding nine goals across their last five league games.
  • Vasteras have maintained a strong defensive record at home, securing clean sheets in 42% of their recent top-flight outings.
  • Kalmar have managed only one win in their last five matches, failing to secure a victory in their last three away trips.
Key players & missing men

Both squads appear to have relatively clean bills of health with no major new absences reported in the structured data. Vasteras will look to their defensive unit to replicate the form that shut out Djurgardens, while Kalmar's attacking threat remains their primary weapon as they search for the goals needed to secure their Allsvenskan status.

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Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Vasteras SK FK vs Kalmar FF — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Vasteras SK FK vs Kalmar FF and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Vasteras SK FK1.5
–
0.9Kalmar FF
Season average total: 2.32 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Vasteras SK FK winDrawKalmar FF win
Market call
Double chance : Vasteras SK FK or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Vasteras SK FK
1265
Kalmar FF
1246

Evenly matched on rating.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FKKalmar FFKalmar FF
1.48Goals scored / game0.85
1.41Goals conceded / game1.56
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Vasteras SK FK 27 games, Kalmar FF 27 games.

Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FKKalmar FFKalmar FF
37%Games with a clean sheet15%
30%Games they failed to score56%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Vasteras SK FK
0–0
Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF
0–1
Vasteras SK FK
Kalmar FF
2–1
Vasteras SK FK
Vasteras SK FK
2–2
Kalmar FF
Vasteras SK FK
2–1
Kalmar FF
Form check

Their recent form.

Vasteras SK FK
Vasteras SK FK
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 0D · 2L
Vasteras SK FKvIF Brommapojkarna
1–0
W
Degerfors IFvVasteras SK FK
0–3
W
Vasteras SK FKvHalmstad
1–2
L
Vasteras SK FKvMjallby AIF
1–0
W
IFK GoteborgvVasteras SK FK
1–0
L
Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
Mjallby AIFvKalmar FF
0–0
D
Kalmar FFvGais
0–1
L
Kalmar FFvIF Brommapojkarna
0–3
L
Degerfors IFvKalmar FF
1–2
W
Malmo FFvKalmar FF
1–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Allsvenskan (Sweden) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
SiriusSirius
27
18
4
5
+24
58
2
Hammarby FFHammarby FF
27
17
4
6
+34
55
3
Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF
27
16
4
7
+30
52
4
BK HackenBK Hacken
27
13
10
4
+18
49
5
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
27
12
10
5
+14
46
6
Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK
27
13
5
9
+2
44
7
Malmo FFMalmo FF
27
12
4
11
+6
40
8
AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm
27
10
8
9
-4
38
9
IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg
27
10
8
9
-10
38
10
GaisGais
27
10
7
10
+7
37
11
IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna
27
9
7
11
-5
34
12
Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF
27
6
9
12
-13
27
13
Kalmar FFKalmar FF
27
6
5
16
-19
23
14
Degerfors IFDegerfors IF
27
5
5
17
-24
20
15
Orgryte ISOrgryte IS
27
4
7
16
-27
19
16
HalmstadHalmstad
27
4
5
18
-33
17